Colorado Cobras vs Boston Barrage

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Dec 19, 2021 · PRO DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP [CLP] Panarin · 7.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	0	2	2	3	4	5	4	16	11	6	13	1:43	157	5.81	8.15
[CLP] meatsale	2	1	3	6	1	0	2	4	9	0	26	0:24	85	6.51	4.12
[COB] Rokybo	2	0	2	4	1	0	2	6	7	0	9	0:18	61	6.15	4.30

Boston Barrage

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] LemonBond	1	2	3	3	6	4	1	6	9	0	15	0:31	125	8.00	6.40
[MAL] Derek	4	1	5	5	0	1	3	3	8	1	14	0:12	104	8.16	4.76
[] Jougie	1	1	2	4	3	3	1	18	9	0	11	2:11	103	5.14	6.89

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.55	1.51	0.23	-1.029	-0.237
Assists	2	1.3	1.14	0.19	0.61	0.116
Shots	3	3.54	2.33	0.09	-0.233	-0.021
Passes	13	18.43	6.52	0.08	-0.833	-0.067
Saves	4	1.99	2.15	0.19	0.937	0.178
Blocks	6	0.91	1.12	0.11	4.553	0.501
Takeaways	16	9.03	5.03	0.11	1.386	0.152

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.623 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.245, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.0

Pucker+157

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.771	0.722	0.32	0.231
Shots	3	3.541	0.847	0.08	0.068
Saves	4	1.991	2.009	0.15	0.301
Blocks	6	0.908	6.606	0.07	0.462
Takeaways	16	9.028	1.772	0.12	0.213
Passes	13	18.431	0.705	0.08	0.056
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 1.365 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.606 − 0.033 turnover penalty = 1.573 → ×100 = 157.29 → 157

Offensive5.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.019	0.054	0.4	1.495
Shooting %	0	0.438	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.154	0.071	0.4	3.722

Σ contribution = 5.808

Defensive8.15

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	1.991	9.062	0.3	2.719
Blocks	6	0.908	10	0.2	2
Takeaways	16	9.028	8.593	0.25	2.148
Goals conceded	6	4.706	5.151	0.25	1.288

Σ contribution = 8.155

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

meatsale Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.55	1.51	0.23	0.298	0.069
Assists	1	1.3	1.14	0.19	-0.265	-0.05
Shots	6	3.54	2.33	0.09	1.056	0.095
Passes	26	18.43	6.52	0.08	1.161	0.093
Saves	1	1.99	2.15	0.19	-0.462	-0.088
Blocks	0	0.91	1.12	0.11	-0.812	-0.089
Takeaways	4	9.03	5.03	0.11	-0.999	-0.11

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.081 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.839, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+85

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.771	1.083	0.32	0.346
Shots	6	3.541	1.694	0.08	0.136
Saves	1	1.991	0.502	0.15	0.075
Blocks	0	0.908	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	9.028	0.443	0.12	0.053
Passes	26	18.431	1.411	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.723 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.851 → ×100 = 85.11 → 85

Offensive6.51

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.125	0.054	0.4	3.784
Shooting %	0.333	0.438	0.2	1.013
Assists per pass	0.038	0.071	0.4	1.717

Σ contribution = 6.514

Defensive4.12

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.991	4.159	0.3	1.248
Blocks	0	0.908	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	9.028	3.977	0.25	0.994
Goals conceded	6	4.706	5.151	0.25	1.288

Σ contribution = 4.121

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.55	1.51	0.23	0.298	0.069
Assists	0	1.3	1.14	0.19	-1.14	-0.217
Shots	4	3.54	2.33	0.09	0.197	0.018
Passes	9	18.43	6.52	0.08	-1.447	-0.116
Saves	1	1.99	2.15	0.19	-0.462	-0.088
Blocks	0	0.91	1.12	0.11	-0.812	-0.089
Takeaways	6	9.03	5.03	0.11	-0.602	-0.066

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.489 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.021, then −0.3 turnovers → 4.7

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.771	0.722	0.32	0.231
Shots	4	3.541	1.13	0.08	0.09
Saves	1	1.991	0.502	0.15	0.075
Blocks	0	0.908	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	9.028	0.665	0.12	0.08
Passes	9	18.431	0.488	0.08	0.039
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.516 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.606 → ×100 = 60.65 → 61

Offensive6.15

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.054	0.4	3.655
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.313
Assists per pass	0	0.071	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.149

Defensive4.30

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.991	4.159	0.3	1.248
Blocks	0	0.908	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	9.028	4.707	0.25	1.177
Goals conceded	6	4.706	5.151	0.25	1.288

Σ contribution = 4.304

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LemonBond Boston Barrage

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.55	1.51	0.23	-0.365	-0.084
Assists	2	1.3	1.14	0.19	0.61	0.116
Shots	3	3.54	2.33	0.09	-0.233	-0.021
Passes	15	18.43	6.52	0.08	-0.526	-0.042
Saves	6	1.99	2.15	0.19	1.869	0.355
Blocks	0	0.91	1.12	0.11	-0.812	-0.089
Takeaways	6	9.03	5.03	0.11	-0.602	-0.066

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.168 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.337, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+125

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.771	1.083	0.32	0.346
Shots	3	3.541	0.847	0.08	0.068
Saves	6	1.991	3.014	0.15	0.452
Blocks	0	0.908	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	9.028	0.665	0.12	0.08
Passes	15	18.431	0.814	0.08	0.065
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.059 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.246 → ×100 = 124.61 → 125

Offensive8.00

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.097	0.054	0.4	3.454
Shooting %	0.333	0.438	0.2	1.013
Assists per pass	0.133	0.071	0.4	3.535

Σ contribution = 8.002

Defensive6.40

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	1.991	9.86	0.3	2.958
Blocks	0	0.908	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	9.028	4.707	0.25	1.177
Goals conceded	4	4.706	6.699	0.25	1.675

Σ contribution = 6.401

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Derek Boston Barrage

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.55	1.51	0.23	1.626	0.374
Assists	1	1.3	1.14	0.19	-0.265	-0.05
Shots	5	3.54	2.33	0.09	0.627	0.056
Passes	14	18.43	6.52	0.08	-0.68	-0.054
Saves	0	1.99	2.15	0.19	-0.928	-0.176
Blocks	1	0.91	1.12	0.11	0.082	0.009
Takeaways	3	9.03	5.03	0.11	-1.198	-0.132

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.027 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.053, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.0

Pucker+104

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	2.771	1.805	0.32	0.577
Shots	5	3.541	1.412	0.08	0.113
Saves	0	1.991	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.908	1.101	0.07	0.077
Takeaways	3	9.028	0.332	0.12	0.04
Passes	14	18.431	0.76	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.883 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.039 → ×100 = 103.9 → 104

Offensive8.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.417	0.054	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.8	0.438	0.2	1.743
Assists per pass	0.071	0.071	0.4	2.417

Σ contribution = 8.16

Defensive4.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.991	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.908	6.403	0.2	1.281
Takeaways	3	9.028	3.666	0.25	0.917
Goals conceded	4	4.706	6.699	0.25	1.675

Σ contribution = 4.759

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

[] Jougie Boston Barrage

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.55	1.51	0.23	-0.365	-0.084
Assists	1	1.3	1.14	0.19	-0.265	-0.05
Shots	4	3.54	2.33	0.09	0.197	0.018
Passes	11	18.43	6.52	0.08	-1.14	-0.091
Saves	3	1.99	2.15	0.19	0.47	0.089
Blocks	0	0.91	1.12	0.11	-0.812	-0.089
Takeaways	18	9.03	5.03	0.11	1.783	0.196

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.012 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.977, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+103

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.771	0.722	0.32	0.231
Shots	4	3.541	1.13	0.08	0.09
Saves	3	1.991	1.507	0.15	0.226
Blocks	0	0.908	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	18	9.028	1.994	0.12	0.239
Passes	11	18.431	0.597	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.879 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.035 → ×100 = 103.46 → 103

Offensive5.14

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.015	0.054	0.4	1.415
Shooting %	0.25	0.438	0.2	0.876
Assists per pass	0.091	0.071	0.4	2.846

Σ contribution = 5.138

Defensive6.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.991	7.87	0.3	2.361
Blocks	0	0.908	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	18	9.028	9.036	0.25	2.259
Goals conceded	4	4.706	6.699	0.25	1.675

Σ contribution = 6.886

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.