Oregon Capybaras - west vs Minneapolis Milk Duds

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

5–4Final

MMAwayMinneapolis Milk Duds

Jul 4, 2022 · WEST DIVISION PLAYOFFS · Slapstadium Rink E

MVP Carried by Dad · 6.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon Capybaras - westvsMinneapolis Milk Duds

11Shots110

6Saves6

4Faceoffs won48

15Takeaways2035

35Turnovers↓2015

5Blocks41

33Passes4376

1:23Possession2:574:20

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	5	0	5	8	1	1	2	6	19	1	13	1	0:23	94	1.17	0.92
Curt	0	2	2	3	1	3	3	2	8	4	10	0	0:08	89	1.61	0.98
Laggz	0	4	4	0	4	0	3	7	8	0	10	0	0:52	91	1.29	1.11

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cole	1	1	2	1	5	4	2	11	6	1	25	2:12	113	0.73	1.41
Blue	2	0	2	7	1	3	2	21	6	0	26	1:50	106	0.38	0.96
Graves	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	3	3	0	25	0:18	55	1.07	0.51

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	1.79	1.81	0.23	1.769	0.407
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	8	4.12	3.13	0.09	1.241	0.112
Passes	13	17.64	6.38	0.08	-0.727	-0.058
Saves	1	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.522	-0.099
Blocks	1	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.122	0.013
Takeaways	6	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.275	-0.03

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.153 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.306, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.3

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.076	1.625	0.32	0.52
Shots	8	4.12	1.942	0.08	0.155
Saves	1	2.315	0.432	0.15	0.065
Blocks	1	0.859	1.165	0.07	0.082
Takeaways	6	7.467	0.803	0.12	0.096
Passes	13	17.641	0.737	0.08	0.059
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.502	0.663	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.997 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.173 − 0.233 turnover penalty = 0.94 → ×100 = 94.03 → 94

Offensive1.17

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.217	0.069	0.4	0.789
Shooting %	0.625	0.435	0.2	0.282
Assists per pass	0	0.079	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.167

Defensive0.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.315	0.486	0.3	0.146
Blocks	1	0.859	1.163	0.2	0.233
Takeaways	6	7.467	0.806	0.25	0.201
Goals conceded	4	5.5	1.358	0.25	0.34

Σ contribution = 0.92

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	2	1.39	1.38	0.19	0.44	0.084
Shots	3	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.358	-0.032
Passes	10	17.64	6.38	0.08	-1.197	-0.096
Saves	1	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.522	-0.099
Blocks	4	0.86	1.15	0.11	2.722	0.299
Takeaways	2	7.47	5.34	0.11	-1.024	-0.113

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.184 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.632, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1

Pucker+89

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	3	4.12	0.728	0.08	0.058
Saves	1	2.315	0.432	0.15	0.065
Blocks	4	0.859	4.658	0.07	0.326
Takeaways	2	7.467	0.268	0.12	0.032
Passes	10	17.641	0.567	0.08	0.045
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.502	0.995	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.765 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.899 − 0.011 turnover penalty = 0.888 → ×100 = 88.83 → 89

Offensive1.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.069	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0	0.435	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.2	0.079	0.4	0.765

Σ contribution = 1.608

Defensive0.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.315	0.486	0.3	0.146
Blocks	4	0.859	1.999	0.2	0.4
Takeaways	2	7.467	0.376	0.25	0.094
Goals conceded	4	5.5	1.358	0.25	0.34

Σ contribution = 0.98

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Laggz Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	4	1.39	1.38	0.19	1.887	0.359
Shots	0	4.12	3.13	0.09	-1.318	-0.119
Passes	10	17.64	6.38	0.08	-1.197	-0.096
Saves	4	2.32	2.52	0.19	0.669	0.127
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	7	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.088	-0.01

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.048 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.904, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.6

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.076	1.138	0.32	0.364
Shots	0	4.12	0	0.08	0
Saves	4	2.315	1.728	0.15	0.259
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	7.467	0.937	0.12	0.112
Passes	10	17.641	0.567	0.08	0.045
Faceoff win rate	0	0.502	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.781 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.919 − 0.011 turnover penalty = 0.908 → ×100 = 90.78 → 91

Offensive1.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.077	0.069	0.4	0.447
Shooting %	0	0.435	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.4	0.079	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.294

Defensive1.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.315	1.622	0.3	0.486
Blocks	0	0.859	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	7	7.467	0.937	0.25	0.234
Goals conceded	4	5.5	1.358	0.25	0.34

Σ contribution = 1.108

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.438	-0.101
Assists	1	1.39	1.38	0.19	-0.283	-0.054
Shots	1	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.998	-0.09
Passes	25	17.64	6.38	0.08	1.153	0.092
Saves	5	2.32	2.52	0.19	1.065	0.202
Blocks	1	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.122	0.013
Takeaways	11	7.47	5.34	0.11	0.662	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.137 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.273, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.2

Pucker+113

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	1	4.12	0.243	0.08	0.019
Saves	5	2.315	2.16	0.15	0.324
Blocks	1	0.859	1.165	0.07	0.082
Takeaways	11	7.467	1.473	0.12	0.177
Passes	25	17.641	1.417	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.502	1.327	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.963 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.133 → ×100 = 113.28 → 113

Offensive0.73

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.015	0.069	0.4	0.139
Shooting %	1	0.435	0.2	0.372
Assists per pass	0.04	0.079	0.4	0.217

Σ contribution = 0.729

Defensive1.41

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.315	1.821	0.3	0.546
Blocks	1	0.859	1.163	0.2	0.233
Takeaways	11	7.467	1.441	0.25	0.36
Goals conceded	5	5.5	1.1	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 1.414

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.79	1.81	0.23	0.114	0.026
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	7	4.12	3.13	0.09	0.921	0.083
Passes	26	17.64	6.38	0.08	1.31	0.105
Saves	1	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.522	-0.099
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	21	7.47	5.34	0.11	2.534	0.279

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.12 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.241, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	7	4.12	1.699	0.08	0.136
Saves	1	2.315	0.432	0.15	0.065
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	21	7.467	2.812	0.12	0.337
Passes	26	17.641	1.474	0.08	0.118
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.502	1.194	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.9 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.059 → ×100 = 105.88 → 106

Offensive0.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.018	0.069	0.4	0.149
Shooting %	0.286	0.435	0.2	0.134
Assists per pass	0	0.079	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.379

Defensive0.96

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.315	0.486	0.3	0.146
Blocks	0	0.859	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	21	7.467	1.948	0.25	0.487
Goals conceded	5	5.5	1.1	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.956

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.438	-0.101
Assists	1	1.39	1.38	0.19	-0.283	-0.054
Shots	2	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.678	-0.061
Passes	25	17.64	6.38	0.08	1.153	0.092
Saves	0	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.919	-0.175
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	3	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.837	-0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.472 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.057, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Pucker+55

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	2	4.12	0.485	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.315	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	7.467	0.402	0.12	0.048
Passes	25	17.641	1.417	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	1	0.502	1.99	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.468 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.551 → ×100 = 55.08 → 55

Offensive1.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.069	0.4	0.619
Shooting %	0.5	0.435	0.2	0.23
Assists per pass	0.04	0.079	0.4	0.217

Σ contribution = 1.066

Defensive0.51

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.315	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.859	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	7.467	0.464	0.25	0.116
Goals conceded	5	5.5	1.1	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.511

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.