Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs Ottawa Drinkers

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

10–6Final

Away · ODOttawa Drinkers

Sep 5, 2023 · Prospect Division - Playoffs · Hot Springs Arena #1

MVP Snail · 7.9 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsOttawa Drinkers

20Shots424

18Saves810

5Faceoffs won813

11Takeaways213

13Turnovers↓211

3Blocks3

57Passes651

1:15Possession0:391:54

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	6	3	9	11	1	0	3	3	6	1	21	0:38	139	8.25	5.61
Pino	3	3	6	6	1	2	4	4	3	0	22	0:11	112	8.35	4.98
Agent P	1	3	4	3	16	3	6	4	4	2	14	0:26	191	7.81	8.23

Ottawa Drinkers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
kman	3	1	4	15	1	4	1	4	4	0	22	0:33	108	5.03	4.58
Brewski	3	2	5	7	1	7	1	4	1	1	14	0:27	115	7.69	5.52
Cozbee	0	2	2	2	8	2	3	5	6	2	15	0:54	118	5.02	8.04

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.01	1.78	0.23	2.242	0.516
Assists	3	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.949	0.18
Shots	11	4.79	3.17	0.09	1.956	0.176
Passes	21	18.15	6.82	0.08	0.418	0.033
Saves	1	2.78	3.46	0.19	-0.515	-0.098
Blocks	1	0.7	0.99	0.11	0.304	0.033
Takeaways	3	3.24	2.28	0.11	-0.107	-0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.829 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.658, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.3 turnovers → 7.9

Pucker+139

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8.5	3.616	2.35	0.32	0.752
Shots	11	4.791	2.296	0.08	0.184
Saves	1	2.779	0.36	0.15	0.054
Blocks	1	0.698	1.433	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	3	3.244	0.925	0.12	0.111
Passes	21	18.151	1.157	0.08	0.093
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.294 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.522 − 0.13 turnover penalty = 1.392 → ×100 = 139.15 → 139

Offensive8.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.237	0.108	0.4	3.732
Shooting %	0.545	0.42	0.2	1.432
Assists per pass	0.143	0.098	0.4	3.085

Σ contribution = 8.25

Defensive5.61

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.779	3.74	0.3	1.122
Blocks	1	0.698	7.632	0.2	1.526
Takeaways	3	3.244	5.699	0.25	1.425
Goals conceded	6	6.233	6.155	0.25	1.539

Σ contribution = 5.612

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pino Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.01	1.78	0.23	0.556	0.128
Assists	3	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.949	0.18
Shots	6	4.79	3.17	0.09	0.381	0.034
Passes	22	18.15	6.82	0.08	0.564	0.045
Saves	1	2.78	3.46	0.19	-0.515	-0.098
Blocks	0	0.7	0.99	0.11	-0.701	-0.077
Takeaways	4	3.24	2.28	0.11	0.331	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.249 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.498, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.5

Pucker+112

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.616	1.659	0.32	0.531
Shots	6	4.791	1.252	0.08	0.1
Saves	1	2.779	0.36	0.15	0.054
Blocks	0	0.698	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.244	1.233	0.12	0.148
Passes	22	18.151	1.212	0.08	0.097
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.95 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.118 → ×100 = 111.77 → 112

Offensive8.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.545	0.108	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	0.5	0.42	0.2	1.351
Assists per pass	0.136	0.098	0.4	2.996

Σ contribution = 8.346

Defensive4.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.779	3.74	0.3	1.122
Blocks	0	0.698	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	3.244	6.915	0.25	1.729
Goals conceded	6	6.233	6.155	0.25	1.539

Σ contribution = 4.981

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Agent P Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.01	1.78	0.23	-0.569	-0.131
Assists	3	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.949	0.18
Shots	3	4.79	3.17	0.09	-0.564	-0.051
Passes	14	18.15	6.82	0.08	-0.609	-0.049
Saves	16	2.78	3.46	0.19	3.826	0.727
Blocks	2	0.7	0.99	0.11	1.309	0.144
Takeaways	4	3.24	2.28	0.11	0.331	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.857 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.715, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.9

Pucker+191

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.616	0.968	0.32	0.31
Shots	3	4.791	0.626	0.08	0.05
Saves	16	2.779	5.757	0.15	0.864
Blocks	2	0.698	2.867	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	4	3.244	1.233	0.12	0.148
Passes	14	18.151	0.771	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.654 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.946 − 0.037 turnover penalty = 1.909 → ×100 = 190.86 → 191

Offensive7.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.154	0.108	0.4	3.045
Shooting %	0.333	0.42	0.2	1.037
Assists per pass	0.214	0.098	0.4	3.727

Σ contribution = 7.809

Defensive8.23

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	16	2.779	9.999	0.3	3
Blocks	2	0.698	9.813	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	4	3.244	6.915	0.25	1.729
Goals conceded	6	6.233	6.155	0.25	1.539

Σ contribution = 8.231

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kman Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.01	1.78	0.23	0.556	0.128
Assists	1	1.78	1.29	0.19	-0.605	-0.115
Shots	15	4.79	3.17	0.09	3.217	0.29
Passes	22	18.15	6.82	0.08	0.564	0.045
Saves	1	2.78	3.46	0.19	-0.515	-0.098
Blocks	0	0.7	0.99	0.11	-0.701	-0.077
Takeaways	4	3.24	2.28	0.11	0.331	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.209 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.418, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+108

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.616	1.106	0.32	0.354
Shots	15	4.791	3.131	0.08	0.25
Saves	1	2.779	0.36	0.15	0.054
Blocks	0	0.698	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.244	1.233	0.12	0.148
Passes	22	18.151	1.212	0.08	0.097
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.951 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.119 − 0.037 turnover penalty = 1.082 → ×100 = 108.23 → 108

Offensive5.03

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.121	0.108	0.4	2.598
Shooting %	0.2	0.42	0.2	0.816
Assists per pass	0.045	0.098	0.4	1.616

Σ contribution = 5.029

Defensive4.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.779	3.74	0.3	1.122
Blocks	0	0.698	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	3.244	6.915	0.25	1.729
Goals conceded	10	6.233	4.56	0.25	1.14

Σ contribution = 4.582

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Brewski Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.01	1.78	0.23	0.556	0.128
Assists	2	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	7	4.79	3.17	0.09	0.696	0.063
Passes	14	18.15	6.82	0.08	-0.609	-0.049
Saves	1	2.78	3.46	0.19	-0.515	-0.098
Blocks	1	0.7	0.99	0.11	0.304	0.033
Takeaways	4	3.24	2.28	0.11	0.331	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.146 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.293, then −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+115

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.616	1.383	0.32	0.442
Shots	7	4.791	1.461	0.08	0.117
Saves	1	2.779	0.36	0.15	0.054
Blocks	1	0.698	1.433	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	4	3.244	1.233	0.12	0.148
Passes	14	18.151	0.771	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.875	0.5	1.75	0.03	0.052

Σ 0.976 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.148 → ×100 = 114.8 → 115

Offensive7.69

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.185	0.108	0.4	3.385
Shooting %	0.429	0.42	0.2	1.216
Assists per pass	0.143	0.098	0.4	3.085

Σ contribution = 7.686

Defensive5.52

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.779	3.74	0.3	1.122
Blocks	1	0.698	7.632	0.2	1.526
Takeaways	4	3.244	6.915	0.25	1.729
Goals conceded	10	6.233	4.56	0.25	1.14

Σ contribution = 5.517

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cozbee Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.01	1.78	0.23	-1.131	-0.26
Assists	2	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	2	4.79	3.17	0.09	-0.879	-0.079
Passes	15	18.15	6.82	0.08	-0.462	-0.037
Saves	8	2.78	3.46	0.19	1.511	0.287
Blocks	2	0.7	0.99	0.11	1.309	0.144
Takeaways	5	3.24	2.28	0.11	0.77	0.085

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.172 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.344, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.616	0.553	0.32	0.177
Shots	2	4.791	0.417	0.08	0.033
Saves	8	2.779	2.879	0.15	0.432
Blocks	2	0.698	2.867	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	5	3.244	1.541	0.12	0.185
Passes	15	18.151	0.826	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.118 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.315 − 0.13 turnover penalty = 1.185 → ×100 = 118.47 → 118

Offensive5.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.037	0.108	0.4	1.478
Shooting %	0	0.42	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.133	0.098	0.4	2.953

Σ contribution = 5.022

Defensive8.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.779	9.817	0.3	2.945
Blocks	2	0.698	9.813	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	5	3.244	7.976	0.25	1.994
Goals conceded	10	6.233	4.56	0.25	1.14

Σ contribution = 8.042

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.