Sinaloa Heat vs Cedar Rapids Cottonmouths

SHHomeSinaloa Heat

4–13Final

CRAwayCedar Rapids Cottonmouths

Aug 21, 2022 · Challenger Division · Croke Park

MVP Buf · 9.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Sinaloa HeatvsCedar Rapids Cottonmouths

7Shots1623

10Saves73

10Faceoffs won10

13Takeaways2336

36Turnovers↓2313

5Blocks14

36Passes4177

1:01Possession1:552:56

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Sinaloa Heat

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Bolty	2	0	2	4	0	6	2	5	16	0	9	0:14	32	5.54	3.69
dave	2	2	4	2	5	4	2	4	9	1	15	0:13	116	8.90	6.35
Blades	0	0	0	1	5	0	6	4	11	4	12	0:34	92	2.95	6.96

Cedar Rapids Cottonmouths

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
MVM13	4	2	6	6	1	2	5	5	5	0	27	0:26	110	7.42	5.03
SoulLxss	3	4	7	5	0	2	3	14	4	0	24	0:59	121	7.67	5.71
Buf	6	4	10	12	2	6	2	17	4	4	26	1:31	235	7.24	8.14

Bolty Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.03	1.68	0.23	-0.021	-0.005
Assists	0	1.71	1.58	0.19	-1.081	-0.205
Shots	4	4.1	2.77	0.09	-0.035	-0.003
Passes	9	19.03	7.9	0.08	-1.271	-0.102
Saves	0	2.06	2.34	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Blocks	0	0.81	1.03	0.11	-0.787	-0.087
Takeaways	5	7.37	4.57	0.11	-0.519	-0.057

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.626 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.747, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+32

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.599	0.556	0.32	0.178
Shots	4	4.098	0.976	0.08	0.078
Saves	0	2.063	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.81	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	7.371	0.678	0.12	0.081
Passes	9	19.034	0.473	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.42 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.494 − 0.176 turnover penalty = 0.318 → ×100 = 31.8 → 32

Offensive5.54

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.095	0.4	3.151
Shooting %	0.5	0.496	0.2	1.206
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.538

Defensive3.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.063	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.81	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	7.371	4.756	0.25	1.189
Goals conceded	13	6.305	4.105	0.25	1.026

Σ contribution = 3.692

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.03	1.68	0.23	-0.021	-0.005
Assists	2	1.71	1.58	0.19	0.184	0.035
Shots	2	4.1	2.77	0.09	-0.757	-0.068
Passes	15	19.03	7.9	0.08	-0.511	-0.041
Saves	5	2.06	2.34	0.19	1.256	0.239
Blocks	1	0.81	1.03	0.11	0.184	0.02
Takeaways	4	7.37	4.57	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.099 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.198, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+116

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.599	1.111	0.32	0.356
Shots	2	4.098	0.488	0.08	0.039
Saves	5	2.063	2.423	0.15	0.364
Blocks	1	0.81	1.234	0.07	0.086
Takeaways	4	7.371	0.543	0.12	0.065
Passes	15	19.034	0.788	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.013 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.191 − 0.034 turnover penalty = 1.157 → ×100 = 115.8 → 116

Offensive8.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.308	0.095	0.4	3.965
Shooting %	1	0.496	0.2	1.814
Assists per pass	0.133	0.09	0.4	3.12

Σ contribution = 8.899

Defensive6.35

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.063	9.561	0.3	2.868
Blocks	1	0.81	6.919	0.2	1.384
Takeaways	4	7.371	4.288	0.25	1.072
Goals conceded	13	6.305	4.105	0.25	1.026

Σ contribution = 6.35

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blades Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.03	1.68	0.23	-1.211	-0.279
Assists	0	1.71	1.58	0.19	-1.081	-0.205
Shots	1	4.1	2.77	0.09	-1.117	-0.101
Passes	12	19.03	7.9	0.08	-0.891	-0.071
Saves	5	2.06	2.34	0.19	1.256	0.239
Blocks	4	0.81	1.03	0.11	3.099	0.341
Takeaways	4	7.37	4.57	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.157 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.685, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Pucker+92

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.599	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.098	0.244	0.08	0.02
Saves	5	2.063	2.423	0.15	0.364
Blocks	4	0.81	4.936	0.07	0.346
Takeaways	4	7.371	0.543	0.12	0.065
Passes	12	19.034	0.63	0.08	0.05
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.844 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.993 − 0.074 turnover penalty = 0.919 → ×100 = 91.88 → 92

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.095	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.496	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive6.96

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.063	9.561	0.3	2.868
Blocks	4	0.81	9.997	0.2	1.999
Takeaways	4	7.371	4.288	0.25	1.072
Goals conceded	13	6.305	4.105	0.25	1.026

Σ contribution = 6.965

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

MVM13 Cedar Rapids Cottonmouths

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.03	1.68	0.23	1.17	0.269
Assists	2	1.71	1.58	0.19	0.184	0.035
Shots	6	4.1	2.77	0.09	0.686	0.062
Passes	27	19.03	7.9	0.08	1.009	0.081
Saves	1	2.06	2.34	0.19	-0.455	-0.086
Blocks	0	0.81	1.03	0.11	-0.787	-0.087
Takeaways	5	7.37	4.57	0.11	-0.519	-0.057

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.216 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.433, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.7

Pucker+110

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.599	1.667	0.32	0.533
Shots	6	4.098	1.464	0.08	0.117
Saves	1	2.063	0.485	0.15	0.073
Blocks	0	0.81	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	7.371	0.678	0.12	0.081
Passes	27	19.034	1.418	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.5	0.571	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.935 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.1 → ×100 = 110.04 → 110

Offensive7.42

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.231	0.095	0.4	3.829
Shooting %	0.667	0.496	0.2	1.464
Assists per pass	0.074	0.09	0.4	2.122

Σ contribution = 7.416

Defensive5.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.063	4.104	0.3	1.231
Blocks	0	0.81	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	7.371	4.756	0.25	1.189
Goals conceded	4	6.305	8.079	0.25	2.02

Σ contribution = 5.031

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoulLxss Cedar Rapids Cottonmouths

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.03	1.68	0.23	0.575	0.132
Assists	4	1.71	1.58	0.19	1.448	0.275
Shots	5	4.1	2.77	0.09	0.325	0.029
Passes	24	19.03	7.9	0.08	0.629	0.05
Saves	0	2.06	2.34	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Blocks	0	0.81	1.03	0.11	-0.787	-0.087
Takeaways	14	7.37	4.57	0.11	1.451	0.16

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.392 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.785, then +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.3

Pucker+121

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	3.599	1.806	0.32	0.578
Shots	5	4.098	1.22	0.08	0.098
Saves	0	2.063	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.81	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	14	7.371	1.899	0.12	0.228
Passes	24	19.034	1.261	0.08	0.101
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.028 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.21 → ×100 = 120.98 → 121

Offensive7.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.119	0.095	0.4	2.797
Shooting %	0.6	0.496	0.2	1.364
Assists per pass	0.167	0.09	0.4	3.51

Σ contribution = 7.672

Defensive5.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.063	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.81	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	14	7.371	8.864	0.25	2.216
Goals conceded	4	6.305	8.079	0.25	2.02

Σ contribution = 5.713

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Buf Cedar Rapids Cottonmouths

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.03	1.68	0.23	2.36	0.543
Assists	4	1.71	1.58	0.19	1.448	0.275
Shots	12	4.1	2.77	0.09	2.851	0.257
Passes	26	19.03	7.9	0.08	0.882	0.071
Saves	2	2.06	2.34	0.19	-0.027	-0.005
Blocks	4	0.81	1.03	0.11	3.099	0.341
Takeaways	17	7.37	4.57	0.11	2.108	0.232

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.713 × 2, −3 to 3) = 9, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.3 takeaways → 9.8

Pucker+235

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9.5	3.599	2.64	0.32	0.845
Shots	12	4.098	2.928	0.08	0.234
Saves	2	2.063	0.969	0.15	0.145
Blocks	4	0.81	4.936	0.07	0.346
Takeaways	17	7.371	2.306	0.12	0.277
Passes	26	19.034	1.366	0.08	0.109
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 2.001 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.354 → ×100 = 235.4 → 235

Offensive7.24

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.11	0.095	0.4	2.656
Shooting %	0.5	0.496	0.2	1.206
Assists per pass	0.154	0.09	0.4	3.38

Σ contribution = 7.241

Defensive8.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.063	5.877	0.3	1.763
Blocks	4	0.81	9.997	0.2	1.999
Takeaways	17	7.371	9.453	0.25	2.363
Goals conceded	4	6.305	8.079	0.25	2.02

Σ contribution = 8.145

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.