Oregon Capybaras - west vs Minneapolis Milk Duds

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

2–3Final

MMAwayMinneapolis Milk Duds

Jul 4, 2022 · WEST DIVISION PLAYOFFS · Moda Center

MVP Blue · 6.9 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon Capybaras - westvsMinneapolis Milk Duds

6Shots612

9Saves54

2Faceoffs won46

19Takeaways2140

40Turnovers↓2119

5Blocks32

34Passes3771

2:01Possession3:095:10

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	1	0	1	3	2	1	3	4	21	2	12	0:17	42	4.37	6.78
Curt	1	1	2	3	5	1	3	7	7	1	13	0:26	101	5.96	7.73
Laggz	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	8	12	2	9	1:18	45	2.95	7.29

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cole	1	1	2	1	2	1	2	13	7	0	27	0	2:16	77	4.86	6.62
Blue	0	2	2	5	2	2	0	22	5	2	30	0	2:37	135	4.07	8.26
Graves	2	0	2	6	0	3	0	5	7	0	14	1	0:17	62	5.57	4.92

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.438	-0.101
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	3	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.358	-0.032
Passes	12	17.64	6.38	0.08	-0.884	-0.071
Saves	2	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.125	-0.024
Blocks	2	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.989	0.109
Takeaways	4	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.649	-0.071

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.381 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.238, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.7

Pucker+42

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.076	0.325	0.32	0.104
Shots	3	4.12	0.728	0.08	0.058
Saves	2	2.315	0.864	0.15	0.13
Blocks	2	0.859	2.329	0.07	0.163
Takeaways	4	7.467	0.536	0.12	0.064
Passes	12	17.641	0.68	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.502	0.498	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.589 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.692 − 0.273 turnover penalty = 0.419 → ×100 = 41.93 → 42

Offensive4.37

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.069	0.4	2.169
Shooting %	0.333	0.435	0.2	1.016
Assists per pass	0	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.366

Defensive6.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.315	5.459	0.3	1.638
Blocks	2	0.859	9.476	0.2	1.895
Takeaways	4	7.467	4.266	0.25	1.066
Goals conceded	3	5.5	8.729	0.25	2.182

Σ contribution = 6.781

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.438	-0.101
Assists	1	1.39	1.38	0.19	-0.283	-0.054
Shots	3	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.358	-0.032
Passes	13	17.64	6.38	0.08	-0.727	-0.058
Saves	5	2.32	2.52	0.19	1.065	0.202
Blocks	1	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.122	0.013
Takeaways	7	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.088	-0.01

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.039 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.923, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+101

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	3	4.12	0.728	0.08	0.058
Saves	5	2.315	2.16	0.15	0.324
Blocks	1	0.859	1.165	0.07	0.082
Takeaways	7	7.467	0.937	0.12	0.112
Passes	13	17.641	0.737	0.08	0.059
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.502	0.498	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.858 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.01 → ×100 = 100.96 → 101

Offensive5.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.077	0.069	0.4	2.587
Shooting %	0.333	0.435	0.2	1.016
Assists per pass	0.077	0.079	0.4	2.361

Σ contribution = 5.964

Defensive7.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.315	9.284	0.3	2.785
Blocks	1	0.859	6.652	0.2	1.33
Takeaways	7	7.467	5.75	0.25	1.437
Goals conceded	3	5.5	8.729	0.25	2.182

Σ contribution = 7.734

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Laggz Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	0	4.12	3.13	0.09	-1.318	-0.119
Passes	9	17.64	6.38	0.08	-1.354	-0.108
Saves	2	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.125	-0.024
Blocks	2	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.989	0.109
Takeaways	8	7.47	5.34	0.11	0.1	0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.55 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.901, then −0.3 turnovers → 4.6

Pucker+45

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.076	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.12	0	0.08	0
Saves	2	2.315	0.864	0.15	0.13
Blocks	2	0.859	2.329	0.07	0.163
Takeaways	8	7.467	1.071	0.12	0.129
Passes	9	17.641	0.51	0.08	0.041
Faceoff win rate	0	0.502	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.462 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.544 − 0.092 turnover penalty = 0.452 → ×100 = 45.18 → 45

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.069	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.435	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive7.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.315	5.459	0.3	1.638
Blocks	2	0.859	9.476	0.2	1.895
Takeaways	8	7.467	6.285	0.25	1.571
Goals conceded	3	5.5	8.729	0.25	2.182

Σ contribution = 7.286

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.438	-0.101
Assists	1	1.39	1.38	0.19	-0.283	-0.054
Shots	1	4.12	3.13	0.09	-0.998	-0.09
Passes	27	17.64	6.38	0.08	1.466	0.117
Saves	2	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.125	-0.024
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	13	7.47	5.34	0.11	1.036	0.114

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.119 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.763, then +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.0

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.076	0.488	0.32	0.156
Shots	1	4.12	0.243	0.08	0.019
Saves	2	2.315	0.864	0.15	0.13
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	7.467	1.741	0.12	0.209
Passes	27	17.641	1.53	0.08	0.122
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.502	0.663	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.656 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.772 → ×100 = 77.21 → 77

Offensive4.86

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.015	0.069	0.4	1.35
Shooting %	1	0.435	0.2	1.889
Assists per pass	0.037	0.079	0.4	1.623

Σ contribution = 4.862

Defensive6.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.315	5.459	0.3	1.638
Blocks	0	0.859	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	13	7.467	8.519	0.25	2.13
Goals conceded	2	5.5	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.621

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.79	1.81	0.23	-0.989	-0.228
Assists	2	1.39	1.38	0.19	0.44	0.084
Shots	5	4.12	3.13	0.09	0.282	0.025
Passes	30	17.64	6.38	0.08	1.936	0.155
Saves	2	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.125	-0.024
Blocks	2	0.86	1.15	0.11	0.989	0.109
Takeaways	22	7.47	5.34	0.11	2.721	0.299

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.421 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.842, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.9

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	5	4.12	1.214	0.08	0.097
Saves	2	2.315	0.864	0.15	0.13
Blocks	2	0.859	2.329	0.07	0.163
Takeaways	22	7.467	2.946	0.12	0.354
Passes	30	17.641	1.701	0.08	0.136
Faceoff win rate	1	0.502	1.99	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.147 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.349 → ×100 = 134.95 → 135

Offensive4.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.013	0.069	0.4	1.324
Shooting %	0	0.435	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.067	0.079	0.4	2.155

Σ contribution = 4.069

Defensive8.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.315	5.459	0.3	1.638
Blocks	2	0.859	9.476	0.2	1.895
Takeaways	22	7.467	9.84	0.25	2.46
Goals conceded	2	5.5	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.255

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.79	1.81	0.23	0.114	0.026
Assists	0	1.39	1.38	0.19	-1.006	-0.191
Shots	6	4.12	3.13	0.09	0.601	0.054
Passes	14	17.64	6.38	0.08	-0.571	-0.046
Saves	0	2.32	2.52	0.19	-0.919	-0.175
Blocks	0	0.86	1.15	0.11	-0.744	-0.082
Takeaways	5	7.47	5.34	0.11	-0.462	-0.051

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.464 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.072, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.6

Pucker+62

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.076	0.65	0.32	0.208
Shots	6	4.12	1.456	0.08	0.117
Saves	0	2.315	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.859	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	7.467	0.67	0.12	0.08
Passes	14	17.641	0.794	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	1	0.502	1.99	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.528 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.621 → ×100 = 62.13 → 62

Offensive5.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.118	0.069	0.4	3.376
Shooting %	0.333	0.435	0.2	1.016
Assists per pass	0	0.079	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.574

Defensive4.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.315	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.859	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	7.467	4.724	0.25	1.181
Goals conceded	2	5.5	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.92

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.