Oregon Capybaras vs Michigan Mallards

OCHomeOregon Capybaras

4–3Final

MMAwayMichigan Mallards

Apr 20, 2023 · Challenger Division - M1NNSNOWTA · Moda Center

MVP Carried by Dad · 5.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon CapybarasvsMichigan Mallards

9Shots110

7Saves25

3Faceoffs won47

3Takeaways1013

13Turnovers↓103

3Blocks12

45Passes2267

2:07Possession1:223:29

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	2	2	4	5	2	2	3	1	6	2	19	1	0:12	87	1.32	1.21
Curt	2	1	3	2	2	0	3	0	2	0	14	0	0:38	57	0.88	0.84
wizrud	0	3	3	2	3	1	1	2	5	1	12	0	1:17	68	0.95	1.28

Michigan Mallards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cape	1	1	2	3	2	1	2	3	0	0	25	1:35	73	0.44	1.01
Derek	2	1	3	7	0	1	1	2	1	1	23	0:33	79	0.60	0.90
Blades	0	0	0	0	3	5	0	8	2	1	19	1:21	91	0.24	1.57

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.091	-0.021
Assists	2	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.012	-0.002
Shots	5	4.21	3.06	0.09	0.257	0.023
Passes	19	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.08	0.006
Saves	2	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.024	-0.005
Blocks	2	0.84	1.03	0.11	1.122	0.123
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.746	-0.082

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.043 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.087, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.6

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.952	1.012	0.32	0.324
Shots	5	4.213	1.187	0.08	0.095
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.15	0.146
Blocks	2	0.839	2.385	0.07	0.167
Takeaways	1	2.89	0.346	0.12	0.042
Passes	19	18.452	1.03	0.08	0.082
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.88 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.035 − 0.161 turnover penalty = 0.874 → ×100 = 87.38 → 87

Offensive1.32

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.121	0.4	0.776
Shooting %	0.4	0.513	0.2	0.157
Assists per pass	0.105	0.109	0.4	0.385

Σ contribution = 1.318

Defensive1.21

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.3	0.292
Blocks	2	0.839	1.882	0.2	0.376
Takeaways	1	2.89	0.426	0.25	0.106
Goals conceded	3	7.097	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.214

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.091	-0.021
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	2	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.724	-0.065
Passes	14	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.646	-0.052
Saves	2	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.024	-0.005
Blocks	0	0.84	1.03	0.11	-0.81	-0.089
Takeaways	0	2.89	2.53	0.11	-1.14	-0.125

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.474 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.052, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.3

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.952	0.759	0.32	0.243
Shots	2	4.213	0.475	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.15	0.146
Blocks	0	0.839	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.89	0	0.12	0
Passes	14	18.452	0.759	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.488 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.574 → ×100 = 57.39 → 57

Offensive0.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.079	0.121	0.4	0.266
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0.071	0.109	0.4	0.266

Σ contribution = 0.88

Defensive0.84

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.3	0.292
Blocks	0	0.839	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	2.89	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	7.097	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.84

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

wizrud Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.16	1.78	0.23	-1.213	-0.279
Assists	3	2.02	1.65	0.19	0.595	0.113
Shots	2	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.724	-0.065
Passes	12	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.937	-0.075
Saves	3	2.05	2.17	0.19	0.436	0.083
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	2	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.351	-0.039

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.245 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.511, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+68

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.952	0.506	0.32	0.162
Shots	2	4.213	0.475	0.08	0.038
Saves	3	2.052	1.462	0.15	0.219
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	2	2.89	0.692	0.12	0.083
Passes	12	18.452	0.65	0.08	0.052
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.668 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.786 − 0.109 turnover penalty = 0.677 → ×100 = 67.62 → 68

Offensive0.95

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.039	0.121	0.4	0.164
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.109	0.4	0.743

Σ contribution = 0.954

Defensive1.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.052	1.432	0.3	0.43
Blocks	1	0.839	1.19	0.2	0.238
Takeaways	2	2.89	0.701	0.25	0.175
Goals conceded	3	7.097	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.283

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cape Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.652	-0.15
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	3	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.397	-0.036
Passes	25	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.951	0.076
Saves	2	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.024	-0.005
Blocks	0	0.84	1.03	0.11	-0.81	-0.089
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.043	0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.316 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.368, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.2

Pucker+73

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.952	0.506	0.32	0.162
Shots	3	4.213	0.712	0.08	0.057
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.15	0.146
Blocks	0	0.839	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.89	1.038	0.12	0.125
Passes	25	18.452	1.355	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.618 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.727 → ×100 = 72.72 → 73

Offensive0.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.021	0.121	0.4	0.129
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0.04	0.109	0.4	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.437

Defensive1.01

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.3	0.292
Blocks	0	0.839	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	2.89	1.038	0.25	0.259
Goals conceded	4	7.097	1.649	0.25	0.412

Σ contribution = 1.011

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Derek Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.091	-0.021
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	7	4.21	3.06	0.09	0.911	0.082
Passes	23	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.661	0.053
Saves	0	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.944	-0.179
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	2	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.351	-0.039

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.204 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.592, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+79

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.952	0.759	0.32	0.243
Shots	7	4.213	1.662	0.08	0.133
Saves	0	2.052	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	2	2.89	0.692	0.12	0.083
Passes	23	18.452	1.247	0.08	0.1
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.672 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.791 → ×100 = 79.07 → 79

Offensive0.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.121	0.4	0.302
Shooting %	0.286	0.513	0.2	0.117
Assists per pass	0.043	0.109	0.4	0.184

Σ contribution = 0.603

Defensive0.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.052	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	0.839	1.19	0.2	0.238
Takeaways	2	2.89	0.701	0.25	0.175
Goals conceded	4	7.097	1.649	0.25	0.412

Σ contribution = 0.897

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blades Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.16	1.78	0.23	-1.213	-0.279
Assists	0	2.02	1.65	0.19	-1.224	-0.233
Shots	0	4.21	3.06	0.09	-1.378	-0.124
Passes	19	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.08	0.006
Saves	3	2.05	2.17	0.19	0.436	0.083
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	8	2.89	2.53	0.11	2.016	0.222

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.307 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.385, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.952	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.213	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.052	1.462	0.15	0.219
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	8	2.89	2.768	0.12	0.332
Passes	19	18.452	1.03	0.08	0.082
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.777 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.914 → ×100 = 91.45 → 91

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.121	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.109	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.57

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.052	1.432	0.3	0.43
Blocks	1	0.839	1.19	0.2	0.238
Takeaways	8	2.89	1.943	0.25	0.486
Goals conceded	4	7.097	1.649	0.25	0.412

Σ contribution = 1.566

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.