Hot Springs Hot Tamales vs Michigan Mallards

HSHomeHot Springs Hot Tamales

5–15Final

MMAwayMichigan Mallards

May 8, 2023 · Challenger Cross-Play · Hot Springs Arena Rink A

MVP Derek · 8.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Hot TamalesvsMichigan Mallards

10Shots1323

8Saves35

16Faceoffs won106

9Takeaways514

14Turnovers↓59

2Blocks2

45Passes1055

2:39Possession0:451:54

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Hot Tamales

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cloudii	2	1	3	4	3	6	0	2	5	2	15	0:13	100	1.19	1.10
Gubby	3	0	3	4	5	5	2	2	2	0	12	0:54	102	0.60	0.91
Echo	0	3	3	2	0	5	4	5	7	0	18	1:32	51	0.83	0.64

Michigan Mallards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Derek	8	3	11	10	1	1	5	5	2	0	21	0:30	176	1.65	0.94
dave	7	2	9	13	0	1	5	2	2	0	22	0:17	141	1.37	0.63
Blades	0	6	6	0	4	4	6	7	5	2	12	1:07	136	1.18	1.71

Cloudii Hot Springs Hot Tamales

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.14	1.89	0.23	-0.074	-0.017
Assists	1	1.82	1.68	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Shots	4	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.072	-0.006
Passes	15	17.92	8.16	0.08	-0.358	-0.029
Saves	3	2.09	2.22	0.19	0.412	0.078
Blocks	2	0.79	1	0.11	1.218	0.134
Takeaways	2	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.38	-0.042

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.025 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.051, then −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+100

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.788	0.792	0.32	0.253
Shots	4	4.218	0.948	0.08	0.076
Saves	3	2.085	1.439	0.15	0.216
Blocks	2	0.786	2.543	0.07	0.178
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.661	0.12	0.079
Passes	15	17.923	0.837	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.929 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.093 − 0.098 turnover penalty = 0.995 → ×100 = 99.51 → 100

Offensive1.19

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.231	0.109	0.4	0.722
Shooting %	0.5	0.508	0.2	0.197
Assists per pass	0.067	0.102	0.4	0.268

Σ contribution = 1.187

Defensive1.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.085	1.412	0.3	0.424
Blocks	2	0.786	1.913	0.2	0.383
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.673	0.25	0.168
Goals conceded	15	6.91	0.508	0.25	0.127

Σ contribution = 1.102

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Gubby Hot Springs Hot Tamales

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.14	1.89	0.23	0.453	0.104
Assists	0	1.82	1.68	0.19	-1.085	-0.206
Shots	4	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.072	-0.006
Passes	12	17.92	8.16	0.08	-0.726	-0.058
Saves	5	2.09	2.22	0.19	1.313	0.249
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	2	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.38	-0.042

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.046 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.909, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+102

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.788	0.792	0.32	0.253
Shots	4	4.218	0.948	0.08	0.076
Saves	5	2.085	2.398	0.15	0.36
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.661	0.12	0.079
Passes	12	17.923	0.67	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 0.865 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.017 → ×100 = 101.72 → 102

Offensive0.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.109	0.4	0.218
Shooting %	0.75	0.508	0.2	0.289
Assists per pass	0	0.102	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.602

Defensive0.91

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.085	1.885	0.3	0.565
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.673	0.25	0.168
Goals conceded	15	6.91	0.508	0.25	0.127

Σ contribution = 0.908

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Echo Hot Springs Hot Tamales

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.14	1.89	0.23	-1.13	-0.26
Assists	3	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.703	0.134
Shots	2	4.22	3.03	0.09	-0.731	-0.066
Passes	18	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.009	0.001
Saves	0	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	5	3.03	2.7	0.11	0.732	0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.376 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.247, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.5

Pucker+51

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.788	0.792	0.32	0.253
Shots	2	4.218	0.474	0.08	0.038
Saves	0	2.085	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	3.026	1.653	0.12	0.198
Passes	18	17.923	1.004	0.08	0.08
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 0.603 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.71 − 0.198 turnover penalty = 0.512 → ×100 = 51.23 → 51

Offensive0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.109	0.4	0.158
Shooting %	0	0.508	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.167	0.102	0.4	0.626

Σ contribution = 0.832

Defensive0.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.085	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	5	3.026	1.573	0.25	0.393
Goals conceded	15	6.91	0.508	0.25	0.127

Σ contribution = 0.64

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Derek Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	8	2.14	1.89	0.23	3.092	0.711
Assists	3	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.703	0.134
Shots	10	4.22	3.03	0.09	1.906	0.172
Passes	21	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.377	0.03
Saves	1	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.489	-0.093
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	5	3.03	2.7	0.11	0.732	0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.947 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.895, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.6

Pucker+176

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	11	3.788	2.904	0.32	0.929
Shots	10	4.218	2.371	0.08	0.19
Saves	1	2.085	0.48	0.15	0.072
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	3.026	1.653	0.12	0.198
Passes	21	17.923	1.172	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 1.493 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.756 → ×100 = 175.62 → 176

Offensive1.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.367	0.109	0.4	0.793
Shooting %	0.8	0.508	0.2	0.304
Assists per pass	0.143	0.102	0.4	0.554

Σ contribution = 1.651

Defensive0.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.085	0.522	0.3	0.157
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	5	3.026	1.573	0.25	0.393
Goals conceded	5	6.91	1.364	0.25	0.341

Σ contribution = 0.939

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	7	2.14	1.89	0.23	2.565	0.59
Assists	2	1.82	1.68	0.19	0.107	0.02
Shots	13	4.22	3.03	0.09	2.895	0.261
Passes	22	17.92	8.16	0.08	0.5	0.04
Saves	0	2.09	2.22	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.79	1	0.11	-0.789	-0.087
Takeaways	2	3.03	2.7	0.11	-0.38	-0.042

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.604 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.207, then +0.5 hat trick → 7.7

Pucker+141

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.788	2.376	0.32	0.76
Shots	13	4.218	3.082	0.08	0.247
Saves	0	2.085	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.786	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.661	0.12	0.079
Passes	22	17.923	1.227	0.08	0.098
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 1.194 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.405 → ×100 = 140.5 → 141

Offensive1.37

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.529	0.109	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.538	0.508	0.2	0.212
Assists per pass	0.091	0.102	0.4	0.358

Σ contribution = 1.37

Defensive0.63

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.085	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.786	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	2	3.026	0.673	0.25	0.168
Goals conceded	5	6.91	1.364	0.25	0.341

Σ contribution = 0.629

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blades Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.14	1.89	0.23	-1.13	-0.26
Assists	6	1.82	1.68	0.19	2.49	0.473
Shots	0	4.22	3.03	0.09	-1.391	-0.125
Passes	12	17.92	8.16	0.08	-0.726	-0.058
Saves	4	2.09	2.22	0.19	0.862	0.164
Blocks	2	0.79	1	0.11	1.218	0.134
Takeaways	7	3.03	2.7	0.11	1.473	0.162

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.49 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.98, then +0.4 playmaker → 7.4

Pucker+136

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.788	1.32	0.32	0.422
Shots	0	4.218	0	0.08	0
Saves	4	2.085	1.918	0.15	0.288
Blocks	2	0.786	2.543	0.07	0.178
Takeaways	7	3.026	2.314	0.12	0.278
Passes	12	17.923	0.67	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.243 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.463 − 0.098 turnover penalty = 1.365 → ×100 = 136.44 → 136

Offensive1.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.109	0.4	0.329
Shooting %	0	0.508	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.5	0.102	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.176

Defensive1.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.085	1.725	0.3	0.517
Blocks	2	0.786	1.913	0.2	0.383
Takeaways	7	3.026	1.865	0.25	0.466
Goals conceded	5	6.91	1.364	0.25	0.341

Σ contribution = 1.707

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.