Churchill Polar Bears vs Malibu Moguls

CPHomeChurchill Polar Bears

4–11Final

MMAwayMalibu Moguls

Feb 11, 2022 · West Division · The Hog Hole

MVP Ohwhoa · 10.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Churchill Polar BearsvsMalibu Moguls

8Shots2735

24Saves204

4Faceoffs won812

13Takeaways1730

30Turnovers↓1713

8Blocks71

27Passes5784

1:05Possession1:482:53

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Churchill Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
CHU Oil	2	0	2	2	7	1	2	6	8	1	10	0:18	126	0.85	1.34
CHU Smishy	2	1	3	5	1	1	5	4	13	2	10	0:16	77	1.16	0.92
damoni	0	2	2	1	16	2	5	3	9	5	7	0:31	249	1.06	1.30

Malibu Moguls

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Barbeque	3	6	9	15	1	2	3	9	4	1	27	0:59	199	1.35	1.27
DerangedToad	2	1	3	7	3	4	0	7	6	0	23	1:00	114	0.50	1.25
Ohwhoa	6	5	11	13	0	6	1	14	3	0	34	0:54	221	1.38	1.00

CHU Oil Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.94	0.23	-0.044	-0.01
Assists	0	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.932	-0.177
Shots	2	3.89	3.35	0.09	-0.565	-0.051
Passes	10	12.67	7.05	0.08	-0.379	-0.03
Saves	7	1.8	2.29	0.19	2.266	0.43
Blocks	1	0.64	0.97	0.11	0.371	0.041
Takeaways	6	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.176	0.019

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.222 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.445, then +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.5

Pucker+126

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.441	0.581	0.32	0.186
Shots	2	3.892	0.514	0.08	0.041
Saves	7	1.804	3.88	0.15	0.582
Blocks	1	0.641	1.561	0.07	0.109
Takeaways	6	5.229	1.147	0.12	0.138
Passes	10	12.67	0.789	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.501	0.665	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.139 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.34 − 0.082 turnover penalty = 1.258 → ×100 = 125.88 → 126

Offensive0.85

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.106	0.4	0.419
Shooting %	1	0.536	0.2	0.34
Assists per pass	0	0.112	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.854

Defensive1.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	1.804	1.994	0.3	0.598
Blocks	1	0.641	1.509	0.2	0.302
Takeaways	6	5.229	1.146	0.25	0.287
Goals conceded	11	6.601	0.62	0.25	0.155

Σ contribution = 1.342

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

CHU Smishy Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.94	0.23	-0.044	-0.01
Assists	1	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.278	-0.053
Shots	5	3.89	3.35	0.09	0.331	0.03
Passes	10	12.67	7.05	0.08	-0.379	-0.03
Saves	1	1.8	2.29	0.19	-0.351	-0.067
Blocks	2	0.64	0.97	0.11	1.403	0.154
Takeaways	4	5.23	4.38	0.11	-0.281	-0.031

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.007 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.987, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.3

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.441	0.872	0.32	0.279
Shots	5	3.892	1.285	0.08	0.103
Saves	1	1.804	0.554	0.15	0.083
Blocks	2	0.641	3.122	0.07	0.219
Takeaways	4	5.229	0.765	0.12	0.092
Passes	10	12.67	0.789	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.501	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.848 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.998 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 0.772 → ×100 = 77.19 → 77

Offensive1.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.188	0.106	0.4	0.658
Shooting %	0.4	0.536	0.2	0.15
Assists per pass	0.1	0.112	0.4	0.356

Σ contribution = 1.165

Defensive0.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.804	0.582	0.3	0.175
Blocks	2	0.641	1.972	0.2	0.394
Takeaways	4	5.229	0.769	0.25	0.192
Goals conceded	11	6.601	0.62	0.25	0.155

Σ contribution = 0.916

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

damoni Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.08	1.94	0.23	-1.077	-0.248
Assists	2	1.42	1.53	0.19	0.376	0.071
Shots	1	3.89	3.35	0.09	-0.864	-0.078
Passes	7	12.67	7.05	0.08	-0.804	-0.064
Saves	16	1.8	2.29	0.19	6.19	1.176
Blocks	5	0.64	0.97	0.11	4.498	0.495
Takeaways	3	5.23	4.38	0.11	-0.509	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.297 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.593, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.2

Pucker+249

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.441	0.581	0.32	0.186
Shots	1	3.892	0.257	0.08	0.021
Saves	16	1.804	8.87	0.15	1.33
Blocks	5	0.641	7.806	0.07	0.546
Takeaways	3	5.229	0.574	0.12	0.069
Passes	7	12.67	0.552	0.08	0.044
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.501	0.57	0.03	0.017

Σ 2.214 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.604 − 0.11 turnover penalty = 2.494 → ×100 = 249.37 → 249

Offensive1.06

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.065	0.106	0.4	0.251
Shooting %	0	0.536	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.286	0.112	0.4	0.765

Σ contribution = 1.063

Defensive1.30

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	16	1.804	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	5	0.641	2	0.2	0.4
Takeaways	3	5.229	0.598	0.25	0.149
Goals conceded	11	6.601	0.62	0.25	0.155

Σ contribution = 1.304

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Barbeque Malibu Moguls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.08	1.94	0.23	0.473	0.109
Assists	6	1.42	1.53	0.19	2.993	0.569
Shots	15	3.89	3.35	0.09	3.318	0.299
Passes	27	12.67	7.05	0.08	2.032	0.163
Saves	1	1.8	2.29	0.19	-0.351	-0.067
Blocks	1	0.64	0.97	0.11	0.371	0.041
Takeaways	9	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.861	0.095

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.207 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.415, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.6

Pucker+199

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8.5	3.441	2.47	0.32	0.79
Shots	15	3.892	3.854	0.08	0.308
Saves	1	1.804	0.554	0.15	0.083
Blocks	1	0.641	1.561	0.07	0.109
Takeaways	9	5.229	1.721	0.12	0.207
Passes	27	12.67	2.131	0.08	0.17
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.501	0.798	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.692 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.991 → ×100 = 199.08 → 199

Offensive1.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.153	0.106	0.4	0.565
Shooting %	0.2	0.536	0.2	0.089
Assists per pass	0.222	0.112	0.4	0.701

Σ contribution = 1.354

Defensive1.27

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.804	0.582	0.3	0.175
Blocks	1	0.641	1.509	0.2	0.302
Takeaways	9	5.229	1.618	0.25	0.404
Goals conceded	4	6.601	1.572	0.25	0.393

Σ contribution = 1.274

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

DerangedToad Malibu Moguls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.94	0.23	-0.044	-0.01
Assists	1	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.278	-0.053
Shots	7	3.89	3.35	0.09	0.928	0.084
Passes	23	12.67	7.05	0.08	1.465	0.117
Saves	3	1.8	2.29	0.19	0.522	0.099
Blocks	0	0.64	0.97	0.11	-0.661	-0.073
Takeaways	7	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.404	0.044

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.209 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.417, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.441	0.726	0.32	0.232
Shots	7	3.892	1.798	0.08	0.144
Saves	3	1.804	1.663	0.15	0.249
Blocks	0	0.641	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	5.229	1.339	0.12	0.161
Passes	23	12.67	1.815	0.08	0.145
Faceoff win rate	1	0.501	1.996	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.992 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.167 − 0.024 turnover penalty = 1.143 → ×100 = 114.29 → 114

Offensive0.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.106	0.4	0.206
Shooting %	0.286	0.536	0.2	0.113
Assists per pass	0.043	0.112	0.4	0.181

Σ contribution = 0.501

Defensive1.25

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.804	1.58	0.3	0.474
Blocks	0	0.641	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	7	5.229	1.326	0.25	0.332
Goals conceded	4	6.601	1.572	0.25	0.393

Σ contribution = 1.247

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ohwhoa Malibu Moguls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR10.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.08	1.94	0.23	2.022	0.465
Assists	5	1.42	1.53	0.19	2.339	0.444
Shots	13	3.89	3.35	0.09	2.721	0.245
Passes	34	12.67	7.05	0.08	3.025	0.242
Saves	0	1.8	2.29	0.19	-0.787	-0.149
Blocks	0	0.64	0.97	0.11	-0.661	-0.073
Takeaways	14	5.23	4.38	0.11	2.002	0.22

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.394 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.789, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.4 playmaker, +0.3 takeaways → 10.0

Pucker+221

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	11	3.441	3.197	0.32	1.023
Shots	13	3.892	3.34	0.08	0.267
Saves	0	1.804	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.641	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	14	5.229	2.677	0.12	0.321
Passes	34	12.67	2.684	0.08	0.215
Faceoff win rate	0.857	0.501	1.711	0.03	0.051

Σ 1.877 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.209 → ×100 = 220.87 → 221

Offensive1.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.204	0.106	0.4	0.69
Shooting %	0.462	0.536	0.2	0.172
Assists per pass	0.147	0.112	0.4	0.519

Σ contribution = 1.382

Defensive1.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.804	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.641	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	14	5.229	1.933	0.25	0.483
Goals conceded	4	6.601	1.572	0.25	0.393

Σ contribution = 0.996

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.