Sinaloa Heat vs St. Louis Royals

SHHomeSinaloa Heat

10–9Final

SLAwaySt. Louis Royals

May 8, 2023 · Challenger Cross-Play · Croke Park

MVP Eli · 8.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Sinaloa HeatvsSt. Louis Royals

16Shots115

6Saves6

11Faceoffs won11

7Takeaways411

11Turnovers↓47

3Blocks21

61Passes1447

1:37Possession0:582:35

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Sinaloa Heat

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Timmy	1	3	4	3	5	3	3	3	2	0	21	0:41	117	1.05	1.05
Cobra	3	0	3	4	0	5	4	0	2	0	19	0:05	53	1.18	0.37
Thugger	6	2	8	9	1	3	4	4	7	3	21	0:51	147	1.20	1.08

St. Louis Royals

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
SOMEONE	2	2	4	2	2	4	4	1	0	1	14	0:28	77	1.42	0.82
Eli	3	6	9	5	3	2	3	9	5	0	18	2:03	170	1.30	1.14
Sanguine	4	1	5	8	1	5	4	1	2	0	15	0:04	87	1.26	0.48

Timmy Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.14	1.89	0.23	-0.602	-0.139
Assists	3	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.703	0.134
Shots	3	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.402	-0.036
Passes	21	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.377	0.03
Saves	5	2.09	2.22	0.19	1.313	0.249
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	3	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.01	-0.001

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.151 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.301, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+117

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.788	1.056	0.32	0.338
Shots	3	4.218	0.711	0.08	0.057
Saves	5	2.085	2.398	0.15	0.36
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.026	0.992	0.12	0.119
Passes	21	17.923	1.172	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.997 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.173 → ×100 = 117.31 → 117

Offensive1.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.098	0.109	0.4	0.358
Shooting %	0.333	0.508	0.2	0.134
Assists per pass	0.143	0.102	0.4	0.554

Σ contribution = 1.046

Defensive1.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.085	1.885	0.3	0.565
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	3.026	0.992	0.25	0.248
Goals conceded	9	6.91	0.772	0.25	0.193

Σ contribution = 1.054

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cobra Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.14	1.89	0.23	0.453	0.104
Assists	0	1.82	1.68	0.19	-1.085	-0.206
Shots	4	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.072	-0.006
Passes	19	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.132	0.011
Saves	0	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	0	3.03	2.7	0.11	-1.122	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.486 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.027, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.788	0.792	0.32	0.253
Shots	4	4.218	0.948	0.08	0.076
Saves	0	2.085	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	3.026	0	0.12	0
Passes	19	17.923	1.06	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 0.447 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.526 → ×100 = 52.64 → 53

Offensive1.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.6	0.109	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.75	0.508	0.2	0.289
Assists per pass	0	0.102	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.184

Defensive0.37

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.085	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	3.026	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	9	6.91	0.772	0.25	0.193

Σ contribution = 0.373

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Thugger Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.14	1.89	0.23	2.037	0.468
Assists	2	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.107	0.02
Shots	9	4.22	3.03	0.09	1.576	0.142
Passes	21	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.377	0.03
Saves	1	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Blocks	3	0.79	1	0.11	2.222	0.244
Takeaways	4	3.03	2.7	0.11	0.361	0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.852 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.704, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 8.0

Pucker+147

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	3.788	1.98	0.32	0.634
Shots	9	4.218	2.134	0.08	0.171
Saves	1	2.085	0.48	0.15	0.072
Blocks	3	0.786	3.815	0.07	0.267
Takeaways	4	3.026	1.322	0.12	0.159
Passes	21	17.923	1.172	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 1.421 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.672 − 0.198 turnover penalty = 1.474 → ×100 = 147.46 → 147

Offensive1.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.157	0.109	0.4	0.565
Shooting %	0.667	0.508	0.2	0.261
Assists per pass	0.095	0.102	0.4	0.375

Σ contribution = 1.2

Defensive1.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.085	0.522	0.3	0.157
Blocks	3	0.786	1.993	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	4	3.026	1.311	0.25	0.328
Goals conceded	9	6.91	0.772	0.25	0.193

Σ contribution = 1.077

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SOMEONE St. Louis Royals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.14	1.89	0.23	-0.074	-0.017
Assists	2	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.107	0.02
Shots	2	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.731	-0.066
Passes	14	17.92	8.16	0.08	-0.481	-0.038
Saves	2	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.039	-0.007
Blocks	1	0.79	1	0.11	0.214	0.024
Takeaways	1	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.751	-0.083

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.167 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.665, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.788	0.792	0.32	0.253
Shots	2	4.218	0.474	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.085	0.959	0.15	0.144
Blocks	1	0.786	1.272	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	1	3.026	0.331	0.12	0.04
Passes	14	17.923	0.781	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.656 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.772 → ×100 = 77.22 → 77

Offensive1.42

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.109	0.4	0.52
Shooting %	1	0.508	0.2	0.35
Assists per pass	0.143	0.102	0.4	0.554

Σ contribution = 1.424

Defensive0.82

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.085	0.959	0.3	0.288
Blocks	1	0.786	1.265	0.2	0.253
Takeaways	1	3.026	0.415	0.25	0.104
Goals conceded	10	6.91	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.82

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Eli St. Louis Royals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.14	1.89	0.23	0.453	0.104
Assists	6	1.82	1.68	0.19	2.49	0.473
Shots	5	4.22	3.03	0.09	0.258	0.023
Passes	18	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.009	0.001
Saves	3	2.09	2.22	0.19	0.412	0.078
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	9	3.03	2.7	0.11	2.215	0.244

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.836 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.673, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.1

Pucker+170

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.788	2.376	0.32	0.76
Shots	5	4.218	1.185	0.08	0.095
Saves	3	2.085	1.439	0.15	0.216
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	9	3.026	2.975	0.12	0.357
Passes	18	17.923	1.004	0.08	0.08
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.532 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.802 − 0.098 turnover penalty = 1.704 → ×100 = 170.42 → 170

Offensive1.30

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.073	0.109	0.4	0.273
Shooting %	0.6	0.508	0.2	0.236
Assists per pass	0.333	0.102	0.4	0.792

Σ contribution = 1.3

Defensive1.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.085	1.412	0.3	0.424
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	9	3.026	1.962	0.25	0.491
Goals conceded	10	6.91	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 1.138

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Sanguine St. Louis Royals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.14	1.89	0.23	0.981	0.226
Assists	1	1.82	1.68	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Shots	8	4.22	3.03	0.09	1.247	0.112
Passes	15	17.92	8.16	0.08	-0.358	-0.029
Saves	1	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	1	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.751	-0.083

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.046 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.908, then −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.788	1.188	0.32	0.38
Shots	8	4.218	1.897	0.08	0.152
Saves	1	2.085	0.48	0.15	0.072
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.026	0.331	0.12	0.04
Passes	15	17.923	0.837	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 0.744 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.875 → ×100 = 87.49 → 87

Offensive1.26

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.25	0.109	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.5	0.508	0.2	0.197
Assists per pass	0.067	0.102	0.4	0.268

Σ contribution = 1.265

Defensive0.48

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.085	0.522	0.3	0.157
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	3.026	0.415	0.25	0.104
Goals conceded	10	6.91	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.484

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.