Saratoga Succotash vs Oregon Capybaras

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1–11Final

OCAwayOregon Capybaras

Aug 14, 2023 · West - Masters Division · Lake Mendota

MVP Blue · 6.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Saratoga SuccotashvsOregon Capybaras

2Shots2022

11Saves101

4Faceoffs won48

2Takeaways46

6Turnovers↓42

2Blocks20

14Passes1832

0:13Possession0:260:39

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Saratoga Succotash

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
BAM	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	1	0	1	6	0:06	80	6.01	6.52
PacerFitnessTest	0	1	1	1	3	2	3	0	4	1	5	0:03	53	7.93	5.74
Zone	0	0	0	0	2	2	5	1	2	0	3	0:04	24	2.95	4.44

Oregon Capybaras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Blue	2	6	8	9	0	3	1	5	1	14	0:24	117	8.69	5.50
Kajun	5	3	8	6	1	3	1	1	1	11	0:11	103	9.42	4.95
ORO	4	2	6	7	0	2	2	0	0	7	0:04	71	9.10	4.48

BAM Saratoga Succotash

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.41	2.05	0.23	-0.689	-0.158
Assists	0	1.95	1.73	0.19	-1.123	-0.213
Shots	1	4.52	3.25	0.09	-1.082	-0.097
Passes	6	16.96	7.53	0.08	-1.455	-0.116
Saves	6	2.08	2.16	0.19	1.811	0.344
Blocks	1	0.73	1.02	0.11	0.263	0.029
Takeaways	1	3.93	3.04	0.11	-0.964	-0.106

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.319 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.363, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.4

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.183	0.239	0.32	0.077
Shots	1	4.515	0.221	0.08	0.018
Saves	6	2.084	2.879	0.15	0.432
Blocks	1	0.731	1.367	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	1	3.93	0.254	0.12	0.031
Passes	6	16.965	0.354	0.08	0.028
Faceoff win rate	0	0.503	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.681 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.801 → ×100 = 80.08 → 80

Offensive6.01

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.115	0.4	3.068
Shooting %	1	0.534	0.2	1.763
Assists per pass	0	0.115	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.012

Defensive6.52

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.084	9.818	0.3	2.945
Blocks	1	0.731	7.407	0.2	1.481
Takeaways	1	3.93	3.47	0.25	0.868
Goals conceded	11	7.947	4.918	0.25	1.229

Σ contribution = 6.523

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

PacerFitnessTest Saratoga Succotash

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.41	2.05	0.23	-1.177	-0.271
Assists	1	1.95	1.73	0.19	-0.546	-0.104
Shots	1	4.52	3.25	0.09	-1.082	-0.097
Passes	5	16.96	7.53	0.08	-1.588	-0.127
Saves	3	2.08	2.16	0.19	0.424	0.08
Blocks	1	0.73	1.02	0.11	0.263	0.029
Takeaways	0	3.93	3.04	0.11	-1.293	-0.142

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.632 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.736, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.3

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.183	0.239	0.32	0.077
Shots	1	4.515	0.221	0.08	0.018
Saves	3	2.084	1.44	0.15	0.216
Blocks	1	0.731	1.367	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	0	3.93	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	16.965	0.295	0.08	0.024
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.503	0.795	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.453 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.533 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 0.53 → ×100 = 53.08 → 53

Offensive7.93

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.115	0.4	3.929
Shooting %	0	0.534	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.2	0.115	0.4	3.409

Σ contribution = 7.928

Defensive5.74

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.084	7.654	0.3	2.296
Blocks	1	0.731	7.407	0.2	1.481
Takeaways	0	3.93	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	11	7.947	4.918	0.25	1.229

Σ contribution = 5.744

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Zone Saratoga Succotash

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.41	2.05	0.23	-1.177	-0.271
Assists	0	1.95	1.73	0.19	-1.123	-0.213
Shots	0	4.52	3.25	0.09	-1.389	-0.125
Passes	3	16.96	7.53	0.08	-1.853	-0.148
Saves	2	2.08	2.16	0.19	-0.039	-0.007
Blocks	0	0.73	1.02	0.11	-0.715	-0.079
Takeaways	1	3.93	3.04	0.11	-0.964	-0.106

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.949 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.101, then −0.2 goals against → 3.9

Pucker+24

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	4.183	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.515	0	0.08	0
Saves	2	2.084	0.96	0.15	0.144
Blocks	0	0.731	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.93	0.254	0.12	0.031
Passes	3	16.965	0.177	0.08	0.014
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.503	0.568	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.206 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.242 → ×100 = 24.2 → 24

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.115	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.534	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.115	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.44

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.084	5.839	0.3	1.752
Blocks	0	0.731	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	3.93	3.47	0.25	0.868
Goals conceded	11	7.947	4.918	0.25	1.229

Σ contribution = 4.44

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.41	2.05	0.23	-0.2	-0.046
Assists	6	1.95	1.73	0.19	2.338	0.444
Shots	9	4.52	3.25	0.09	1.38	0.124
Passes	14	16.96	7.53	0.08	-0.393	-0.031
Saves	0	2.08	2.16	0.19	-0.963	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	1.02	0.11	-0.715	-0.079
Takeaways	5	3.93	3.04	0.11	0.352	0.039

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.268 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.536, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.7

Pucker+117

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	4.183	1.793	0.32	0.574
Shots	9	4.515	1.993	0.08	0.159
Saves	0	2.084	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.731	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	3.93	1.272	0.12	0.153
Passes	14	16.965	0.825	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.503	1.49	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.997 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.173 → ×100 = 117.25 → 117

Offensive8.69

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.115	0.4	3.929
Shooting %	0.222	0.534	0.2	0.78
Assists per pass	0.429	0.115	0.4	3.987

Σ contribution = 8.695

Defensive5.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.084	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.731	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	3.93	7.064	0.25	1.766
Goals conceded	1	7.947	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.505

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kajun Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.41	2.05	0.23	1.265	0.291
Assists	3	1.95	1.73	0.19	0.607	0.115
Shots	6	4.52	3.25	0.09	0.457	0.041
Passes	11	16.96	7.53	0.08	-0.792	-0.063
Saves	1	2.08	2.16	0.19	-0.501	-0.095
Blocks	0	0.73	1.02	0.11	-0.715	-0.079
Takeaways	1	3.93	3.04	0.11	-0.964	-0.106

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.104 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.209, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Pucker+103

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	4.183	1.793	0.32	0.574
Shots	6	4.515	1.329	0.08	0.106
Saves	1	2.084	0.48	0.15	0.072
Blocks	0	0.731	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.93	0.254	0.12	0.031
Passes	11	16.965	0.648	0.08	0.052
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.503	1.49	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.879 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.034 → ×100 = 103.43 → 103

Offensive9.42

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.727	0.115	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.833	0.534	0.2	1.607
Assists per pass	0.273	0.115	0.4	3.808

Σ contribution = 9.415

Defensive4.95

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.084	4.089	0.3	1.227
Blocks	0	0.731	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	3.93	3.47	0.25	0.868
Goals conceded	1	7.947	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.948

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.41	2.05	0.23	0.777	0.179
Assists	2	1.95	1.73	0.19	0.03	0.006
Shots	7	4.52	3.25	0.09	0.765	0.069
Passes	7	16.96	7.53	0.08	-1.323	-0.106
Saves	0	2.08	2.16	0.19	-0.963	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	1.02	0.11	-0.715	-0.079
Takeaways	0	3.93	3.04	0.11	-1.293	-0.142

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.256 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.487, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.5

Pucker+71

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	4.183	1.315	0.32	0.421
Shots	7	4.515	1.55	0.08	0.124
Saves	0	2.084	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.731	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	3.93	0	0.12	0
Passes	7	16.965	0.413	0.08	0.033
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.503	0.994	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.608 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.715 → ×100 = 71.48 → 71

Offensive9.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.5	0.115	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.571	0.534	0.2	1.256
Assists per pass	0.286	0.115	0.4	3.845

Σ contribution = 9.102

Defensive4.48

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.084	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.731	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	3.93	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	1	7.947	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.477

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.