Oregon Capybaras - west vs Churchill Polar Bears

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

11–1Final

CPAwayChurchill Polar Bears

Mar 16, 2022 · WEST DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP [DUD] Cole · 6.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon Capybaras - westvsChurchill Polar Bears

21Shots165

4Saves610

6Faceoffs won6

24Takeaways1212

12Turnovers↓1224

0Blocks22

50Passes2723

4:01Possession2:341:27

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Iggi Zoink	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	2	10	0:43	43	5.38	4.83
[DUD] Cole	4	2	6	10	1	1	1	13	6	23	1:50	140	5.10	6.43
[OAK] Onion Soup	3	2	5	4	0	0	2	7	3	10	0:58	83	7.50	5.43
[OCA] Curt	3	0	3	5	2	4	2	4	1	7	0:30	78	4.96	5.83

Churchill Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
CHU Oil	1	0	1	2	2	2	2	3	7	0	7	0:08	44	5.21	4.56
CHU Smishy	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	1	11	0	8	0:20	9	2.95	3.78
[PASA] damoni	0	1	1	1	7	3	1	8	6	2	8	0:59	125	4.90	7.92

Iggi Zoink Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.24	2.06	0.23	-0.6	-0.138
Assists	1	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.33	-0.063
Shots	2	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.723	-0.065
Passes	10	16.79	7.58	0.08	-0.896	-0.072
Saves	1	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.579	-0.11
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	0	5.84	4.46	0.11	-1.308	-0.144

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.654 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.692, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.7

Pucker+43

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.654	0.547	0.32	0.175
Shots	2	4.265	0.469	0.08	0.038
Saves	1	2.029	0.493	0.15	0.074
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	5.838	0	0.12	0
Passes	10	16.794	0.595	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.364 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.428 → ×100 = 42.85 → 43

Offensive5.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.047	0.096	0.4	1.639
Shooting %	0.5	0.524	0.2	1.163
Assists per pass	0.1	0.09	0.4	2.573

Σ contribution = 5.376

Defensive4.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.029	4.129	0.3	1.239
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	5.838	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	1	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.83

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.24	2.06	0.23	0.857	0.197
Assists	2	1.51	1.56	0.19	0.311	0.059
Shots	10	4.26	3.13	0.09	1.831	0.165
Passes	23	16.79	7.58	0.08	0.819	0.066
Saves	1	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.579	-0.11
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	13	5.84	4.46	0.11	1.604	0.176

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.49 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.981, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+140

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.654	1.642	0.32	0.525
Shots	10	4.265	2.345	0.08	0.188
Saves	1	2.029	0.493	0.15	0.074
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	5.838	2.227	0.12	0.267
Passes	23	16.794	1.37	0.08	0.11
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.194 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.404 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 1.4 → ×100 = 140.01 → 140

Offensive5.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.055	0.096	0.4	1.747
Shooting %	0.4	0.524	0.2	1.014
Assists per pass	0.087	0.09	0.4	2.343

Σ contribution = 5.103

Defensive6.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.029	4.129	0.3	1.239
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	13	5.838	9.366	0.25	2.342
Goals conceded	1	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.434

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Onion Soup Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.24	2.06	0.23	0.371	0.085
Assists	2	1.51	1.56	0.19	0.311	0.059
Shots	4	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.085	-0.008
Passes	10	16.79	7.58	0.08	-0.896	-0.072
Saves	0	2.03	1.78	0.19	-1.141	-0.217
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	7	5.84	4.46	0.11	0.26	0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.185 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.629, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.9

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.654	1.368	0.32	0.438
Shots	4	4.265	0.938	0.08	0.075
Saves	0	2.029	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	5.838	1.199	0.12	0.144
Passes	10	16.794	0.595	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.704 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.829 → ×100 = 82.87 → 83

Offensive7.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.086	0.096	0.4	2.233
Shooting %	0.75	0.524	0.2	1.525
Assists per pass	0.2	0.09	0.4	3.742

Σ contribution = 7.5

Defensive5.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.029	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	5.838	6.786	0.25	1.696
Goals conceded	1	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.435

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.24	2.06	0.23	0.371	0.085
Assists	0	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.971	-0.185
Shots	5	4.26	3.13	0.09	0.235	0.021
Passes	7	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.292	-0.103
Saves	2	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.017	-0.003
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	4	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.412	-0.045

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.292 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.415, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.7

Pucker+78

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.654	0.821	0.32	0.263
Shots	5	4.265	1.172	0.08	0.094
Saves	2	2.029	0.986	0.15	0.148
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	5.838	0.685	0.12	0.082
Passes	7	16.794	0.417	0.08	0.033
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.66 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.776 → ×100 = 77.63 → 78

Offensive4.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.096	0.4	2.462
Shooting %	0.6	0.524	0.2	1.315
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.958

Defensive5.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.029	5.942	0.3	1.783
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	5.838	4.781	0.25	1.195
Goals conceded	1	6.765	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.831

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

CHU Oil Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.24	2.06	0.23	-0.6	-0.138
Assists	0	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.971	-0.185
Shots	2	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.723	-0.065
Passes	7	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.292	-0.103
Saves	2	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.017	-0.003
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	3	5.84	4.46	0.11	-0.636	-0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.627 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.747, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+44

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.654	0.274	0.32	0.088
Shots	2	4.265	0.469	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.029	0.986	0.15	0.148
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	5.838	0.514	0.12	0.062
Passes	7	16.794	0.417	0.08	0.033
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.398 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.468 − 0.03 turnover penalty = 0.438 → ×100 = 43.83 → 44

Offensive5.21

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.125	0.096	0.4	2.863
Shooting %	0.5	0.524	0.2	1.163
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.208

Defensive4.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.029	5.942	0.3	1.783
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	5.838	4.195	0.25	1.049
Goals conceded	11	6.765	4.532	0.25	1.133

Σ contribution = 4.556

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

CHU Smishy Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.24	2.06	0.23	-1.085	-0.25
Assists	0	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.971	-0.185
Shots	2	4.26	3.13	0.09	-0.723	-0.065
Passes	8	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.16	-0.093
Saves	1	2.03	1.78	0.19	-0.579	-0.11
Blocks	0	0.72	1.27	0.11	-0.568	-0.063
Takeaways	1	5.84	4.46	0.11	-1.084	-0.119

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.884 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.233, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 3.5

Pucker+9

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.654	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	4.265	0.469	0.08	0.038
Saves	1	2.029	0.493	0.15	0.074
Blocks	0	0.721	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	5.838	0.171	0.12	0.021
Passes	8	16.794	0.476	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.185 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.218 − 0.133 turnover penalty = 0.085 → ×100 = 8.51 → 9

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.096	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.524	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive3.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.029	4.129	0.3	1.239
Blocks	0	0.721	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	5.838	3.281	0.25	0.82
Goals conceded	11	6.765	4.532	0.25	1.133

Σ contribution = 3.783

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

damoni Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.24	2.06	0.23	-1.085	-0.25
Assists	1	1.51	1.56	0.19	-0.33	-0.063
Shots	1	4.26	3.13	0.09	-1.042	-0.094
Passes	8	16.79	7.58	0.08	-1.16	-0.093
Saves	7	2.03	1.78	0.19	2.795	0.531
Blocks	2	0.72	1.27	0.11	1.009	0.111
Takeaways	8	5.84	4.46	0.11	0.484	0.053

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.196 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.393, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+125

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.654	0.274	0.32	0.088
Shots	1	4.265	0.234	0.08	0.019
Saves	7	2.029	3.449	0.15	0.517
Blocks	2	0.721	2.776	0.07	0.194
Takeaways	8	5.838	1.37	0.12	0.164
Passes	8	16.794	0.476	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.066 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.254 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 1.25 → ×100 = 124.94 → 125

Offensive4.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.017	0.096	0.4	1.316
Shooting %	0	0.524	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.125	0.09	0.4	2.989

Σ contribution = 4.896

Defensive7.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.029	9.941	0.3	2.982
Blocks	2	0.721	9.777	0.2	1.955
Takeaways	8	5.838	7.417	0.25	1.854
Goals conceded	11	6.765	4.532	0.25	1.133

Σ contribution = 7.924

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.