Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs Ottawa Drinkers

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

3–8Final

Away · ODOttawa Drinkers

Aug 15, 2023 · Prospect Division - Rockets · Hot Springs Arena Rink A

MVP Brewski · 8.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsOttawa Drinkers

8Shots1220

12Saves75

2Faceoffs won911

9Takeaways110

10Turnovers↓19

3Blocks36

65Passes368

1:41Possession1:283:09

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	1	1	2	3	7	0	4	2	7	3	16	0:39	116	4.96	7.29
Pino	0	1	1	1	2	1	3	4	2	0	20	0:30	57	4.00	5.05
Agent P	2	1	3	4	3	1	4	3	1	0	29	0:32	96	5.48	5.23

Ottawa Drinkers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
kman	1	3	4	6	0	4	1	2	4	0	25	0	0:59	88	6.09	4.83
Brewski	6	0	6	11	1	3	0	2	1	3	29	1	0:29	170	6.42	6.50
Cozbee	1	3	4	3	4	4	1	6	4	3	14	0	1:41	147	6.57	8.79

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.84	1.63	0.23	-0.518	-0.119
Assists	1	1.25	1.27	0.19	-0.196	-0.037
Shots	3	4.39	3.45	0.09	-0.402	-0.036
Passes	16	16.76	7.51	0.08	-0.102	-0.008
Saves	7	2.55	3.6	0.19	1.235	0.235
Blocks	3	0.72	0.96	0.11	2.373	0.261
Takeaways	2	3.5	3.28	0.11	-0.459	-0.05

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.245 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.489, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+116

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.045	0.657	0.32	0.21
Shots	3	4.388	0.684	0.08	0.055
Saves	7	2.552	2.743	0.15	0.412
Blocks	3	0.721	4.16	0.07	0.291
Takeaways	2	3.503	0.571	0.12	0.069
Passes	16	16.764	0.954	0.08	0.076
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.112 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.309 − 0.15 turnover penalty = 1.159 → ×100 = 115.9 → 116

Offensive4.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.051	0.087	0.4	1.773
Shooting %	0.333	0.42	0.2	1.037
Assists per pass	0.062	0.074	0.4	2.145

Σ contribution = 4.955

Defensive7.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.552	9.763	0.3	2.929
Blocks	3	0.721	9.986	0.2	1.997
Takeaways	2	3.503	4.382	0.25	1.095
Goals conceded	8	6.152	5.092	0.25	1.273

Σ contribution = 7.294

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pino Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.84	1.63	0.23	-1.133	-0.261
Assists	1	1.25	1.27	0.19	-0.196	-0.037
Shots	1	4.39	3.45	0.09	-0.982	-0.088
Passes	20	16.76	7.51	0.08	0.431	0.034
Saves	2	2.55	3.6	0.19	-0.153	-0.029
Blocks	0	0.72	0.96	0.11	-0.751	-0.083
Takeaways	4	3.5	3.28	0.11	0.152	0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.447 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.106, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.045	0.328	0.32	0.105
Shots	1	4.388	0.228	0.08	0.018
Saves	2	2.552	0.784	0.15	0.118
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.503	1.142	0.12	0.137
Passes	20	16.764	1.193	0.08	0.095
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.488 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.575 → ×100 = 57.45 → 57

Offensive4.00

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.087	0.4	1.519
Shooting %	0	0.42	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.05	0.074	0.4	1.892

Σ contribution = 4.002

Defensive5.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.552	5.149	0.3	1.545
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	3.503	6.564	0.25	1.641
Goals conceded	8	6.152	5.092	0.25	1.273

Σ contribution = 5.05

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Agent P Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.84	1.63	0.23	0.097	0.022
Assists	1	1.25	1.27	0.19	-0.196	-0.037
Shots	4	4.39	3.45	0.09	-0.112	-0.01
Passes	29	16.76	7.51	0.08	1.629	0.13
Saves	3	2.55	3.6	0.19	0.125	0.024
Blocks	0	0.72	0.96	0.11	-0.751	-0.083
Takeaways	3	3.5	3.28	0.11	-0.153	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.029 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.059, then −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.045	0.985	0.32	0.315
Shots	4	4.388	0.912	0.08	0.073
Saves	3	2.552	1.176	0.15	0.176
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.503	0.856	0.12	0.103
Passes	29	16.764	1.73	0.08	0.138
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.818 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.962 → ×100 = 96.2 → 96

Offensive5.48

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.087	0.4	2.514
Shooting %	0.5	0.42	0.2	1.351
Assists per pass	0.034	0.074	0.4	1.615

Σ contribution = 5.48

Defensive5.23

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.552	6.696	0.3	2.009
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.503	5.43	0.25	1.357
Goals conceded	8	6.152	5.092	0.25	1.273

Σ contribution = 5.23

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kman Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.84	1.63	0.23	-0.518	-0.119
Assists	3	1.25	1.27	0.19	1.384	0.263
Shots	6	4.39	3.45	0.09	0.467	0.042
Passes	25	16.76	7.51	0.08	1.096	0.088
Saves	0	2.55	3.6	0.19	-0.709	-0.135
Blocks	0	0.72	0.96	0.11	-0.751	-0.083
Takeaways	2	3.5	3.28	0.11	-0.459	-0.05

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.006 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.012, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.045	1.313	0.32	0.42
Shots	6	4.388	1.367	0.08	0.109
Saves	0	2.552	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.503	0.571	0.12	0.069
Passes	25	16.764	1.491	0.08	0.119
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.766 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.901 − 0.021 turnover penalty = 0.88 → ×100 = 87.93 → 88

Offensive6.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.068	0.087	0.4	2.046
Shooting %	0.167	0.42	0.2	0.769
Assists per pass	0.12	0.074	0.4	3.272

Σ contribution = 6.086

Defensive4.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.552	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	3.503	4.382	0.25	1.095
Goals conceded	3	6.152	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.834

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Brewski Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.84	1.63	0.23	2.556	0.588
Assists	0	1.25	1.27	0.19	-0.986	-0.187
Shots	11	4.39	3.45	0.09	1.917	0.173
Passes	29	16.76	7.51	0.08	1.629	0.13
Saves	1	2.55	3.6	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	3	0.72	0.96	0.11	2.373	0.261
Takeaways	2	3.5	3.28	0.11	-0.459	-0.05

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.832 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.664, then +0.5 hat trick → 8.2

Pucker+170

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.045	1.97	0.32	0.63
Shots	11	4.388	2.507	0.08	0.201
Saves	1	2.552	0.392	0.15	0.059
Blocks	3	0.721	4.16	0.07	0.291
Takeaways	2	3.503	0.571	0.12	0.069
Passes	29	16.764	1.73	0.08	0.138
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.448 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.703 → ×100 = 170.34 → 170

Offensive6.42

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.207	0.087	0.4	3.804
Shooting %	0.545	0.42	0.2	1.432
Assists per pass	0	0.074	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.418

Defensive6.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.552	3.829	0.3	1.149
Blocks	3	0.721	9.986	0.2	1.997
Takeaways	2	3.503	4.382	0.25	1.095
Goals conceded	3	6.152	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.503

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cozbee Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.84	1.63	0.23	-0.518	-0.119
Assists	3	1.25	1.27	0.19	1.384	0.263
Shots	3	4.39	3.45	0.09	-0.402	-0.036
Passes	14	16.76	7.51	0.08	-0.368	-0.029
Saves	4	2.55	3.6	0.19	0.402	0.076
Blocks	3	0.72	0.96	0.11	2.373	0.261
Takeaways	6	3.5	3.28	0.11	0.762	0.084

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.499 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.999, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+147

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.045	1.149	0.32	0.368
Shots	3	4.388	0.684	0.08	0.055
Saves	4	2.552	1.568	0.15	0.235
Blocks	3	0.721	4.16	0.07	0.291
Takeaways	6	3.503	1.713	0.12	0.206
Passes	14	16.764	0.835	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.269 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.493 − 0.021 turnover penalty = 1.472 → ×100 = 147.18 → 147

Offensive6.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.04	0.087	0.4	1.602
Shooting %	0.333	0.42	0.2	1.037
Assists per pass	0.214	0.074	0.4	3.927

Σ contribution = 6.566

Defensive8.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.552	8.055	0.3	2.416
Blocks	3	0.721	9.986	0.2	1.997
Takeaways	6	3.503	8.45	0.25	2.112
Goals conceded	3	6.152	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.787

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.