Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs Austin Alligators

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

13–5Final

AAAwayAustin Alligators

May 30, 2023 · Intermediate Division - Baguette · Hot Springs Arena Rink A

MVP Snail · 9.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsAustin Alligators

20Shots713

8Saves17

11Faceoffs won29

14Takeaways212

12Turnovers↓214

2Blocks11

56Passes1145

1:39Possession0:292:08

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	8	10	5	3	3	8	3	1	22	1:02	226	5.69	8.40
DarthTaksil	3	5	3	5	2	3	5	1	18	0:20	140	5.70	6.94
Pino	2	5	0	3	4	3	4	0	16	0:17	105	4.92	4.72

Austin Alligators

Player	G	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Triggered_Kid	2	5	3	2	5	4	4	0	16	0:17	100	4.92	5.79
martdog1	0	2	1	3	1	4	6	0	11	0:21	30	2.95	4.65
GoldenKnight	3	6	3	4	5	4	4	1	18	1:30	114	3.86	6.50

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	8	1.93	1.88	0.23	3.229	0.743
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	10	3.88	3.02	0.09	2.027	0.182
Passes	22	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.839	0.067
Saves	5	1.95	1.66	0.19	1.84	0.35
Blocks	1	0.88	1.17	0.11	0.099	0.011
Takeaways	8	3.14	2.64	0.11	1.84	0.202

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.401 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.803, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 9.6

Pucker+226

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	3.174	2.521	0.32	0.807
Shots	10	3.884	2.574	0.08	0.206
Saves	5	1.95	2.564	0.15	0.385
Blocks	1	0.884	1.131	0.07	0.079
Takeaways	8	3.14	2.547	0.12	0.306
Passes	22	15.818	1.391	0.08	0.111
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.923 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.263 → ×100 = 226.27 → 226

Offensive5.69

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.129	0.099	0.4	2.872
Shooting %	0.8	0.498	0.2	1.633
Assists per pass	0	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.686

Defensive8.40

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	1.95	9.664	0.3	2.899
Blocks	1	0.884	6.52	0.2	1.304
Takeaways	8	3.14	9.653	0.25	2.413
Goals conceded	5	6.488	7.156	0.25	1.789

Σ contribution = 8.405

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

DarthTaksil Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.568	0.131
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	5	3.88	3.02	0.09	0.37	0.033
Passes	18	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.296	0.024
Saves	3	1.95	1.66	0.19	0.633	0.12
Blocks	1	0.88	1.17	0.11	0.099	0.011
Takeaways	3	3.14	2.64	0.11	-0.053	-0.006

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.159 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.318, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.6

Pucker+140

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.174	1.891	0.32	0.605
Shots	5	3.884	1.287	0.08	0.103
Saves	3	1.95	1.538	0.15	0.231
Blocks	1	0.884	1.131	0.07	0.079
Takeaways	3	3.14	0.955	0.12	0.115
Passes	18	15.818	1.138	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 1.266 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.49 − 0.089 turnover penalty = 1.401 → ×100 = 140.1 → 140

Offensive5.70

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.15	0.099	0.4	3.159
Shooting %	0.6	0.498	0.2	1.362
Assists per pass	0	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.702

Defensive6.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.95	7.966	0.3	2.39
Blocks	1	0.884	6.52	0.2	1.304
Takeaways	3	3.14	5.821	0.25	1.455
Goals conceded	5	6.488	7.156	0.25	1.789

Σ contribution = 6.938

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pino Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.035	0.008
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	5	3.88	3.02	0.09	0.37	0.033
Passes	16	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.025	0.002
Saves	0	1.95	1.66	0.19	-1.177	-0.224
Blocks	0	0.88	1.17	0.11	-0.756	-0.083
Takeaways	3	3.14	2.64	0.11	-0.053	-0.006

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.423 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.154, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Pucker+105

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.174	1.891	0.32	0.605
Shots	5	3.884	1.287	0.08	0.103
Saves	0	1.95	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.884	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.14	0.955	0.12	0.115
Passes	16	15.818	1.011	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.929 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.093 − 0.041 turnover penalty = 1.052 → ×100 = 105.22 → 105

Offensive4.92

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.118	0.099	0.4	2.698
Shooting %	0.4	0.498	0.2	1.045
Assists per pass	0	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.925

Defensive4.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.95	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.884	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.14	5.821	0.25	1.455
Goals conceded	5	6.488	7.156	0.25	1.789

Σ contribution = 4.721

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Triggered_Kid Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.035	0.008
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	5	3.88	3.02	0.09	0.37	0.033
Passes	16	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.025	0.002
Saves	3	1.95	1.66	0.19	0.633	0.12
Blocks	0	0.88	1.17	0.11	-0.756	-0.083
Takeaways	4	3.14	2.64	0.11	0.326	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.037 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.925, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+100

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.174	0.945	0.32	0.302
Shots	5	3.884	1.287	0.08	0.103
Saves	3	1.95	1.538	0.15	0.231
Blocks	0	0.884	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.14	1.274	0.12	0.153
Passes	16	15.818	1.011	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.5	0.571	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.887 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.044 − 0.041 turnover penalty = 1.003 → ×100 = 100.26 → 100

Offensive4.92

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.118	0.099	0.4	2.698
Shooting %	0.4	0.498	0.2	1.045
Assists per pass	0	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.925

Defensive5.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.95	7.966	0.3	2.39
Blocks	0	0.884	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	3.14	7.068	0.25	1.767
Goals conceded	13	6.488	4.149	0.25	1.037

Σ contribution = 5.785

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

martdog1 Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.93	1.88	0.23	-1.029	-0.237
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	2	3.88	3.02	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	11	15.82	7.37	0.08	-0.654	-0.052
Saves	1	1.95	1.66	0.19	-0.573	-0.109
Blocks	0	0.88	1.17	0.11	-0.756	-0.083
Takeaways	4	3.14	2.64	0.11	0.326	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.655 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.689, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.0

Pucker+30

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.174	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	3.884	0.515	0.08	0.041
Saves	1	1.95	0.513	0.15	0.077
Blocks	0	0.884	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.14	1.274	0.12	0.153
Passes	11	15.818	0.695	0.08	0.056
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.372 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.437 − 0.137 turnover penalty = 0.3 → ×100 = 30.06 → 30

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.099	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.498	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.95	4.192	0.3	1.258
Blocks	0	0.884	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	3.14	7.068	0.25	1.767
Goals conceded	13	6.488	4.149	0.25	1.037

Σ contribution = 4.653

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

GoldenKnight Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.568	0.131
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	6	3.88	3.02	0.09	0.701	0.063
Passes	18	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.296	0.024
Saves	3	1.95	1.66	0.19	0.633	0.12
Blocks	1	0.88	1.17	0.11	0.099	0.011
Takeaways	4	3.14	2.64	0.11	0.326	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.231 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.461, then −0.2 goals against → 6.3

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.174	0.945	0.32	0.302
Shots	6	3.884	1.545	0.08	0.124
Saves	3	1.95	1.538	0.15	0.231
Blocks	1	0.884	1.131	0.07	0.079
Takeaways	4	3.14	1.274	0.12	0.153
Passes	18	15.818	1.138	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 1.006 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.184 − 0.041 turnover penalty = 1.143 → ×100 = 114.31 → 114

Offensive3.86

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.099	0.4	1.471
Shooting %	0.5	0.498	0.2	1.203
Assists per pass	0	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.856

Defensive6.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.95	7.966	0.3	2.39
Blocks	1	0.884	6.52	0.2	1.304
Takeaways	4	3.14	7.068	0.25	1.767
Goals conceded	13	6.488	4.149	0.25	1.037

Σ contribution = 6.498

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.