Austin Alligators vs Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

AAHomeAustin Alligators

6–2Final

HSAwayHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

May 3, 2023 · Intermediate Division - Baguette · The Hog Hole

MVP martdog1 · 6.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Austin AlligatorsvsHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

14Shots77

5Saves38

4Faceoffs won26

15Takeaways114

4Turnovers↓1115

1Blocks67

51Passes1041

2:36Possession1:361:00

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Austin Alligators

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Triggered_Kid	1	2	3	2	4	1	2	3	0	0	9	1:00	98	6.81	7.05
martdog1	3	1	4	5	1	2	2	3	3	1	23	0:37	109	5.68	6.28
GoldenKnight	2	1	3	7	0	1	2	9	1	0	19	0:59	107	4.50	6.19

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	2	2	7	5	2	2	0	9	3	10	0:32	95	3.90	7.21
DarthTaksil	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	0	10	0:15	40	2.95	5.16
Pino	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	1	11	0:08	32	2.95	4.92
Orange	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	4	3	10	0:05	39	2.95	5.56

Triggered_Kid Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.93	1.88	0.23	-0.497	-0.114
Assists	2	1.18	1.46	0.19	0.56	0.106
Shots	2	3.88	3.02	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	9	15.82	7.37	0.08	-0.926	-0.074
Saves	4	1.95	1.66	0.19	1.237	0.235
Blocks	0	0.88	1.17	0.11	-0.756	-0.083
Takeaways	3	3.14	2.64	0.11	-0.053	-0.006

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.008 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.016, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.0

Pucker+98

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.174	0.945	0.32	0.302
Shots	2	3.884	0.515	0.08	0.041
Saves	4	1.95	2.051	0.15	0.308
Blocks	0	0.884	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.14	0.955	0.12	0.115
Passes	9	15.818	0.569	0.08	0.046
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.831 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.978 → ×100 = 97.82 → 98

Offensive6.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.099	0.4	1.667
Shooting %	0.5	0.498	0.2	1.203
Assists per pass	0.222	0.075	0.4	3.939

Σ contribution = 6.81

Defensive7.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	1.95	9.129	0.3	2.739
Blocks	0	0.884	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.14	5.821	0.25	1.455
Goals conceded	2	6.488	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.047

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

martdog1 Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.568	0.131
Assists	1	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.124	-0.024
Shots	5	3.88	3.02	0.09	0.37	0.033
Passes	23	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.975	0.078
Saves	1	1.95	1.66	0.19	-0.573	-0.109
Blocks	1	0.88	1.17	0.11	0.099	0.011
Takeaways	3	3.14	2.64	0.11	-0.053	-0.006

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.114 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.228, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.174	1.26	0.32	0.403
Shots	5	3.884	1.287	0.08	0.103
Saves	1	1.95	0.513	0.15	0.077
Blocks	1	0.884	1.131	0.07	0.079
Takeaways	3	3.14	0.955	0.12	0.115
Passes	23	15.818	1.454	0.08	0.116
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.923 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.086 → ×100 = 108.63 → 109

Offensive5.68

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.108	0.099	0.4	2.547
Shooting %	0.6	0.498	0.2	1.362
Assists per pass	0.043	0.075	0.4	1.768

Σ contribution = 5.677

Defensive6.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.95	4.192	0.3	1.258
Blocks	1	0.884	6.52	0.2	1.304
Takeaways	3	3.14	5.821	0.25	1.455
Goals conceded	2	6.488	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.279

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

GoldenKnight Austin Alligators

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.035	0.008
Assists	1	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.124	-0.024
Shots	7	3.88	3.02	0.09	1.033	0.093
Passes	19	15.82	7.37	0.08	0.432	0.035
Saves	0	1.95	1.66	0.19	-1.177	-0.224
Blocks	0	0.88	1.17	0.11	-0.756	-0.083
Takeaways	9	3.14	2.64	0.11	2.219	0.244

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.049 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.099, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Pucker+107

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.174	0.945	0.32	0.302
Shots	7	3.884	1.802	0.08	0.144
Saves	0	1.95	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.884	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	9	3.14	2.866	0.12	0.344
Passes	19	15.818	1.201	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.907 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.067 → ×100 = 106.67 → 107

Offensive4.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.051	0.099	0.4	1.678
Shooting %	0.286	0.498	0.2	0.878
Assists per pass	0.053	0.075	0.4	1.94

Σ contribution = 4.497

Defensive6.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.95	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.884	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	9	3.14	9.813	0.25	2.453
Goals conceded	2	6.488	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.192

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.93	1.88	0.23	0.035	0.008
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	7	3.88	3.02	0.09	1.033	0.093
Passes	10	15.82	7.37	0.08	-0.79	-0.063
Saves	5	1.95	1.66	0.19	1.84	0.35
Blocks	3	0.88	1.17	0.11	1.808	0.199
Takeaways	0	3.14	2.64	0.11	-1.189	-0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.302 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.603, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.174	0.63	0.32	0.202
Shots	7	3.884	1.802	0.08	0.144
Saves	5	1.95	2.564	0.15	0.385
Blocks	3	0.884	3.393	0.07	0.237
Takeaways	0	3.14	0	0.12	0
Passes	10	15.818	0.632	0.08	0.051
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.048 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.233 − 0.28 turnover penalty = 0.953 → ×100 = 95.36 → 95

Offensive3.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.063	0.099	0.4	1.836
Shooting %	0.286	0.498	0.2	0.878
Assists per pass	0	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.895

Defensive7.21

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	1.95	9.664	0.3	2.899
Blocks	3	0.884	9.934	0.2	1.987
Takeaways	0	3.14	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	6.488	6.324	0.25	1.581

Σ contribution = 7.205

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

DarthTaksil Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.93	1.88	0.23	-1.029	-0.237
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	0	3.88	3.02	0.09	-1.287	-0.116
Passes	10	15.82	7.37	0.08	-0.79	-0.063
Saves	2	1.95	1.66	0.19	0.03	0.006
Blocks	0	0.88	1.17	0.11	-0.756	-0.083
Takeaways	2	3.14	2.64	0.11	-0.432	-0.048

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.695 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.611, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.6

Pucker+40

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.174	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.884	0	0.08	0
Saves	2	1.95	1.025	0.15	0.154
Blocks	0	0.884	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.14	0.637	0.12	0.076
Passes	10	15.818	0.632	0.08	0.051
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.341 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.401 → ×100 = 40.1 → 40

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.099	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.498	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	1.95	6.102	0.3	1.831
Blocks	0	0.884	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	3.14	4.608	0.25	1.152
Goals conceded	6	6.488	6.324	0.25	1.581

Σ contribution = 5.155

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pino Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.93	1.88	0.23	-1.029	-0.237
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	0	3.88	3.02	0.09	-1.287	-0.116
Passes	11	15.82	7.37	0.08	-0.654	-0.052
Saves	0	1.95	1.66	0.19	-1.177	-0.224
Blocks	1	0.88	1.17	0.11	0.099	0.011
Takeaways	2	3.14	2.64	0.11	-0.432	-0.048

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.819 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.362, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.4

Pucker+32

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.174	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.884	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	1.95	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.884	1.131	0.07	0.079
Takeaways	2	3.14	0.637	0.12	0.076
Passes	11	15.818	0.695	0.08	0.056
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.271 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.319 → ×100 = 31.91 → 32

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.099	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.498	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.95	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.884	6.52	0.2	1.304
Takeaways	2	3.14	4.608	0.25	1.152
Goals conceded	6	6.488	6.324	0.25	1.581

Σ contribution = 4.923

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Orange Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.93	1.88	0.23	-1.029	-0.237
Assists	0	1.18	1.46	0.19	-0.809	-0.154
Shots	0	3.88	3.02	0.09	-1.287	-0.116
Passes	10	15.82	7.37	0.08	-0.79	-0.063
Saves	1	1.95	1.66	0.19	-0.573	-0.109
Blocks	3	0.88	1.17	0.11	1.808	0.199
Takeaways	0	3.14	2.64	0.11	-1.189	-0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.611 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.779, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.8

Pucker+39

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.174	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.884	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	1.95	0.513	0.15	0.077
Blocks	3	0.884	3.393	0.07	0.237
Takeaways	0	3.14	0	0.12	0
Passes	10	15.818	0.632	0.08	0.051
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.365 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.429 − 0.041 turnover penalty = 0.388 → ×100 = 38.83 → 39

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.099	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.498	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.075	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.95	4.192	0.3	1.258
Blocks	3	0.884	9.934	0.2	1.987
Takeaways	0	3.14	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	6.488	6.324	0.25	1.581

Σ contribution = 5.564

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.