Massachusetts Manatees vs Michigan lil Oilers

MMHomeMassachusetts Manatees

11–2Final

MLAwayMichigan lil Oilers

Jan 24, 2023 · Open Division · The Marina

MVP Skonchy · 7.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Massachusetts ManateesvsMichigan lil Oilers

26Shots215

3Saves1215

10Faceoffs won46

6Takeaways42

2Turnovers↓46

0Blocks77

56Passes3818

1:32Possession0:480:44

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Massachusetts Manatees

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cosmo Kramer	2	4	6	6	1	4	4	4	0	24	0:42	119	6.46	6.18
Post Master	5	3	8	7	0	2	2	0	1	15	0:02	102	8.94	4.48
Skonchy	4	6	10	13	2	4	0	2	1	17	0:48	173	7.99	5.90

Michigan lil Oilers

Player	G	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Arctic Smith	0	0	0	14	2	3	0	3	0	6	0:15	112	2.95	5.49
Breathe	1	1	3	0	3	4	1	1	3	5	0:19	58	3.64	5.02
Mike Smith	1	1	2	1	1	3	1	2	4	7	0:10	73	4.35	5.34

Cosmo Kramer Massachusetts Manatees

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.104	-0.024
Assists	4	1.71	1.64	0.19	1.401	0.266
Shots	6	4.44	3.65	0.09	0.426	0.038
Passes	24	14.9	8.54	0.08	1.066	0.085
Saves	1	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	4	2.3	2.48	0.11	0.686	0.075

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.273 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.546, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.3

Pucker+119

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.783	1.454	0.32	0.465
Shots	6	4.445	1.35	0.08	0.108
Saves	1	2.235	0.447	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	2.301	1.738	0.12	0.209
Passes	24	14.898	1.611	0.08	0.129
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.008 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.186 → ×100 = 118.57 → 119

Offensive6.46

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.139	0.4	2.44
Shooting %	0.333	0.497	0.2	0.946
Assists per pass	0.167	0.115	0.4	3.078

Σ contribution = 6.464

Defensive6.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.235	3.99	0.3	1.197
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	2.301	8.513	0.25	2.128
Goals conceded	2	7.051	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.178

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Post Master Massachusetts Manatees

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.21	2.02	0.23	1.378	0.317
Assists	3	1.71	1.64	0.19	0.789	0.15
Shots	7	4.44	3.65	0.09	0.699	0.063
Passes	15	14.9	8.54	0.08	0.012	0.001
Saves	0	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.799	-0.152
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	0	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.929	-0.102

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.192 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.384, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.6

Pucker+102

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	3.783	1.983	0.32	0.634
Shots	7	4.445	1.575	0.08	0.126
Saves	0	2.235	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.301	0	0.12	0
Passes	15	14.898	1.007	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.871 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.025 → ×100 = 102.47 → 102

Offensive8.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	4	0.139	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.714	0.497	0.2	1.529
Assists per pass	0.2	0.115	0.4	3.409

Σ contribution = 8.938

Defensive4.48

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.235	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.301	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	2	7.051	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.477

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Skonchy Massachusetts Manatees

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.21	2.02	0.23	0.884	0.203
Assists	6	1.71	1.64	0.19	2.624	0.499
Shots	13	4.44	3.65	0.09	2.342	0.211
Passes	17	14.9	8.54	0.08	0.246	0.02
Saves	2	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.084	-0.016
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	2	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.818 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.637, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.8

Pucker+173

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	3.783	2.644	0.32	0.846
Shots	13	4.445	2.925	0.08	0.234
Saves	2	2.235	0.895	0.15	0.134
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.301	0.869	0.12	0.104
Passes	17	14.898	1.141	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.47 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.729 → ×100 = 172.91 → 173

Offensive7.99

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.208	0.139	0.4	3.133
Shooting %	0.308	0.497	0.2	0.909
Assists per pass	0.353	0.115	0.4	3.95

Σ contribution = 7.993

Defensive5.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.235	5.581	0.3	1.674
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.301	5.48	0.25	1.37
Goals conceded	2	7.051	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.897

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Arctic Smith Michigan lil Oilers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.21	2.02	0.23	-1.092	-0.251
Assists	0	1.71	1.64	0.19	-1.046	-0.199
Shots	0	4.44	3.65	0.09	-1.217	-0.11
Passes	6	14.9	8.54	0.08	-1.042	-0.083
Saves	14	2.24	2.8	0.19	4.204	0.799
Blocks	0	0.85	1.1	0.11	-0.769	-0.085
Takeaways	0	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.929	-0.102

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.031 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.938, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+112

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.783	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.445	0	0.08	0
Saves	14	2.235	6.264	0.15	0.94
Blocks	0	0.85	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.301	0	0.12	0
Passes	6	14.898	0.403	0.08	0.032
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.996 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.171 − 0.047 turnover penalty = 1.124 → ×100 = 112.48 → 112

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.139	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.497	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.115	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	14	2.235	10	0.3	3
Blocks	0	0.85	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.301	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	11	7.051	4.623	0.25	1.156

Σ contribution = 5.485

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Breathe Michigan lil Oilers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.598	-0.137
Assists	0	1.71	1.64	0.19	-1.046	-0.199
Shots	3	4.44	3.65	0.09	-0.396	-0.036
Passes	5	14.9	8.54	0.08	-1.16	-0.093
Saves	0	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.799	-0.152
Blocks	3	0.85	1.1	0.11	1.947	0.214
Takeaways	1	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.525	-0.058

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.46 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.08, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+58

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.783	0.264	0.32	0.085
Shots	3	4.445	0.675	0.08	0.054
Saves	0	2.235	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	0.85	3.531	0.07	0.247
Takeaways	1	2.301	0.435	0.12	0.052
Passes	5	14.898	0.336	0.08	0.027
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.49 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.577 → ×100 = 57.7 → 58

Offensive3.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.053	0.139	0.4	1.516
Shooting %	0.333	0.497	0.2	0.946
Assists per pass	0	0.115	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.643

Defensive5.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.235	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	3	0.85	9.95	0.2	1.99
Takeaways	1	2.301	3.952	0.25	0.988
Goals conceded	11	7.051	4.623	0.25	1.156

Σ contribution = 5.02

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mike Smith Michigan lil Oilers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	2.02	0.23	-0.598	-0.137
Assists	0	1.71	1.64	0.19	-1.046	-0.199
Shots	2	4.44	3.65	0.09	-0.669	-0.06
Passes	7	14.9	8.54	0.08	-0.925	-0.074
Saves	1	2.24	2.8	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Blocks	4	0.85	1.1	0.11	2.853	0.314
Takeaways	1	2.3	2.48	0.11	-0.525	-0.058

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.298 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.404, then −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+73

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.783	0.264	0.32	0.085
Shots	2	4.445	0.45	0.08	0.036
Saves	1	2.235	0.447	0.15	0.067
Blocks	4	0.85	4.708	0.07	0.33
Takeaways	1	2.301	0.435	0.12	0.052
Passes	7	14.898	0.47	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.622 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.732 → ×100 = 73.18 → 73

Offensive4.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.139	0.4	1.96
Shooting %	0.5	0.497	0.2	1.205
Assists per pass	0	0.115	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.346

Defensive5.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.235	3.99	0.3	1.197
Blocks	4	0.85	9.995	0.2	1.999
Takeaways	1	2.301	3.952	0.25	0.988
Goals conceded	11	7.051	4.623	0.25	1.156

Σ contribution = 5.34

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.