Windy City Watchmen vs Austin Alligators

WCHomeWindy City Watchmen

8–7Final

AAAwayAustin Alligators

Jul 19, 2023 · Intermediate Division · Arby's Thunderdome

MVP Dionysus · 7.4 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Windy City WatchmenvsAustin Alligators

14Shots216

9Saves36

8Faceoffs won19

11Takeaways314

14Turnovers↓311

3Blocks21

42Passes446

1:08Possession1:152:23

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Windy City Watchmen

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Billium	2	2	4	5	1	1	3	3	6	1	13	1	0:10	76	1.44	0.89
Dionysus	2	2	4	3	8	6	2	8	5	0	14	0	0:54	148	0.95	1.38
Johnny Cold Cuts	4	1	5	6	0	1	4	0	3	2	15	0	0:04	90	1.29	0.78

Austin Alligators

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
martdog1	2	4	6	6	2	3	4	2	4	1	25	0:32	118	1.18	0.91
GoldenKnight	3	1	4	6	2	4	3	4	3	0	5	1:02	90	1.02	0.85
Jeru	2	1	3	4	2	2	1	8	4	0	16	0:49	97	0.61	1.02

Billium Windy City Watchmen

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.29	1.95	0.23	-0.147	-0.034
Assists	2	1.94	1.68	0.19	0.035	0.007
Shots	5	4.48	3.37	0.09	0.153	0.014
Passes	13	15.86	7.21	0.08	-0.396	-0.032
Saves	1	2.18	2.57	0.19	-0.461	-0.088
Blocks	1	0.79	1.01	0.11	0.208	0.023
Takeaways	3	3.37	3.03	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.123 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.754, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+76

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.063	0.985	0.32	0.315
Shots	5	4.483	1.115	0.08	0.089
Saves	1	2.184	0.458	0.15	0.069
Blocks	1	0.791	1.264	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	3	3.371	0.89	0.12	0.107
Passes	13	15.856	0.82	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.501	0.499	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.749 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.881 − 0.118 turnover penalty = 0.763 → ×100 = 76.28 → 76

Offensive1.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.142	0.4	0.779
Shooting %	0.4	0.51	0.2	0.158
Assists per pass	0.154	0.122	0.4	0.5

Σ contribution = 1.437

Defensive0.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.184	0.505	0.3	0.152
Blocks	1	0.791	1.258	0.2	0.252
Takeaways	3	3.371	0.89	0.25	0.223
Goals conceded	7	7.432	1.062	0.25	0.265

Σ contribution = 0.892

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Dionysus Windy City Watchmen

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.29	1.95	0.23	-0.147	-0.034
Assists	2	1.94	1.68	0.19	0.035	0.007
Shots	3	4.48	3.37	0.09	-0.44	-0.04
Passes	14	15.86	7.21	0.08	-0.257	-0.021
Saves	8	2.18	2.57	0.19	2.263	0.43
Blocks	0	0.79	1.01	0.11	-0.786	-0.087
Takeaways	8	3.37	3.03	0.11	1.526	0.168

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.424 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.848, then +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.4

Pucker+148

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.063	0.985	0.32	0.315
Shots	3	4.483	0.669	0.08	0.054
Saves	8	2.184	3.662	0.15	0.549
Blocks	0	0.791	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	3.371	2.373	0.12	0.285
Passes	14	15.856	0.883	0.08	0.071
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.501	1.498	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.318 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.551 − 0.074 turnover penalty = 1.477 → ×100 = 147.75 → 148

Offensive0.95

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.074	0.142	0.4	0.222
Shooting %	0.667	0.51	0.2	0.26
Assists per pass	0.143	0.122	0.4	0.466

Σ contribution = 0.948

Defensive1.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.184	1.99	0.3	0.597
Blocks	0	0.791	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	8	3.371	1.879	0.25	0.47
Goals conceded	7	7.432	1.062	0.25	0.265

Σ contribution = 1.38

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Johnny Cold Cuts Windy City Watchmen

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.29	1.95	0.23	0.877	0.202
Assists	1	1.94	1.68	0.19	-0.56	-0.106
Shots	6	4.48	3.37	0.09	0.45	0.041
Passes	15	15.86	7.21	0.08	-0.119	-0.009
Saves	0	2.18	2.57	0.19	-0.85	-0.162
Blocks	2	0.79	1.01	0.11	1.202	0.132
Takeaways	0	3.37	3.03	0.11	-1.111	-0.122

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.025 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.95, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.2

Pucker+90

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	4.063	1.231	0.32	0.394
Shots	6	4.483	1.338	0.08	0.107
Saves	0	2.184	0	0.15	0
Blocks	2	0.791	2.529	0.07	0.177
Takeaways	0	3.371	0	0.12	0
Passes	15	15.856	0.946	0.08	0.076
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.501	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.766 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.901 → ×100 = 90.07 → 90

Offensive1.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.25	0.142	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.667	0.51	0.2	0.26
Assists per pass	0.067	0.122	0.4	0.23

Σ contribution = 1.289

Defensive0.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.184	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	0.791	1.91	0.2	0.382
Takeaways	0	3.371	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	7	7.432	1.062	0.25	0.265

Σ contribution = 0.779

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

martdog1 Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.29	1.95	0.23	-0.147	-0.034
Assists	4	1.94	1.68	0.19	1.226	0.233
Shots	6	4.48	3.37	0.09	0.45	0.041
Passes	25	15.86	7.21	0.08	1.268	0.101
Saves	2	2.18	2.57	0.19	-0.072	-0.014
Blocks	1	0.79	1.01	0.11	0.208	0.023
Takeaways	2	3.37	3.03	0.11	-0.452	-0.05

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.301 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.601, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.2

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	4.063	1.477	0.32	0.473
Shots	6	4.483	1.338	0.08	0.107
Saves	2	2.184	0.916	0.15	0.137
Blocks	1	0.791	1.264	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	2	3.371	0.593	0.12	0.071
Passes	25	15.856	1.577	0.08	0.126
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.501	0.856	0.03	0.026

Σ 1.029 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.21 − 0.029 turnover penalty = 1.181 → ×100 = 118.12 → 118

Offensive1.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.188	0.142	0.4	0.524
Shooting %	0.333	0.51	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0.16	0.122	0.4	0.519

Σ contribution = 1.176

Defensive0.91

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.184	0.916	0.3	0.275
Blocks	1	0.791	1.258	0.2	0.252
Takeaways	2	3.371	0.614	0.25	0.154
Goals conceded	8	7.432	0.929	0.25	0.232

Σ contribution = 0.913

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

GoldenKnight Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.29	1.95	0.23	0.365	0.084
Assists	1	1.94	1.68	0.19	-0.56	-0.106
Shots	6	4.48	3.37	0.09	0.45	0.041
Passes	5	15.86	7.21	0.08	-1.505	-0.12
Saves	2	2.18	2.57	0.19	-0.072	-0.014
Blocks	0	0.79	1.01	0.11	-0.786	-0.087
Takeaways	4	3.37	3.03	0.11	0.207	0.023

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.18 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.641, then −0.2 goals against → 5.4

Pucker+90

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.063	0.985	0.32	0.315
Shots	6	4.483	1.338	0.08	0.107
Saves	2	2.184	0.916	0.15	0.137
Blocks	0	0.791	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.371	1.187	0.12	0.142
Passes	5	15.856	0.315	0.08	0.025
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.501	1.142	0.03	0.034

Σ 0.761 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.896 → ×100 = 89.57 → 90

Offensive1.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.065	0.142	0.4	0.201
Shooting %	0.5	0.51	0.2	0.196
Assists per pass	0.2	0.122	0.4	0.624

Σ contribution = 1.021

Defensive0.85

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.184	0.916	0.3	0.275
Blocks	0	0.791	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	4	3.371	1.185	0.25	0.296
Goals conceded	8	7.432	0.929	0.25	0.232

Σ contribution = 0.851

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jeru Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.29	1.95	0.23	-0.147	-0.034
Assists	1	1.94	1.68	0.19	-0.56	-0.106
Shots	4	4.48	3.37	0.09	-0.143	-0.013
Passes	16	15.86	7.21	0.08	0.02	0.002
Saves	2	2.18	2.57	0.19	-0.072	-0.014
Blocks	0	0.79	1.01	0.11	-0.786	-0.087
Takeaways	8	3.37	3.03	0.11	1.526	0.168

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.084 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.832, then −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+97

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	4.063	0.738	0.32	0.236
Shots	4	4.483	0.892	0.08	0.071
Saves	2	2.184	0.916	0.15	0.137
Blocks	0	0.791	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	3.371	2.373	0.12	0.285
Passes	16	15.856	1.009	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.501	1.332	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.851 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.001 − 0.029 turnover penalty = 0.972 → ×100 = 97.18 → 97

Offensive0.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.061	0.142	0.4	0.194
Shooting %	0.5	0.51	0.2	0.196
Assists per pass	0.062	0.122	0.4	0.218

Σ contribution = 0.609

Defensive1.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.184	0.916	0.3	0.275
Blocks	0	0.791	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	8	3.371	1.879	0.25	0.47
Goals conceded	8	7.432	0.929	0.25	0.232

Σ contribution = 1.025

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.