Virginia Express vs Colorado Cobras

VEHomeVirginia Express

8–4Final

CCAwayColorado Cobras

Sep 26, 2021 · PRO DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Train Station

MVP Panarin · 7.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Virginia ExpressvsColorado Cobras

18Shots810

6Saves410

6Faceoffs won28

32Takeaways824

24Turnovers↓832

1Blocks23

70Passes4129

2:33Possession0:303:03

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Virginia Express

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
meatsale	3	0	3	7	1	1	2	12	12	0	26	0:46	88	0.66	0.89
Rodeo	4	2	6	9	1	2	4	7	6	1	32	0:22	137	1.30	0.89
kyler	1	5	6	2	4	3	2	13	6	0	12	1:25	137	1.43	1.25

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Panarin	1	3	4	3	7	3	2	21	18	2	9	2:56	143	1.11	1.59
Rokybo	2	0	2	2	2	5	3	1	7	1	4	0:02	59	1.27	0.70
Crusade	1	2	3	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	16	0:05	66	1.48	0.46

meatsale Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.835	0.192
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	7	4.17	2.25	0.09	1.26	0.113
Passes	26	17.92	5.68	0.08	1.423	0.114
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	12	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.663	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.055 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.109, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers → 6.1

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.22	0.932	0.32	0.298
Shots	7	4.165	1.681	0.08	0.134
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	12	8.413	1.426	0.12	0.171
Passes	26	17.917	1.451	0.08	0.116
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.804 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.946 − 0.064 turnover penalty = 0.882 → ×100 = 88.14 → 88

Offensive0.66

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.065	0.071	0.4	0.367
Shooting %	0.429	0.438	0.2	0.196
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.658

Defensive0.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	0.483	0.3	0.145
Blocks	0	1.037	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	12	8.413	1.402	0.25	0.351
Goals conceded	4	5.55	1.369	0.25	0.342

Σ contribution = 0.886

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rodeo Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.83	1.41	0.23	1.546	0.356
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	9	4.17	2.25	0.09	2.148	0.193
Passes	32	17.92	5.68	0.08	2.479	0.198
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	7	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.261	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.673 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.345, then −0.3 turnovers → 7.0

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.22	1.863	0.32	0.596
Shots	9	4.165	2.161	0.08	0.173
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	7	8.413	0.832	0.12	0.1
Passes	32	17.917	1.786	0.08	0.143
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.163 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.369 → ×100 = 136.88 → 137

Offensive1.30

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.273	0.071	0.4	0.797
Shooting %	0.444	0.438	0.2	0.203
Assists per pass	0.062	0.084	0.4	0.298

Σ contribution = 1.298

Defensive0.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	0.483	0.3	0.145
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.2	0.193
Takeaways	7	8.413	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	4	5.55	1.369	0.25	0.342

Σ contribution = 0.888

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kyler Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	5	1.51	1.33	0.19	2.62	0.498
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	12	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.042	-0.083
Saves	4	2.34	2.29	0.19	0.726	0.138
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	13	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.847	0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.314 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.628, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers → 7.0

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.22	1.863	0.32	0.596
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	4	2.339	1.71	0.15	0.256
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	8.413	1.545	0.12	0.185
Passes	12	17.917	0.67	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.166 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.372 → ×100 = 137.19 → 137

Offensive1.43

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.071	0.071	0.4	0.398
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	0.228
Assists per pass	0.417	0.084	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.425

Defensive1.25

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.339	1.611	0.3	0.483
Blocks	0	1.037	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	13	8.413	1.497	0.25	0.374
Goals conceded	4	5.55	1.369	0.25	0.342

Σ contribution = 1.247

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	3	1.51	1.33	0.19	1.117	0.212
Shots	3	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.518	-0.047
Passes	9	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.57	-0.126
Saves	7	2.34	2.29	0.19	2.039	0.387
Blocks	2	1.04	1.04	0.11	0.93	0.102
Takeaways	21	8.41	5.41	0.11	2.325	0.256

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.65 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.301, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.3

Pucker+143

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.22	1.087	0.32	0.348
Shots	3	4.165	0.72	0.08	0.058
Saves	7	2.339	2.992	0.15	0.449
Blocks	2	1.037	1.929	0.07	0.135
Takeaways	21	8.413	2.496	0.12	0.3
Passes	9	17.917	0.502	0.08	0.04
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.365 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.606 − 0.172 turnover penalty = 1.434 → ×100 = 143.43 → 143

Offensive1.11

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.023	0.071	0.4	0.163
Shooting %	0.333	0.438	0.2	0.153
Assists per pass	0.333	0.084	0.4	0.798

Σ contribution = 1.114

Defensive1.59

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.339	1.963	0.3	0.589
Blocks	2	1.037	1.73	0.2	0.346
Takeaways	21	8.413	1.904	0.25	0.476
Goals conceded	8	5.55	0.703	0.25	0.176

Σ contribution = 1.587

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	4	17.92	5.68	0.08	-2.45	-0.196
Saves	2	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.148	-0.028
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	1	8.41	5.41	0.11	-1.369	-0.151

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.653 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.694, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.4

Pucker+59

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.339	0.855	0.15	0.128
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	1	8.413	0.119	0.12	0.014
Passes	4	17.917	0.223	0.08	0.018
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 0.503 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.591 → ×100 = 59.12 → 59

Offensive1.27

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.071	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	1	0.438	0.2	0.371
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.267

Defensive0.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.339	0.856	0.3	0.257
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.2	0.193
Takeaways	1	8.413	0.293	0.25	0.073
Goals conceded	8	5.55	0.703	0.25	0.176

Σ contribution = 0.699

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	5	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.371	0.033
Passes	16	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.338	-0.027
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	2	8.41	5.41	0.11	-1.185	-0.13

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.411 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.178, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.5

Pucker+66

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.22	0.932	0.32	0.298
Shots	5	4.165	1.2	0.08	0.096
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	8.413	0.238	0.12	0.029
Passes	16	17.917	0.893	0.08	0.071
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.558 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.657 → ×100 = 65.68 → 66

Offensive1.48

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.6	0.071	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.2	0.438	0.2	0.101
Assists per pass	0.125	0.084	0.4	0.578

Σ contribution = 1.479

Defensive0.46

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	0.483	0.3	0.145
Blocks	0	1.037	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	2	8.413	0.358	0.25	0.089
Goals conceded	8	5.55	0.703	0.25	0.176

Σ contribution = 0.458

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.