Michigan lil Oilers vs Ontario Whitecaps

MLHomeMichigan lil Oilers

6–16Final

Away · OWOntario Whitecaps

Jan 31, 2023 · Open Division · Mike Smith's Basement

MVP Bubba John · 8.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Michigan lil OilersvsOntario Whitecaps

9Shots2332

16Saves133

5Faceoffs won1217

2Takeaways13

3Turnovers↓12

5Blocks50

25Passes5883

0:21Possession0:501:11

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Michigan lil Oilers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Arctic Smith	2	0	2	3	5	0	7	0	1	3	5	0:05	98	6.57	6.54
Mike Smith	1	1	2	1	6	1	5	0	1	1	11	0:02	87	7.89	5.99
emma raducanu	3	2	5	5	5	4	5	2	1	1	9	0:14	131	8.80	6.52

Ontario Whitecaps

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Fiveer11	1	4	5	2	1	3	0	2	1	19	0:24	83	7.83	4.83
Bubba John	9	1	10	15	1	6	4	0	1	23	0:15	158	6.88	4.20
Pissy Yonky	2	2	4	2	0	1	1	0	0	9	0:00	53	6.57	3.89
m'namejeff	4	6	10	13	1	7	0	1	0	32	0:32	168	7.96	4.45

Arctic Smith Michigan lil Oilers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.104	-0.024
Assists	0	1.71	1.64	0.19	-1.046	-0.199
Shots	3	4.44	3.65	0.09	-0.396	-0.036
Passes	5	14.9	8.54	0.08	-1.16	-0.093
Saves	5	2.24	2.8	0.19	0.988	0.188
Blocks	3	0.85	1.1	0.11	1.947	0.214
Takeaways	0	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.929	-0.102

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.051 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.898, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+98

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.783	0.529	0.32	0.169
Shots	3	4.445	0.675	0.08	0.054
Saves	5	2.235	2.237	0.15	0.336
Blocks	3	0.85	3.531	0.07	0.247
Takeaways	0	2.301	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	14.898	0.336	0.08	0.027
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.833 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.98 → ×100 = 97.97 → 98

Offensive6.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.139	0.4	3.926
Shooting %	0.667	0.497	0.2	1.463
Assists per pass	0	0.115	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.57

Defensive6.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.235	9.378	0.3	2.814
Blocks	3	0.85	9.95	0.2	1.99
Takeaways	0	2.301	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	16	7.051	3.97	0.25	0.993

Σ contribution = 6.535

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mike Smith Michigan lil Oilers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.598	-0.137
Assists	1	1.71	1.64	0.19	-0.434	-0.082
Shots	1	4.44	3.65	0.09	-0.943	-0.085
Passes	11	14.9	8.54	0.08	-0.457	-0.037
Saves	6	2.24	2.8	0.19	1.345	0.256
Blocks	1	0.85	1.1	0.11	0.136	0.015
Takeaways	0	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.929	-0.102

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.173 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.654, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.783	0.529	0.32	0.169
Shots	1	4.445	0.225	0.08	0.018
Saves	6	2.235	2.684	0.15	0.403
Blocks	1	0.85	1.177	0.07	0.082
Takeaways	0	2.301	0	0.12	0
Passes	11	14.898	0.738	0.08	0.059
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.741 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.872 → ×100 = 87.21 → 87

Offensive7.89

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.139	0.4	4
Shooting %	1	0.497	0.2	1.813
Assists per pass	0.091	0.115	0.4	2.072

Σ contribution = 7.885

Defensive5.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.235	9.734	0.3	2.92
Blocks	1	0.85	6.701	0.2	1.34
Takeaways	0	2.301	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	16	7.051	3.97	0.25	0.993

Σ contribution = 5.991

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

emma raducanu Michigan lil Oilers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	2.02	0.23	0.39	0.09
Assists	2	1.71	1.64	0.19	0.178	0.034
Shots	5	4.44	3.65	0.09	0.152	0.014
Passes	9	14.9	8.54	0.08	-0.691	-0.055
Saves	5	2.24	2.8	0.19	0.988	0.188
Blocks	1	0.85	1.1	0.11	0.136	0.015
Takeaways	2	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.271 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.542, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Pucker+131

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.783	1.322	0.32	0.423
Shots	5	4.445	1.125	0.08	0.09
Saves	5	2.235	2.237	0.15	0.336
Blocks	1	0.85	1.177	0.07	0.082
Takeaways	2	2.301	0.869	0.12	0.104
Passes	9	14.898	0.604	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 1.11 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.306 → ×100 = 130.61 → 131

Offensive8.80

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.357	0.139	0.4	3.865
Shooting %	0.6	0.497	0.2	1.363
Assists per pass	0.222	0.115	0.4	3.574

Σ contribution = 8.802

Defensive6.52

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.235	9.378	0.3	2.814
Blocks	1	0.85	6.701	0.2	1.34
Takeaways	2	2.301	5.48	0.25	1.37
Goals conceded	16	7.051	3.97	0.25	0.993

Σ contribution = 6.517

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Fiveer11 Ontario Whitecaps

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.598	-0.137
Assists	4	1.71	1.64	0.19	1.401	0.266
Shots	2	4.44	3.65	0.09	-0.669	-0.06
Passes	19	14.9	8.54	0.08	0.48	0.038
Saves	1	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	2	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.075 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.85, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.8

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.783	1.057	0.32	0.338
Shots	2	4.445	0.45	0.08	0.036
Saves	1	2.235	0.447	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.301	0.869	0.12	0.104
Passes	19	14.898	1.275	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.708 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.833 → ×100 = 83.27 → 83

Offensive7.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.208	0.139	0.4	3.133
Shooting %	0.5	0.497	0.2	1.205
Assists per pass	0.211	0.115	0.4	3.493

Σ contribution = 7.83

Defensive4.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.235	3.99	0.3	1.197
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.301	5.48	0.25	1.37
Goals conceded	6	7.051	6.693	0.25	1.673

Σ contribution = 4.831

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bubba John Ontario Whitecaps

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	9	2.21	2.02	0.23	3.354	0.771
Assists	1	1.71	1.64	0.19	-0.434	-0.082
Shots	15	4.44	3.65	0.09	2.89	0.26
Passes	23	14.9	8.54	0.08	0.949	0.076
Saves	1	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	0	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.929	-0.102

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.754 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.509, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.3

Pucker+158

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	3.783	2.644	0.32	0.846
Shots	15	4.445	3.375	0.08	0.27
Saves	1	2.235	0.447	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.301	0	0.12	0
Passes	23	14.898	1.544	0.08	0.124
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.343 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.579 → ×100 = 157.94 → 158

Offensive6.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.667	0.139	0.4	3.998
Shooting %	0.6	0.497	0.2	1.363
Assists per pass	0.043	0.115	0.4	1.517

Σ contribution = 6.878

Defensive4.20

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.235	3.99	0.3	1.197
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.301	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	7.051	6.693	0.25	1.673

Σ contribution = 4.199

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pissy Yonky Ontario Whitecaps

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.104	-0.024
Assists	2	1.71	1.64	0.19	0.178	0.034
Shots	2	4.44	3.65	0.09	-0.669	-0.06
Passes	9	14.9	8.54	0.08	-0.691	-0.055
Saves	0	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.799	-0.152
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	0	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.929	-0.102

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.444 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.112, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.4

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.783	1.057	0.32	0.338
Shots	2	4.445	0.45	0.08	0.036
Saves	0	2.235	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.301	0	0.12	0
Passes	9	14.898	0.604	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.453 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.533 → ×100 = 53.26 → 53

Offensive6.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.139	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	1	0.497	0.2	1.813
Assists per pass	0.222	0.115	0.4	3.574

Σ contribution = 6.568

Defensive3.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.235	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.301	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	7.051	6.693	0.25	1.673

Σ contribution = 3.888

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

m'namejeff Ontario Whitecaps

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.21	2.02	0.23	0.884	0.203
Assists	6	1.71	1.64	0.19	2.624	0.499
Shots	13	4.44	3.65	0.09	2.342	0.211
Passes	32	14.9	8.54	0.08	2.003	0.16
Saves	1	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	1	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.525	-0.058

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.847 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.693, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.9

Pucker+168

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	3.783	2.644	0.32	0.846
Shots	13	4.445	2.925	0.08	0.234
Saves	1	2.235	0.447	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.301	0.435	0.12	0.052
Passes	32	14.898	2.148	0.08	0.172
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.431 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.684 → ×100 = 168.35 → 168

Offensive7.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.313	0.139	0.4	3.754
Shooting %	0.308	0.497	0.2	0.909
Assists per pass	0.188	0.115	0.4	3.297

Σ contribution = 7.96

Defensive4.45

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.235	3.99	0.3	1.197
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.301	3.952	0.25	0.988
Goals conceded	6	7.051	6.693	0.25	1.673

Σ contribution = 4.449

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.