Sinaloa Heat vs New Jersey Bullets

SHHomeSinaloa Heat

11–1Final

NJAwayNew Jersey Bullets

Feb 1, 2023 · Challenger Division · Croke Park

MVP Cape · 7.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Sinaloa HeatvsNew Jersey Bullets

20Shots173

2Saves79

7Faceoffs won7

6Takeaways713

13Turnovers↓76

1Blocks10

80Passes6218

1:36Possession0:101:26

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Sinaloa Heat

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cape	4	4	8	8	0	4	4	5	5	0	26	0:43	132	8.15	5.91
dave	4	3	7	8	0	2	2	0	6	0	33	0:16	99	7.62	4.48
Blades	3	2	5	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	21	0:37	110	7.08	6.64

New Jersey Bullets

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
spillz	0	1	1	1	6	2	2	8	2	8	1:08	115	4.87	7.12
Tokyo	1	0	1	2	3	3	4	2	2	8	0:07	60	5.51	5.29
therealdstrus	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	2	2	0:11	21	2.95	4.18

Cape Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.93	1.7	0.23	1.216	0.28
Assists	4	1.64	1.51	0.19	1.563	0.297
Shots	8	3.94	3	0.09	1.354	0.122
Passes	26	18.2	7.84	0.08	0.995	0.08
Saves	0	2.01	2.14	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.61	0.86	0.11	-0.707	-0.078
Takeaways	5	2.75	2.49	0.11	0.902	0.099

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.621 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.242, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.2

Pucker+132

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	3.422	2.192	0.32	0.701
Shots	8	3.939	2.031	0.08	0.162
Saves	0	2.01	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.611	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	2.751	1.818	0.12	0.218
Passes	26	18.196	1.429	0.08	0.114
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.226 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.443 − 0.123 turnover penalty = 1.32 → ×100 = 131.93 → 132

Offensive8.15

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.186	0.097	0.4	3.566
Shooting %	0.5	0.49	0.2	1.217
Assists per pass	0.154	0.09	0.4	3.371

Σ contribution = 8.153

Defensive5.91

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.01	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.611	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	2.751	8.695	0.25	2.174
Goals conceded	1	6.55	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.913

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.93	1.7	0.23	1.216	0.28
Assists	3	1.64	1.51	0.19	0.9	0.171
Shots	8	3.94	3	0.09	1.354	0.122
Passes	33	18.2	7.84	0.08	1.887	0.151
Saves	0	2.01	2.14	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.61	0.86	0.11	-0.707	-0.078
Takeaways	0	2.75	2.49	0.11	-1.104	-0.121

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.346 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.692, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.4

Pucker+99

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.422	2.046	0.32	0.655
Shots	8	3.939	2.031	0.08	0.162
Saves	0	2.01	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.611	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.751	0	0.12	0
Passes	33	18.196	1.814	0.08	0.145
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.992 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.167 − 0.178 turnover penalty = 0.989 → ×100 = 98.92 → 99

Offensive7.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.438	0.097	0.4	3.997
Shooting %	0.5	0.49	0.2	1.217
Assists per pass	0.091	0.09	0.4	2.411

Σ contribution = 7.625

Defensive4.48

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.01	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.611	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.751	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	1	6.55	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.477

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blades Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.93	1.7	0.23	0.629	0.145
Assists	2	1.64	1.51	0.19	0.237	0.045
Shots	4	3.94	3	0.09	0.02	0.002
Passes	21	18.2	7.84	0.08	0.358	0.029
Saves	2	2.01	2.14	0.19	-0.005	-0.001
Blocks	1	0.61	0.86	0.11	0.449	0.049
Takeaways	1	2.75	2.49	0.11	-0.702	-0.077

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.191 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.383, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.6

Pucker+110

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.422	1.315	0.32	0.421
Shots	4	3.939	1.016	0.08	0.081
Saves	2	2.01	0.995	0.15	0.149
Blocks	1	0.611	1.636	0.07	0.115
Takeaways	1	2.751	0.364	0.12	0.044
Passes	21	18.196	1.154	0.08	0.092
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.932 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.096 → ×100 = 109.63 → 110

Offensive7.08

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.135	0.097	0.4	3.006
Shooting %	0.75	0.49	0.2	1.589
Assists per pass	0.095	0.09	0.4	2.487

Σ contribution = 7.083

Defensive6.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.01	5.981	0.3	1.794
Blocks	1	0.611	8.249	0.2	1.65
Takeaways	1	2.751	3.75	0.25	0.938
Goals conceded	1	6.55	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.644

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

spillz New Jersey Bullets

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.93	1.7	0.23	-1.133	-0.261
Assists	1	1.64	1.51	0.19	-0.426	-0.081
Shots	1	3.94	3	0.09	-0.98	-0.088
Passes	8	18.2	7.84	0.08	-1.3	-0.104
Saves	6	2.01	2.14	0.19	1.865	0.354
Blocks	0	0.61	0.86	0.11	-0.707	-0.078
Takeaways	8	2.75	2.49	0.11	2.106	0.232

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.025 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.949, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+115

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.422	0.292	0.32	0.094
Shots	1	3.939	0.254	0.08	0.02
Saves	6	2.01	2.985	0.15	0.448
Blocks	0	0.611	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	2.751	2.908	0.12	0.349
Passes	8	18.196	0.44	0.08	0.035
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.976 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.148 → ×100 = 114.8 → 115

Offensive4.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.015	0.097	0.4	1.296
Shooting %	0	0.49	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.125	0.09	0.4	2.986

Σ contribution = 4.873

Defensive7.12

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.01	9.852	0.3	2.956
Blocks	0	0.611	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	2.751	9.828	0.25	2.457
Goals conceded	11	6.55	4.465	0.25	1.116

Σ contribution = 7.12

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Tokyo New Jersey Bullets

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.93	1.7	0.23	-0.546	-0.125
Assists	0	1.64	1.51	0.19	-1.09	-0.207
Shots	2	3.94	3	0.09	-0.646	-0.058
Passes	8	18.2	7.84	0.08	-1.3	-0.104
Saves	3	2.01	2.14	0.19	0.463	0.088
Blocks	0	0.61	0.86	0.11	-0.707	-0.078
Takeaways	2	2.75	2.49	0.11	-0.301	-0.033

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.518 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.965, then −0.2 goals against → 4.8

Pucker+60

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.422	0.292	0.32	0.094
Shots	2	3.939	0.508	0.08	0.041
Saves	3	2.01	1.493	0.15	0.224
Blocks	0	0.611	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.751	0.727	0.12	0.087
Passes	8	18.196	0.44	0.08	0.035
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.506 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.596 → ×100 = 59.55 → 60

Offensive5.51

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.097	0.4	3.112
Shooting %	0.5	0.49	0.2	1.217
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.511

Defensive5.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.01	7.825	0.3	2.348
Blocks	0	0.611	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.751	4.935	0.25	1.234
Goals conceded	11	6.55	4.465	0.25	1.116

Σ contribution = 5.289

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

therealdstrus New Jersey Bullets

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.93	1.7	0.23	-1.133	-0.261
Assists	0	1.64	1.51	0.19	-1.09	-0.207
Shots	0	3.94	3	0.09	-1.313	-0.118
Passes	2	18.2	7.84	0.08	-2.065	-0.165
Saves	0	2.01	2.14	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	0	0.61	0.86	0.11	-0.707	-0.078
Takeaways	3	2.75	2.49	0.11	0.1	0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.996 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.008, then −0.2 goals against → 3.8

Pucker+21

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.422	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.939	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	2.01	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.611	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.751	1.091	0.12	0.131
Passes	2	18.196	0.11	0.08	0.009
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.18 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.211 → ×100 = 21.14 → 21

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.097	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.49	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.01	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.611	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	2.751	6.362	0.25	1.59
Goals conceded	11	6.55	4.465	0.25	1.116

Σ contribution = 4.183

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.