Michigan Mallards vs St. Louis Royals

MMHomeMichigan Mallards

6–9Final

SLAwaySt. Louis Royals

Apr 30, 2023 · Challenger Cross-Play · The Pond

MVP Zesh · 8.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Michigan MallardsvsSt. Louis Royals

12Shots618

9Saves36

3Faceoffs won1114

7Takeaways1320

20Turnovers↓137

4Blocks13

41Passes3273

1:31Possession1:252:56

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Michigan Mallards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cape	0	2	2	0	3	1	4	4	9	1	9	0:36	51	5.99	6.79
dave	5	1	6	9	0	1	7	1	4	0	21	0:11	91	6.90	3.66
Blades	1	4	5	3	6	1	3	2	7	3	11	0:44	131	7.38	7.38

St. Louis Royals

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Charles	3	3	6	6	2	3	1	11	2	1	28	1:10	172	5.74	7.30
Zesh	2	6	8	5	3	8	0	9	2	2	20	1:44	182	6.91	8.34
Sanguine	4	1	5	7	1	3	2	0	3	0	25	0:02	91	6.83	4.21

Cape Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.14	1.89	0.23	-1.13	-0.26
Assists	2	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.107	0.02
Shots	0	4.22	3.03	0.09	-1.391	-0.125
Passes	9	17.92	8.16	0.08	-1.094	-0.087
Saves	3	2.09	2.22	0.19	0.412	0.078
Blocks	1	0.79	1	0.11	0.214	0.024
Takeaways	4	3.03	2.7	0.11	0.361	0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.311 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.379, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.9

Pucker+51

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.788	0.528	0.32	0.169
Shots	0	4.218	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.085	1.439	0.15	0.216
Blocks	1	0.786	1.272	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	4	3.026	1.322	0.12	0.159
Passes	9	17.923	0.502	0.08	0.04
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.685 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.805 − 0.297 turnover penalty = 0.508 → ×100 = 50.85 → 51

Offensive5.99

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.109	0.4	1.672
Shooting %	0	0.508	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.222	0.102	0.4	3.728

Σ contribution = 5.991

Defensive6.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.085	7.65	0.3	2.295
Blocks	1	0.786	7.061	0.2	1.412
Takeaways	4	3.026	7.245	0.25	1.811
Goals conceded	9	6.91	5.088	0.25	1.272

Σ contribution = 6.79

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.14	1.89	0.23	1.509	0.347
Assists	1	1.82	1.68	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Shots	9	4.22	3.03	0.09	1.576	0.142
Passes	21	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.377	0.03
Saves	0	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	1	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.751	-0.083

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.078 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.157, then −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.788	1.584	0.32	0.507
Shots	9	4.218	2.134	0.08	0.171
Saves	0	2.085	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.026	0.331	0.12	0.04
Passes	21	17.923	1.172	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.125	0.5	0.25	0.03	0.007

Σ 0.818 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.963 − 0.049 turnover penalty = 0.914 → ×100 = 91.42 → 91

Offensive6.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.545	0.109	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	0.556	0.508	0.2	1.275
Assists per pass	0.048	0.102	0.4	1.622

Σ contribution = 6.896

Defensive3.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.085	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.786	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	3.026	3.661	0.25	0.915
Goals conceded	9	6.91	5.088	0.25	1.272

Σ contribution = 3.664

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blades Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.14	1.89	0.23	-0.602	-0.139
Assists	4	1.82	1.68	0.19	1.298	0.247
Shots	3	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.402	-0.036
Passes	11	17.92	8.16	0.08	-0.848	-0.068
Saves	6	2.09	2.22	0.19	1.763	0.335
Blocks	3	0.79	1	0.11	2.222	0.244
Takeaways	2	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.38	-0.042

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.542 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.084, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.4

Pucker+131

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.788	1.188	0.32	0.38
Shots	3	4.218	0.711	0.08	0.057
Saves	6	2.085	2.877	0.15	0.432
Blocks	3	0.786	3.815	0.07	0.267
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.661	0.12	0.079
Passes	11	17.923	0.614	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 1.279 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.505 − 0.198 turnover penalty = 1.307 → ×100 = 130.72 → 131

Offensive7.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.114	0.109	0.4	2.466
Shooting %	0.333	0.508	0.2	0.936
Assists per pass	0.364	0.102	0.4	3.982

Σ contribution = 7.383

Defensive7.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.085	9.817	0.3	2.945
Blocks	3	0.786	9.971	0.2	1.994
Takeaways	2	3.026	4.694	0.25	1.173
Goals conceded	9	6.91	5.088	0.25	1.272

Σ contribution = 7.384

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Charles St. Louis Royals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.14	1.89	0.23	0.453	0.104
Assists	3	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.703	0.134
Shots	6	4.22	3.03	0.09	0.587	0.053
Passes	28	17.92	8.16	0.08	1.235	0.099
Saves	2	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.039	-0.007
Blocks	1	0.79	1	0.11	0.214	0.024
Takeaways	11	3.03	2.7	0.11	2.956	0.325

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.731 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.462, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.5

Pucker+172

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.788	1.584	0.32	0.507
Shots	6	4.218	1.422	0.08	0.114
Saves	2	2.085	0.959	0.15	0.144
Blocks	1	0.786	1.272	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	11	3.026	3.636	0.12	0.436
Passes	28	17.923	1.562	0.08	0.125
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.46 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.717 → ×100 = 171.73 → 172

Offensive5.74

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.086	0.109	0.4	2.062
Shooting %	0.5	0.508	0.2	1.188
Assists per pass	0.107	0.102	0.4	2.488

Σ contribution = 5.738

Defensive7.30

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.085	5.836	0.3	1.751
Blocks	1	0.786	7.061	0.2	1.412
Takeaways	11	3.026	9.959	0.25	2.49
Goals conceded	6	6.91	6.602	0.25	1.651

Σ contribution = 7.304

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Zesh St. Louis Royals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.14	1.89	0.23	-0.074	-0.017
Assists	6	1.82	1.68	0.19	2.49	0.473
Shots	5	4.22	3.03	0.09	0.258	0.023
Passes	20	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.255	0.02
Saves	3	2.09	2.22	0.19	0.412	0.078
Blocks	2	0.79	1	0.11	1.218	0.134
Takeaways	9	3.03	2.7	0.11	2.215	0.244

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.955 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.911, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.1

Pucker+182

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	3.788	1.716	0.32	0.549
Shots	5	4.218	1.185	0.08	0.095
Saves	3	2.085	1.439	0.15	0.216
Blocks	2	0.786	2.543	0.07	0.178
Takeaways	9	3.026	2.975	0.12	0.357
Passes	20	17.923	1.116	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.544 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.816 → ×100 = 181.64 → 182

Offensive6.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.077	0.109	0.4	1.941
Shooting %	0.4	0.508	0.2	1.033
Assists per pass	0.3	0.102	0.4	3.937

Σ contribution = 6.911

Defensive8.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.085	7.65	0.3	2.295
Blocks	2	0.786	9.651	0.2	1.93
Takeaways	9	3.026	9.849	0.25	2.462
Goals conceded	6	6.91	6.602	0.25	1.651

Σ contribution = 8.338

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Sanguine St. Louis Royals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.14	1.89	0.23	0.981	0.226
Assists	1	1.82	1.68	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Shots	7	4.22	3.03	0.09	0.917	0.083
Passes	25	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.867	0.069
Saves	1	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	0	3.03	2.7	0.11	-1.122	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.018 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.963, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.0

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.788	1.32	0.32	0.422
Shots	7	4.218	1.66	0.08	0.133
Saves	1	2.085	0.48	0.15	0.072
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	3.026	0	0.12	0
Passes	25	17.923	1.395	0.08	0.112
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.775 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.911 → ×100 = 91.13 → 91

Offensive6.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	2.5	0.109	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.571	0.508	0.2	1.3
Assists per pass	0.04	0.102	0.4	1.534

Σ contribution = 6.834

Defensive4.21

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.085	4.088	0.3	1.226
Blocks	0	0.786	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	3.026	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	6.91	6.602	0.25	1.651

Σ contribution = 4.206

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.