Colorado Cobras vs Hershey Squirts

CCHomeColorado Cobras

10–5Final

HSAwayHershey Squirts

Jan 16, 2023 · Pro Division · THE DOME DOME

MVP [LIL] Kajun · 7.9 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Perf is a 0 to 10 Alto rating, 6.0 being league average. Click any Perf number to see the working behind it.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[COW] Crusade	3	2	5	5	1	7	2	3	5	0	27	0:46	91	5.99	5.03
[LIL] Blue	2	3	5	3	1	1	2	2	3	0	23	0:26	86	8.06	4.73
[LIL] Kajun	5	1	6	8	6	4	1	7	6	2	26	1:17	171	5.04	8.96

Hershey Squirts

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[LIL] Jagr	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	4	3	2	18	0:47	115	6.10	6.44
[LIL] milk	3	0	3	8	0	2	7	8	2	0	21	0:20	94	5.29	5.07
[MM/QUE] Doug	0	1	1	1	4	1	3	1	4	1	16	0:28	61	3.96	5.95
[PHI] Eli	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0:03	4	2.95	3.56

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.07	1.73	0.23	0.536	0.123
Assists	2	1.86	1.66	0.19	0.083	0.016
Shots	5	4.55	3.09	0.09	0.146	0.013
Passes	27	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.763	0.061
Saves	1	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.543	-0.103
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	3	3.17	2.58	0.11	-0.066	-0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.023 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.047, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.3

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.738	1.337	0.32	0.428
Shots	5	4.549	1.099	0.08	0.088
Saves	1	2.478	0.403	0.15	0.061
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.169	0.947	0.12	0.114
Passes	27	20.086	1.344	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.778	0.5	1.557	0.03	0.047

Σ 0.844 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.993 − 0.087 turnover penalty = 0.906 → ×100 = 90.61 → 91

Offensive5.99

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.109	0.105	0.4	2.461
Shooting %	0.6	0.455	0.2	1.446
Assists per pass	0.074	0.093	0.4	2.083

Σ contribution = 5.99

Defensive5.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.478	3.862	0.3	1.159
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.169	5.787	0.25	1.447
Goals conceded	5	6.706	7.314	0.25	1.829

Σ contribution = 5.026

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.07	1.73	0.23	-0.041	-0.009
Assists	3	1.86	1.66	0.19	0.686	0.13
Shots	3	4.55	3.09	0.09	-0.501	-0.045
Passes	23	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.321	0.026
Saves	1	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.543	-0.103
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	2	3.17	2.58	0.11	-0.453	-0.05

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.131 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.738, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.0

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.738	1.337	0.32	0.428
Shots	3	4.549	0.659	0.08	0.053
Saves	1	2.478	0.403	0.15	0.061
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.169	0.631	0.12	0.076
Passes	23	20.086	1.145	0.08	0.092
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.729 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.857 → ×100 = 85.72 → 86

Offensive8.06

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.192	0.105	0.4	3.494
Shooting %	0.667	0.455	0.2	1.547
Assists per pass	0.13	0.093	0.4	3.018

Σ contribution = 8.059

Defensive4.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.478	3.862	0.3	1.159
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	3.169	4.588	0.25	1.147
Goals conceded	5	6.706	7.314	0.25	1.829

Σ contribution = 4.726

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kajun Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.07	1.73	0.23	1.691	0.389
Assists	1	1.86	1.66	0.19	-0.519	-0.099
Shots	8	4.55	3.09	0.09	1.117	0.101
Passes	26	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.652	0.052
Saves	6	2.48	2.72	0.19	1.293	0.246
Blocks	2	0.79	1.09	0.11	1.109	0.122
Takeaways	7	3.17	2.58	0.11	1.483	0.163

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.974 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.948, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.9

Pucker+171

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.738	1.471	0.32	0.471
Shots	8	4.549	1.759	0.08	0.141
Saves	6	2.478	2.421	0.15	0.363
Blocks	2	0.789	2.534	0.07	0.177
Takeaways	7	3.169	2.209	0.12	0.265
Passes	26	20.086	1.294	0.08	0.104
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.601	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.569 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.845 − 0.135 turnover penalty = 1.71 → ×100 = 171.08 → 171

Offensive5.04

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.078	0.105	0.4	1.999
Shooting %	0.625	0.455	0.2	1.485
Assists per pass	0.038	0.093	0.4	1.558

Σ contribution = 5.043

Defensive8.96

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.478	9.559	0.3	2.868
Blocks	2	0.789	9.644	0.2	1.929
Takeaways	7	3.169	9.345	0.25	2.336
Goals conceded	5	6.706	7.314	0.25	1.829

Σ contribution = 8.962

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jagr Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.07	1.73	0.23	-0.041	-0.009
Assists	2	1.86	1.66	0.19	0.083	0.016
Shots	4	4.55	3.09	0.09	-0.178	-0.016
Passes	18	20.09	9.07	0.08	-0.23	-0.018
Saves	2	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	2	0.79	1.09	0.11	1.109	0.122
Takeaways	4	3.17	2.58	0.11	0.322	0.035

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.096 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.192, then −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+115

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.738	1.07	0.32	0.342
Shots	4	4.549	0.879	0.08	0.07
Saves	2	2.478	0.807	0.15	0.121
Blocks	2	0.789	2.534	0.07	0.177
Takeaways	4	3.169	1.262	0.12	0.151
Passes	18	20.086	0.896	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.974 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.146 → ×100 = 114.63 → 115

Offensive6.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.085	0.105	0.4	2.104
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.278
Assists per pass	0.111	0.093	0.4	2.714

Σ contribution = 6.096

Defensive6.44

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.478	5.237	0.3	1.571
Blocks	2	0.789	9.644	0.2	1.929
Takeaways	4	3.169	7.025	0.25	1.756
Goals conceded	10	6.706	4.728	0.25	1.182

Σ contribution = 6.438

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.07	1.73	0.23	0.536	0.123
Assists	0	1.86	1.66	0.19	-1.122	-0.213
Shots	8	4.55	3.09	0.09	1.117	0.101
Passes	21	20.09	9.07	0.08	0.101	0.008
Saves	0	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.91	-0.173
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	8	3.17	2.58	0.11	1.87	0.206

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.028 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.944, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.738	0.802	0.32	0.257
Shots	8	4.549	1.759	0.08	0.141
Saves	0	2.478	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	3.169	2.524	0.12	0.303
Passes	21	20.086	1.045	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.222	0.5	0.445	0.03	0.013

Σ 0.797 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.938 → ×100 = 93.81 → 94

Offensive5.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.15	0.105	0.4	3.052
Shooting %	0.375	0.455	0.2	1.06
Assists per pass	0	0.093	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.294

Defensive5.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.478	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	3.169	9.638	0.25	2.409
Goals conceded	10	6.706	4.728	0.25	1.182

Σ contribution = 5.068

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Doug Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.07	1.73	0.23	-1.196	-0.275
Assists	1	1.86	1.66	0.19	-0.519	-0.099
Shots	1	4.55	3.09	0.09	-1.149	-0.103
Passes	16	20.09	9.07	0.08	-0.451	-0.036
Saves	4	2.48	2.72	0.19	0.559	0.106
Blocks	1	0.79	1.09	0.11	0.193	0.021
Takeaways	1	3.17	2.58	0.11	-0.84	-0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.478 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.044, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.6

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.738	0.267	0.32	0.086
Shots	1	4.549	0.22	0.08	0.018
Saves	4	2.478	1.614	0.15	0.242
Blocks	1	0.789	1.267	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	1	3.169	0.316	0.12	0.038
Passes	16	20.086	0.797	0.08	0.064
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.551 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.648 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 0.608 → ×100 = 60.8 → 61

Offensive3.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.036	0.105	0.4	1.476
Shooting %	0	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.062	0.093	0.4	1.897

Σ contribution = 3.963

Defensive5.95

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.478	8.188	0.3	2.456
Blocks	1	0.789	7.043	0.2	1.409
Takeaways	1	3.169	3.622	0.25	0.906
Goals conceded	10	6.706	4.728	0.25	1.182

Σ contribution = 5.953

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Eli Hershey Squirts

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance3.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.07	1.73	0.23	-1.196	-0.275
Assists	0	1.86	1.66	0.19	-1.122	-0.213
Shots	0	4.55	3.09	0.09	-1.472	-0.132
Passes	0	20.09	9.07	0.08	-2.216	-0.177
Saves	0	2.48	2.72	0.19	-0.91	-0.173
Blocks	0	0.79	1.09	0.11	-0.723	-0.08
Takeaways	1	3.17	2.58	0.11	-0.84	-0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ −1.143 × 2, −3 to 3) = 3.715, then −0.2 goals against → 3.5

Pucker+4

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.738	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.549	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	2.478	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.789	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.169	0.316	0.12	0.038
Passes	0	20.086	0	0.08	0
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.038 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.045 → ×100 = 4.45 → 4

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.105	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.093	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive3.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.478	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.789	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	3.169	3.622	0.25	0.906
Goals conceded	10	6.706	4.728	0.25	1.182

Σ contribution = 3.565

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.