Colorado Cobras vs Virginia Express

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4–5Final

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Sep 26, 2021 · PRO DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP [CLP] Panarin · 8.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Colorado CobrasvsVirginia Express

10Shots414

9Saves36

7Faceoffs won25

24Takeaways327

26Turnovers↓224

7Blocks52

45Passes1459

2:47Possession0:212:26

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	2	2	4	7	7	2	2	19	12	3	14	2:28	176	5.81	8.88
[COB] Rokybo	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	1	6	3	11	0:11	78	7.70	6.00
[COW] Crusade	1	0	1	1	0	3	1	4	8	1	20	0:08	44	6.49	4.69

Virginia Express

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] meatsale	2	0	2	8	1	1	1	5	9	0	18	1	0:33	69	4.22	4.75
[MIA] Rodeo	2	0	2	2	0	2	4	5	9	1	22	0	0:11	57	6.93	5.04
[MIA] kyler	1	2	3	4	5	2	2	17	6	1	19	0	1:42	132	5.22	8.09

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	7	4.17	2.25	0.09	1.26	0.113
Passes	14	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.69	-0.055
Saves	7	2.34	2.29	0.19	2.039	0.387
Blocks	3	1.04	1.04	0.11	1.896	0.209
Takeaways	19	8.41	5.41	0.11	1.956	0.215

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.967 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.934, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.1

Pucker+176

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.22	1.242	0.32	0.397
Shots	7	4.165	1.681	0.08	0.134
Saves	7	2.339	2.992	0.15	0.449
Blocks	3	1.037	2.894	0.07	0.203
Takeaways	19	8.413	2.258	0.12	0.271
Passes	14	17.917	0.781	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.547 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.82 − 0.064 turnover penalty = 1.756 → ×100 = 175.54 → 176

Offensive5.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.071	0.4	1.519
Shooting %	0.286	0.438	0.2	0.932
Assists per pass	0.143	0.084	0.4	3.358

Σ contribution = 5.809

Defensive8.88

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.339	9.854	0.3	2.956
Blocks	3	1.037	9.823	0.2	1.965
Takeaways	19	8.413	9.403	0.25	2.351
Goals conceded	5	5.55	6.439	0.25	1.61

Σ contribution = 8.882

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	11	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.218	-0.097
Saves	2	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.148	-0.028
Blocks	3	1.04	1.04	0.11	1.896	0.209
Takeaways	1	8.41	5.41	0.11	-1.369	-0.151

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.363 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.275, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.0

Pucker+78

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.339	0.855	0.15	0.128
Blocks	3	1.037	2.894	0.07	0.203
Takeaways	1	8.413	0.119	0.12	0.014
Passes	11	17.917	0.614	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.661 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.778 → ×100 = 77.8 → 78

Offensive7.70

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.071	0.4	3.865
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.312
Assists per pass	0.091	0.084	0.4	2.521

Σ contribution = 7.698

Defensive6.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.339	5.424	0.3	1.627
Blocks	3	1.037	9.823	0.2	1.965
Takeaways	1	8.413	3.172	0.25	0.793
Goals conceded	5	5.55	6.439	0.25	1.61

Σ contribution = 5.995

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	1	4.17	2.25	0.09	-1.406	-0.127
Passes	20	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.367	0.029
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	4	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.815	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.736 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.527, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 4.5

Pucker+44

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.22	0.311	0.32	0.099
Shots	1	4.165	0.24	0.08	0.019
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	4	8.413	0.475	0.12	0.057
Passes	20	17.917	1.116	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.377 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.444 → ×100 = 44.41 → 44

Offensive6.49

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.125	0.071	0.4	3.426
Shooting %	1	0.438	0.2	1.885
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.493

Defensive4.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	4	8.413	4.075	0.25	1.019
Goals conceded	5	5.55	6.439	0.25	1.61

Σ contribution = 4.687

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

meatsale Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	8	4.17	2.25	0.09	1.704	0.153
Passes	18	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.015	0.001
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	5	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.63	-0.069

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.324 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.352, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.9

Pucker+69

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	8	4.165	1.921	0.08	0.154
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	8.413	0.594	0.12	0.071
Passes	18	17.917	1.005	0.08	0.08
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.598 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.704 − 0.011 turnover penalty = 0.693 → ×100 = 69.3 → 69

Offensive4.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.061	0.071	0.4	2.167
Shooting %	0.25	0.438	0.2	0.876
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.225

Defensive4.75

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	3.931	0.3	1.179
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	8.413	4.461	0.25	1.115
Goals conceded	4	5.55	7.477	0.25	1.869

Σ contribution = 4.754

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rodeo Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	22	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.719	0.058
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	5	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.63	-0.069

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.484 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.031, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 5.0

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	5	8.413	0.594	0.12	0.071
Passes	22	17.917	1.228	0.08	0.098
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.494 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.581 − 0.011 turnover penalty = 0.57 → ×100 = 57.06 → 57

Offensive6.93

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.071	0.4	3.865
Shooting %	1	0.438	0.2	1.885
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.932

Defensive5.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	5	8.413	4.461	0.25	1.115
Goals conceded	4	5.55	7.477	0.25	1.869

Σ contribution = 5.042

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kyler Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	4	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.073	-0.007
Passes	19	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.191	0.015
Saves	5	2.34	2.29	0.19	1.164	0.221
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	17	8.41	5.41	0.11	1.586	0.175

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.335 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.67, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.5

Pucker+132

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.22	0.932	0.32	0.298
Shots	4	4.165	0.96	0.08	0.077
Saves	5	2.339	2.137	0.15	0.321
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	17	8.413	2.021	0.12	0.242
Passes	19	17.917	1.06	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.12 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.318 → ×100 = 131.81 → 132

Offensive5.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.029	0.071	0.4	1.557
Shooting %	0.25	0.438	0.2	0.876
Assists per pass	0.105	0.084	0.4	2.786

Σ contribution = 5.219

Defensive8.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.339	9.254	0.3	2.776
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	17	8.413	9.081	0.25	2.27
Goals conceded	4	5.55	7.477	0.25	1.869

Σ contribution = 8.087

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.