Hershey Squirts vs Colorado Cobras

HSHomeHershey Squirts

7–6Final

CCAwayColorado Cobras

Feb 13, 2023 · Pro Division · THE SUPER BOWL

MVP [LIL] Kajun · 6.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hershey Squirts

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[LIL] Jagr	1	3	4	1	3	2	1	1	4	1	7	1	0:16	78	9.68	5.98
[LIL] milk	4	1	5	7	2	4	2	5	11	2	28	0	0:25	103	6.48	7.14
[MM/QUE] Doug	0	1	1	0	5	1	0	2	3	0	11	0	0:24	67	4.50	6.08
[SSS] hex	2	2	4	5	2	3	3	8	6	0	21	0	0:45	90	5.71	6.19

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[COW] Crusade	1	3	4	5	2	0	5	11	8	0	28	0:48	104	5.52	6.11
[LIL] Blue	4	0	4	8	0	3	4	5	4	0	21	0:38	88	4.87	4.96
[LIL] Kajun	1	4	5	5	4	3	1	8	4	1	22	1:35	137	6.05	7.73

Jagr Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.07	1.73	0.23	-0.618	-0.142
Assists	3	1.86	1.66	0.19	0.686	0.13
Shots	1	4.55	3.09	0.09	-1.149	-0.103
Passes	7	20.09	9.07	0.08	-1.444	-0.115
Saves	3	2.48	2.72	0.19	0.192	0.036
Blocks	1	0.79	1.09	0.11	0.193	0.021
Takeaways	1	3.17	2.58	0.11	-0.84	-0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.266 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.469, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.7

Pucker+78

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.738	0.936	0.32	0.3
Shots	1	4.549	0.22	0.08	0.018
Saves	3	2.478	1.21	0.15	0.182
Blocks	1	0.789	1.267	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	1	3.169	0.316	0.12	0.038
Passes	7	20.086	0.348	0.08	0.028
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.693 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.816 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 0.776 → ×100 = 77.58 → 78

Offensive9.68

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.105	0.4	3.812
Shooting %	1	0.455	0.2	1.866
Assists per pass	0.429	0.093	0.4	3.998

Σ contribution = 9.676

Defensive5.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.478	6.83	0.3	2.049
Blocks	1	0.789	7.043	0.2	1.409
Takeaways	1	3.169	3.622	0.25	0.906
Goals conceded	6	6.706	6.469	0.25	1.617

Σ contribution = 5.981

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.07	1.73	0.23	1.114	0.256
Assists	1	1.86	1.66	0.19	-0.519	-0.099
Shots	7	4.55	3.09	0.09	0.793	0.071
Passes	28	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.873	0.07
Saves	2	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	2	0.79	1.09	0.11	1.109	0.122
Takeaways	5	3.17	2.58	0.11	0.709	0.078

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.465 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.931, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.6

Pucker+103

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.738	1.337	0.32	0.428
Shots	7	4.549	1.539	0.08	0.123
Saves	2	2.478	0.807	0.15	0.121
Blocks	2	0.789	2.534	0.07	0.177
Takeaways	5	3.169	1.578	0.12	0.189
Passes	28	20.086	1.394	0.08	0.112
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.19 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.4 − 0.372 turnover penalty = 1.028 → ×100 = 102.87 → 103

Offensive6.48

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.105	0.4	3.554
Shooting %	0.571	0.455	0.2	1.4
Assists per pass	0.036	0.093	0.4	1.524

Σ contribution = 6.478

Defensive7.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.478	5.237	0.3	1.571
Blocks	2	0.789	9.644	0.2	1.929
Takeaways	5	3.169	8.084	0.25	2.021
Goals conceded	6	6.706	6.469	0.25	1.617

Σ contribution = 7.138

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Doug Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.07	1.73	0.23	-1.196	-0.275
Assists	1	1.86	1.66	0.19	-0.519	-0.099
Shots	0	4.55	3.09	0.09	-1.472	-0.132
Passes	11	20.09	9.07	0.08	-1.002	-0.08
Saves	5	2.48	2.72	0.19	0.926	0.176
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	2	3.17	2.58	0.11	-0.453	-0.05

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.54 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.921, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.9

Pucker+67

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.738	0.267	0.32	0.086
Shots	0	4.549	0	0.08	0
Saves	5	2.478	2.017	0.15	0.303
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.169	0.631	0.12	0.076
Passes	11	20.086	0.548	0.08	0.044
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2.001	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.568 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.668 → ×100 = 66.8 → 67

Offensive4.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.042	0.105	0.4	1.538
Shooting %	0	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.091	0.093	0.4	2.369

Σ contribution = 4.498

Defensive6.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.478	9.075	0.3	2.723
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	3.169	4.588	0.25	1.147
Goals conceded	6	6.706	6.469	0.25	1.617

Σ contribution = 6.078

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

hex Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.07	1.73	0.23	-0.041	-0.009
Assists	2	1.86	1.66	0.19	0.083	0.016
Shots	5	4.55	3.09	0.09	0.146	0.013
Passes	21	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.101	0.008
Saves	2	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	8	3.17	2.58	0.11	1.87	0.206

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.12 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.241, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+90

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.738	0.802	0.32	0.257
Shots	5	4.549	1.099	0.08	0.088
Saves	2	2.478	0.807	0.15	0.121
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	3.169	2.524	0.12	0.303
Passes	21	20.086	1.045	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.882 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.038 − 0.135 turnover penalty = 0.903 → ×100 = 90.34 → 90

Offensive5.71

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.089	0.105	0.4	2.16
Shooting %	0.4	0.455	0.2	1.103
Assists per pass	0.095	0.093	0.4	2.444

Σ contribution = 5.707

Defensive6.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.478	5.237	0.3	1.571
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	3.169	9.638	0.25	2.409
Goals conceded	6	6.706	6.469	0.25	1.617

Σ contribution = 6.188

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.07	1.73	0.23	-0.618	-0.142
Assists	3	1.86	1.66	0.19	0.686	0.13
Shots	5	4.55	3.09	0.09	0.146	0.013
Passes	28	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.873	0.07
Saves	2	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	11	3.17	2.58	0.11	3.032	0.334

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.292 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.583, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+104

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.738	1.07	0.32	0.342
Shots	5	4.549	1.099	0.08	0.088
Saves	2	2.478	0.807	0.15	0.121
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	11	3.169	3.471	0.12	0.417
Passes	28	20.086	1.394	0.08	0.112
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.079 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.27 − 0.229 turnover penalty = 1.041 → ×100 = 104.04 → 104

Offensive5.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.105	0.4	2.078
Shooting %	0.2	0.455	0.2	0.793
Assists per pass	0.107	0.093	0.4	2.647

Σ contribution = 5.518

Defensive6.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.478	5.237	0.3	1.571
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	11	3.169	9.943	0.25	2.486
Goals conceded	7	6.706	5.832	0.25	1.458

Σ contribution = 6.106

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.07	1.73	0.23	1.114	0.256
Assists	0	1.86	1.66	0.19	-1.122	-0.213
Shots	8	4.55	3.09	0.09	1.117	0.101
Passes	21	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.101	0.008
Saves	0	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.91	-0.173
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	5	3.17	2.58	0.11	0.709	0.078

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.023 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.954, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.0

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.738	1.07	0.32	0.342
Shots	8	4.549	1.759	0.08	0.141
Saves	0	2.478	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	3.169	1.578	0.12	0.189
Passes	21	20.086	1.045	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.858	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.782 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.92 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 0.88 → ×100 = 88 → 88

Offensive4.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.105	0.105	0.4	2.408
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.278
Assists per pass	0	0.093	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.868

Defensive4.96

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.478	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	3.169	8.084	0.25	2.021
Goals conceded	7	6.706	5.832	0.25	1.458

Σ contribution = 4.956

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kajun Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.07	1.73	0.23	-0.618	-0.142
Assists	4	1.86	1.66	0.19	1.288	0.245
Shots	5	4.55	3.09	0.09	0.146	0.013
Passes	22	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.211	0.017
Saves	4	2.48	2.72	0.19	0.559	0.106
Blocks	1	0.79	1.09	0.11	0.193	0.021
Takeaways	8	3.17	2.58	0.11	1.87	0.206

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.466 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.931, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.7

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.738	1.07	0.32	0.342
Shots	5	4.549	1.099	0.08	0.088
Saves	4	2.478	1.614	0.15	0.242
Blocks	1	0.789	1.267	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	8	3.169	2.524	0.12	0.303
Passes	22	20.086	1.095	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.501	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.197 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.408 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 1.368 → ×100 = 136.81 → 137

Offensive6.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.053	0.105	0.4	1.664
Shooting %	0.2	0.455	0.2	0.793
Assists per pass	0.182	0.093	0.4	3.592

Σ contribution = 6.049

Defensive7.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.478	8.188	0.3	2.456
Blocks	1	0.789	7.043	0.2	1.409
Takeaways	8	3.169	9.638	0.25	2.409
Goals conceded	7	6.706	5.832	0.25	1.458

Σ contribution = 7.732

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.