Oregon Capybaras vs Sinaloa Heat

OCHomeOregon Capybaras

9–8Final

SHAwaySinaloa Heat

May 17, 2023 · Challenger Division - M1NNSNOWTA · Moda Center

MVP Chino · 6.9 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon CapybarasvsSinaloa Heat

17Shots512

4Saves48

6Faceoffs won612

4Takeaways37

7Turnovers↓34

3Blocks3

39Passes2564

0:33Possession0:331:06

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	3	3	6	5	0	1	1	3	3	1	18	0:05	105	8.50	5.16
Curt	0	2	2	1	3	1	4	0	1	2	7	0:18	67	6.73	6.35
Manu	6	1	7	11	1	4	7	1	3	0	14	0:10	114	7.12	4.14

Sinaloa Heat

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Chino	2	3	5	4	6	5	3	3	4	2	18	0:33	146	7.14	7.69
Timmy	5	1	6	7	2	4	3	3	0	1	25	0:30	131	6.31	5.95
Cobra	1	3	4	1	0	3	0	1	0	0	21	0:03	63	8.67	3.69

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.16	1.78	0.23	0.471	0.108
Assists	3	2.02	1.65	0.19	0.595	0.113
Shots	5	4.21	3.06	0.09	0.257	0.023
Passes	18	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.066	-0.005
Saves	0	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.944	-0.179
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.043	0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.082 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.163, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.2

Pucker+105

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.952	1.518	0.32	0.486
Shots	5	4.213	1.187	0.08	0.095
Saves	0	2.052	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	3	2.89	1.038	0.12	0.125
Passes	18	18.452	0.976	0.08	0.078
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.897 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.055 − 0.006 turnover penalty = 1.049 → ×100 = 104.95 → 105

Offensive8.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.2	0.121	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.6	0.513	0.2	1.334
Assists per pass	0.167	0.109	0.4	3.168

Σ contribution = 8.502

Defensive5.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.052	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.839	6.76	0.2	1.352
Takeaways	3	2.89	6.152	0.25	1.538
Goals conceded	8	7.097	5.55	0.25	1.388

Σ contribution = 5.164

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.16	1.78	0.23	-1.213	-0.279
Assists	2	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.012	-0.002
Shots	1	4.21	3.06	0.09	-1.051	-0.095
Passes	7	18.45	6.89	0.08	-1.663	-0.133
Saves	3	2.05	2.17	0.19	0.436	0.083
Blocks	2	0.84	1.03	0.11	1.122	0.123
Takeaways	0	2.89	2.53	0.11	-1.14	-0.125

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.428 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.144, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+67

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.952	0.38	0.32	0.121
Shots	1	4.213	0.237	0.08	0.019
Saves	3	2.052	1.462	0.15	0.219
Blocks	2	0.839	2.385	0.07	0.167
Takeaways	0	2.89	0	0.12	0
Passes	7	18.452	0.379	0.08	0.03
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.569 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.669 → ×100 = 66.95 → 67

Offensive6.73

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.121	0.4	2.265
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.286	0.109	0.4	3.877

Σ contribution = 6.733

Defensive6.35

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.052	7.728	0.3	2.318
Blocks	2	0.839	9.528	0.2	1.906
Takeaways	0	2.89	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	8	7.097	5.55	0.25	1.388

Σ contribution = 6.35

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Manu Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.16	1.78	0.23	2.154	0.495
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	11	4.21	3.06	0.09	2.22	0.2
Passes	14	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.646	-0.052
Saves	1	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.484	-0.092
Blocks	0	0.84	1.03	0.11	-0.81	-0.089
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.746	-0.082

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.263 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.526, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.952	1.771	0.32	0.567
Shots	11	4.213	2.611	0.08	0.209
Saves	1	2.052	0.487	0.15	0.073
Blocks	0	0.839	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.89	0.346	0.12	0.042
Passes	14	18.452	0.759	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0.364	0.5	0.727	0.03	0.022

Σ 0.973 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.145 − 0.006 turnover penalty = 1.139 → ×100 = 113.89 → 114

Offensive7.12

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.7	0.121	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.545	0.513	0.2	1.25
Assists per pass	0.071	0.109	0.4	1.866

Σ contribution = 7.116

Defensive4.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.052	4.112	0.3	1.234
Blocks	0	0.839	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.89	3.703	0.25	0.926
Goals conceded	8	7.097	5.55	0.25	1.388

Σ contribution = 4.139

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chino Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.091	-0.021
Assists	3	2.02	1.65	0.19	0.595	0.113
Shots	4	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.07	-0.006
Passes	18	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.066	-0.005
Saves	6	2.05	2.17	0.19	1.817	0.345
Blocks	2	0.84	1.03	0.11	1.122	0.123
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.043	0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.554 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.108, then −0.2 goals against → 6.9

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.952	1.139	0.32	0.364
Shots	4	4.213	0.949	0.08	0.076
Saves	6	2.052	2.925	0.15	0.439
Blocks	2	0.839	2.385	0.07	0.167
Takeaways	3	2.89	1.038	0.12	0.125
Passes	18	18.452	0.976	0.08	0.078
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.286 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.513 − 0.058 turnover penalty = 1.455 → ×100 = 145.54 → 146

Offensive7.14

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.152	0.121	0.4	2.79
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	1.18
Assists per pass	0.167	0.109	0.4	3.168

Σ contribution = 7.137

Defensive7.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.052	9.833	0.3	2.95
Blocks	2	0.839	9.528	0.2	1.906
Takeaways	3	2.89	6.152	0.25	1.538
Goals conceded	9	7.097	5.167	0.25	1.292

Σ contribution = 7.686

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Timmy Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.16	1.78	0.23	1.593	0.366
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	7	4.21	3.06	0.09	0.911	0.082
Passes	25	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.951	0.076
Saves	2	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.024	-0.005
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.043	0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.424 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.849, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.9

Pucker+131

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.952	1.518	0.32	0.486
Shots	7	4.213	1.662	0.08	0.133
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.15	0.146
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	3	2.89	1.038	0.12	0.125
Passes	25	18.452	1.355	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.116 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.313 → ×100 = 131.26 → 131

Offensive6.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.121	0.4	3.313
Shooting %	0.714	0.513	0.2	1.499
Assists per pass	0.04	0.109	0.4	1.502

Σ contribution = 6.314

Defensive5.95

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.052	5.899	0.3	1.77
Blocks	1	0.839	6.76	0.2	1.352
Takeaways	3	2.89	6.152	0.25	1.538
Goals conceded	9	7.097	5.167	0.25	1.292

Σ contribution = 5.952

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cobra Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.652	-0.15
Assists	3	2.02	1.65	0.19	0.595	0.113
Shots	1	4.21	3.06	0.09	-1.051	-0.095
Passes	21	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.37	0.03
Saves	0	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.944	-0.179
Blocks	0	0.84	1.03	0.11	-0.81	-0.089
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.746	-0.082

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.452 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.095, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+63

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.952	1.012	0.32	0.324
Shots	1	4.213	0.237	0.08	0.019
Saves	0	2.052	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.839	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.89	0.346	0.12	0.042
Passes	21	18.452	1.138	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.535 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.63 → ×100 = 63 → 63

Offensive8.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.333	0.121	0.4	4
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	1.792
Assists per pass	0.143	0.109	0.4	2.874

Σ contribution = 8.665

Defensive3.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.052	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.839	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.89	3.703	0.25	0.926
Goals conceded	9	7.097	5.167	0.25	1.292

Σ contribution = 3.695

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.