Oregon Capybaras - west vs Minneapolis Milk Duds

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

1–7Final

MMAwayMinneapolis Milk Duds

Jul 4, 2022 · WEST DIVISION PLAYOFFS · Moda Center

MVP Blue · 7.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon Capybaras - westvsMinneapolis Milk Duds

7Shots512

5Saves16

2Faceoffs won79

19Takeaways1332

32Turnovers↓1319

6Blocks60

31Passes3869

1:12Possession2:514:03

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	1	1	4	1	2	6	4	12	1	9	0:16	44	4.31	4.87
Curt	0	0	2	0	0	2	6	10	0	14	0:11	18	2.95	4.07
Laggz	0	0	1	4	0	1	9	10	5	8	0:45	97	2.95	7.54

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cole	0	3	3	0	4	1	0	11	7	23	2:46	107	5.31	7.34
Blue	5	0	5	8	2	4	0	13	7	20	0:55	137	5.61	6.62
Graves	2	2	4	4	0	4	2	8	5	26	0:22	86	7.56	5.31

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.438	-0.101
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	4	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.038	-0.003
Passes	9	17.64	6.38	0.08	-1.354	-0.108
Saves	1	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.522	-0.099
Blocks	1	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.122	0.013
Takeaways	4	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.649	-0.071

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.561 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.878, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+44

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.076	0.325	0.32	0.104
Shots	4	4.12	0.971	0.08	0.078
Saves	1	2.315	0.432	0.15	0.065
Blocks	1	0.859	1.165	0.07	0.082
Takeaways	4	7.467	0.536	0.12	0.064
Passes	9	17.641	0.51	0.08	0.041
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.502	0.498	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.448 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.527 − 0.092 turnover penalty = 0.435 → ×100 = 43.53 → 44

Offensive4.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.063	0.069	0.4	2.253
Shooting %	0.25	0.435	0.2	0.879
Assists per pass	0	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.313

Defensive4.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.315	3.944	0.3	1.183
Blocks	1	0.859	6.652	0.2	1.33
Takeaways	4	7.467	4.266	0.25	1.066
Goals conceded	7	5.5	5.156	0.25	1.289

Σ contribution = 4.868

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	2	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.678	-0.061
Passes	14	17.64	6.38	0.08	-0.571	-0.046
Saves	0	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.919	-0.175
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	6	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.275	-0.03

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.812 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.376, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 3.9

Pucker+18

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.076	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	4.12	0.485	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.315	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	7.467	0.803	0.12	0.096
Passes	14	17.641	0.794	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0	0.502	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.199 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.234 − 0.051 turnover penalty = 0.183 → ×100 = 18.24 → 18

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.069	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.435	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.315	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.859	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	7.467	5.224	0.25	1.306
Goals conceded	7	5.5	5.156	0.25	1.289

Σ contribution = 4.072

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Laggz Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	1	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.998	-0.09
Passes	8	17.64	6.38	0.08	-1.511	-0.121
Saves	4	2.32	2.52	0.19	0.669	0.127
Blocks	5	0.86	1.15	0.11	3.589	0.395
Takeaways	9	7.47	5.34	0.11	0.287	0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.076 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.848, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+97

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.076	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.12	0.243	0.08	0.019
Saves	4	2.315	1.728	0.15	0.259
Blocks	5	0.859	5.823	0.07	0.408
Takeaways	9	7.467	1.205	0.12	0.145
Passes	8	17.641	0.453	0.08	0.036
Faceoff win rate	0	0.502	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.867 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.02 − 0.051 turnover penalty = 0.969 → ×100 = 96.86 → 97

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.069	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.435	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive7.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.315	8.487	0.3	2.546
Blocks	5	0.859	9.999	0.2	2
Takeaways	9	7.467	6.81	0.25	1.702
Goals conceded	7	5.5	5.156	0.25	1.289

Σ contribution = 7.537

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	3	1.39	1.38	0.19	1.164	0.221
Shots	0	4.12	3.13	0.09	-1.318	-0.119
Passes	23	17.64	6.38	0.08	0.84	0.067
Saves	4	2.32	2.52	0.19	0.669	0.127
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	11	7.47	5.34	0.11	0.662	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.06 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.12, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.8

Pucker+107

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.076	0.975	0.32	0.312
Shots	0	4.12	0	0.08	0
Saves	4	2.315	1.728	0.15	0.259
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	11	7.467	1.473	0.12	0.177
Passes	23	17.641	1.304	0.08	0.104
Faceoff win rate	1	0.502	1.99	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.912 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.073 → ×100 = 107.3 → 107

Offensive5.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.018	0.069	0.4	1.396
Shooting %	0	0.435	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.13	0.079	0.4	3.319

Σ contribution = 5.305

Defensive7.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.315	8.487	0.3	2.546
Blocks	0	0.859	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	11	7.467	7.763	0.25	1.941
Goals conceded	1	5.5	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.34

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	1.79	1.81	0.23	1.769	0.407
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	8	4.12	3.13	0.09	1.241	0.112
Passes	20	17.64	6.38	0.08	0.37	0.03
Saves	2	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.125	-0.024
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	13	7.47	5.34	0.11	1.036	0.114

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.365 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.73, then +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.0

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.076	1.625	0.32	0.52
Shots	8	4.12	1.942	0.08	0.155
Saves	2	2.315	0.864	0.15	0.13
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	7.467	1.741	0.12	0.209
Passes	20	17.641	1.134	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	1	0.502	1.99	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.164 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.37 → ×100 = 136.99 → 137

Offensive5.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.069	0.4	2.896
Shooting %	0.625	0.435	0.2	1.528
Assists per pass	0	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.606

Defensive6.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.315	5.459	0.3	1.638
Blocks	0	0.859	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	13	7.467	8.519	0.25	2.13
Goals conceded	1	5.5	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.621

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.79	1.81	0.23	0.114	0.026
Assists	2	1.39	1.38	0.19	0.44	0.084
Shots	4	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.038	-0.003
Passes	26	17.64	6.38	0.08	1.31	0.105
Saves	0	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.919	-0.175
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	8	7.47	5.34	0.11	0.1	0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.034 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.931, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.9

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.076	1.138	0.32	0.364
Shots	4	4.12	0.971	0.08	0.078
Saves	0	2.315	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	7.467	1.071	0.12	0.129
Passes	26	17.641	1.474	0.08	0.118
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.502	1.327	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.728 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.857 → ×100 = 85.65 → 86

Offensive7.56

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.069	0.4	3.884
Shooting %	0.5	0.435	0.2	1.318
Assists per pass	0.077	0.079	0.4	2.361

Σ contribution = 7.563

Defensive5.31

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.315	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.859	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	7.467	6.285	0.25	1.571
Goals conceded	1	5.5	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.31

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.