Churchill Polar Bears vs Oregon Capybaras - west

CPHomeChurchill Polar Bears

3–13Final

OCAwayOregon Capybaras - west

Mar 16, 2022 · WEST DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP Onion Soup · 8.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Churchill Polar BearsvsOregon Capybaras - west

8Shots1119

6Saves15

11Faceoffs won56

6Takeaways713

13Turnovers↓76

1Blocks23

26Passes2753

1:40Possession2:023:42

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Churchill Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
CHU Oil	0	1	1	2	3	2	1	0	2	0	4	0:14	48	6.50	4.72
CHU Smishy	0	1	1	2	0	5	3	1	6	1	9	0:03	38	7.33	4.26
damoni	3	0	3	4	3	4	2	5	5	0	13	1:23	90	4.22	5.34

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Iggi Zoink	3	1	4	4	0	1	5	2	0	0	19	0:53	67	5.35	4.66
Cole	1	2	3	2	2	1	2	2	1	1	8	0:40	76	7.13	6.46
Onion Soup	6	3	9	8	2	2	2	5	4	0	21	1:45	155	6.99	5.99
Curt	3	1	4	5	1	2	2	4	1	2	5	0:24	95	8.45	6.65

CHU Oil Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.24	2.06	0.23	-1.085	-0.25
Assists	1	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.33	-0.063
Shots	2	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.723	-0.065
Passes	4	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.688	-0.135
Saves	3	2.03	1.78	0.19	0.546	0.104
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	0	5.84	4.46	0.11	-1.308	-0.144

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.615 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.77, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.4

Pucker+48

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.654	0.274	0.32	0.088
Shots	2	4.265	0.469	0.08	0.038
Saves	3	2.029	1.478	0.15	0.222
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	5.838	0	0.12	0
Passes	4	16.794	0.238	0.08	0.019
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.406 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.478 → ×100 = 47.75 → 48

Offensive6.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.071	0.096	0.4	1.996
Shooting %	0	0.524	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.25	0.09	0.4	3.91

Σ contribution = 6.497

Defensive4.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.029	7.779	0.3	2.334
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	5.838	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	13	6.765	4.216	0.25	1.054

Σ contribution = 4.717

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

CHU Smishy Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.24	2.06	0.23	-1.085	-0.25
Assists	1	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.33	-0.063
Shots	2	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.723	-0.065
Passes	9	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.028	-0.082
Saves	0	2.03	1.78	0.19	-1.141	-0.217
Blocks	1	0.72	1.27	0.11	0.22	0.024
Takeaways	1	5.84	4.46	0.11	-1.084	-0.119

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.771 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.457, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 3.8

Pucker+38

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.654	0.274	0.32	0.088
Shots	2	4.265	0.469	0.08	0.038
Saves	0	2.029	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.721	1.388	0.07	0.097
Takeaways	1	5.838	0.171	0.12	0.021
Passes	9	16.794	0.536	0.08	0.043
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 0.323 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.38 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 0.376 → ×100 = 37.6 → 38

Offensive7.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.096	0.4	3.977
Shooting %	0	0.524	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.111	0.09	0.4	2.765

Σ contribution = 7.332

Defensive4.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.029	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.721	7.478	0.2	1.496
Takeaways	1	5.838	3.281	0.25	0.82
Goals conceded	13	6.765	4.216	0.25	1.054

Σ contribution = 4.256

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

damoni Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.24	2.06	0.23	0.371	0.085
Assists	0	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.971	-0.185
Shots	4	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.085	-0.008
Passes	13	16.79	7.58	0.08	-0.501	-0.04
Saves	3	2.03	1.78	0.19	0.546	0.104
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	5	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.188	-0.021

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.126 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.747, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Pucker+90

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.654	0.821	0.32	0.263
Shots	4	4.265	0.938	0.08	0.075
Saves	3	2.029	1.478	0.15	0.222
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	5.838	0.856	0.12	0.103
Passes	13	16.794	0.774	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.764 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.899 → ×100 = 89.9 → 90

Offensive4.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.036	0.096	0.4	1.513
Shooting %	0.75	0.524	0.2	1.525
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.219

Defensive5.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.029	7.779	0.3	2.334
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	5.838	5.43	0.25	1.357
Goals conceded	13	6.765	4.216	0.25	1.054

Σ contribution = 5.336

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Iggi Zoink Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.24	2.06	0.23	0.371	0.085
Assists	1	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.33	-0.063
Shots	4	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.085	-0.008
Passes	19	16.79	7.58	0.08	0.291	0.023
Saves	0	2.03	1.78	0.19	-1.141	-0.217
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	2	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.86	-0.095

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.336 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.329, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.6

Pucker+67

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.654	1.095	0.32	0.35
Shots	4	4.265	0.938	0.08	0.075
Saves	0	2.029	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	5.838	0.343	0.12	0.041
Passes	19	16.794	1.131	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.567 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.667 → ×100 = 66.7 → 67

Offensive5.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.075	0.096	0.4	2.059
Shooting %	0.75	0.524	0.2	1.525
Assists per pass	0.053	0.09	0.4	1.77

Σ contribution = 5.354

Defensive4.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.029	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	5.838	3.693	0.25	0.923
Goals conceded	3	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.662

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.24	2.06	0.23	-0.6	-0.138
Assists	2	1.51	1.56	0.19	0.311	0.059
Shots	2	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.723	-0.065
Passes	8	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.16	-0.093
Saves	2	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.017	-0.003
Blocks	1	0.72	1.27	0.11	0.22	0.024
Takeaways	2	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.86	-0.095

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.31 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.38, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4

Pucker+76

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.654	0.821	0.32	0.263
Shots	2	4.265	0.469	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.029	0.986	0.15	0.148
Blocks	1	0.721	1.388	0.07	0.097
Takeaways	2	5.838	0.343	0.12	0.041
Passes	8	16.794	0.476	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.644 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.758 → ×100 = 75.81 → 76

Offensive7.13

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.075	0.096	0.4	2.052
Shooting %	0.5	0.524	0.2	1.163
Assists per pass	0.25	0.09	0.4	3.91

Σ contribution = 7.125

Defensive6.46

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.029	5.942	0.3	1.783
Blocks	1	0.721	7.478	0.2	1.496
Takeaways	2	5.838	3.693	0.25	0.923
Goals conceded	3	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.464

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Onion Soup Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.24	2.06	0.23	1.828	0.42
Assists	3	1.51	1.56	0.19	0.952	0.181
Shots	8	4.26	3.13	0.09	1.193	0.107
Passes	21	16.79	7.58	0.08	0.555	0.044
Saves	2	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.017	-0.003
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	5	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.188	-0.021

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.667 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.333, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.1

Pucker+155

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.654	2.463	0.32	0.788
Shots	8	4.265	1.876	0.08	0.15
Saves	2	2.029	0.986	0.15	0.148
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	5.838	0.856	0.12	0.103
Passes	21	16.794	1.25	0.08	0.1
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.319 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.552 → ×100 = 155.15 → 155

Offensive6.99

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.086	0.096	0.4	2.225
Shooting %	0.75	0.524	0.2	1.525
Assists per pass	0.143	0.09	0.4	3.241

Σ contribution = 6.99

Defensive5.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.029	5.942	0.3	1.783
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	5.838	5.43	0.25	1.357
Goals conceded	3	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.993

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.24	2.06	0.23	0.371	0.085
Assists	1	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.33	-0.063
Shots	5	4.26	3.13	0.09	0.235	0.021
Passes	5	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.556	-0.124
Saves	1	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.579	-0.11
Blocks	2	0.72	1.27	0.11	1.009	0.111
Takeaways	4	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.412	-0.045

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.125 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.75, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.0

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.654	0.958	0.32	0.306
Shots	5	4.265	1.172	0.08	0.094
Saves	1	2.029	0.493	0.15	0.074
Blocks	2	0.721	2.776	0.07	0.194
Takeaways	4	5.838	0.685	0.12	0.082
Passes	5	16.794	0.298	0.08	0.024
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.805 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.946 → ×100 = 94.65 → 95

Offensive8.45

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.096	0.4	3.398
Shooting %	0.6	0.524	0.2	1.315
Assists per pass	0.2	0.09	0.4	3.742

Σ contribution = 8.455

Defensive6.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.029	4.129	0.3	1.239
Blocks	2	0.721	9.777	0.2	1.955
Takeaways	4	5.838	4.781	0.25	1.195
Goals conceded	3	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.651

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.