Colorado Cobras vs Plymouth Plague

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2–3Final

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Sep 23, 2021 · PRO DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP FlaccidLettuce · 6.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Colorado CobrasvsPlymouth Plague

12Shots57

4Saves610

3Faceoffs won14

31Takeaways427

27Turnovers↓431

2Blocks2

49Passes1463

3:03Possession1:012:02

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Panarin	0	2	2	5	2	0	1	14	10	1	9	2:22	71	5.81	7.07
Rokybo	1	1	2	2	1	1	2	8	12	0	17	0:18	54	6.46	5.41
Crusade	1	1	2	5	1	2	1	9	5	1	23	0:23	82	5.24	6.11

Plymouth Plague

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
FlaccidLettuce	3	0	3	5	4	0	1	10	7	0	24	0:31	106	5.62	7.07
TEE	0	1	1	1	6	3	1	13	16	2	17	1:07	98	3.87	8.94
Timmy	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	4	8	0	22	0:24	36	4.07	4.76

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.83	1.41	0.23	-1.298	-0.299
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	5	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.371	0.033
Passes	9	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.57	-0.126
Saves	2	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.148	-0.028
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	14	8.41	5.41	0.11	1.032	0.114

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.24 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.52, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+71

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.22	0.311	0.32	0.099
Shots	5	4.165	1.2	0.08	0.096
Saves	2	2.339	0.855	0.15	0.128
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	14	8.413	1.664	0.12	0.2
Passes	9	17.917	0.502	0.08	0.04
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.631 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.742 − 0.029 turnover penalty = 0.713 → ×100 = 71.37 → 71

Offensive5.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.014	0.071	0.4	1.336
Shooting %	0	0.438	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.222	0.084	0.4	3.882

Σ contribution = 5.809

Defensive7.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.339	5.424	0.3	1.627
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	14	8.413	8.324	0.25	2.081
Goals conceded	3	5.55	8.765	0.25	2.191

Σ contribution = 7.071

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	17	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.162	-0.013
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	8	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.076	-0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.538 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.925, then −0.3 turnovers → 4.6

Pucker+54

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	8.413	0.951	0.12	0.114
Passes	17	17.917	0.949	0.08	0.076
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.511 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.602 − 0.064 turnover penalty = 0.538 → ×100 = 53.71 → 54

Offensive6.46

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.071	0.4	3.218
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.312
Assists per pass	0.059	0.084	0.4	1.928

Σ contribution = 6.459

Defensive5.41

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	3.931	0.3	1.179
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	8.413	5.804	0.25	1.451
Goals conceded	3	5.55	8.765	0.25	2.191

Σ contribution = 5.412

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	5	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.371	0.033
Passes	23	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.895	0.072
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	9	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.108	0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.207 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.587, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+82

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	5	4.165	1.2	0.08	0.096
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	9	8.413	1.07	0.12	0.128
Passes	23	17.917	1.284	0.08	0.103
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.697 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.821 → ×100 = 82.06 → 82

Offensive5.24

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.087	0.071	0.4	2.753
Shooting %	0.2	0.438	0.2	0.803
Assists per pass	0.043	0.084	0.4	1.679

Σ contribution = 5.236

Defensive6.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	3.931	0.3	1.179
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	9	8.413	6.279	0.25	1.57
Goals conceded	3	5.55	8.765	0.25	2.191

Σ contribution = 6.112

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

FlaccidLettuce Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.835	0.192
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	5	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.371	0.033
Passes	24	17.92	5.68	0.08	1.071	0.086
Saves	4	2.34	2.29	0.19	0.726	0.138
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	10	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.293	0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.155 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.31, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.3

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.22	0.932	0.32	0.298
Shots	5	4.165	1.2	0.08	0.096
Saves	4	2.339	1.71	0.15	0.256
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	10	8.413	1.189	0.12	0.143
Passes	24	17.917	1.339	0.08	0.107
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.9 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.059 → ×100 = 105.93 → 106

Offensive5.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.097	0.071	0.4	2.956
Shooting %	0.6	0.438	0.2	1.482
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.62

Defensive7.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.339	8.442	0.3	2.533
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	10	8.413	6.746	0.25	1.686
Goals conceded	2	5.55	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.072

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TEE Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.83	1.41	0.23	-1.298	-0.299
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	1	4.17	2.25	0.09	-1.406	-0.127
Passes	17	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.162	-0.013
Saves	6	2.34	2.29	0.19	1.601	0.304
Blocks	2	1.04	1.04	0.11	0.93	0.102
Takeaways	13	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.847	0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.012 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.977, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+98

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.22	0.311	0.32	0.099
Shots	1	4.165	0.24	0.08	0.019
Saves	6	2.339	2.565	0.15	0.385
Blocks	2	1.037	1.929	0.07	0.135
Takeaways	13	8.413	1.545	0.12	0.185
Passes	17	17.917	0.949	0.08	0.076
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.945 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.111 − 0.136 turnover penalty = 0.975 → ×100 = 97.55 → 98

Offensive3.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.015	0.071	0.4	1.347
Shooting %	0	0.438	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.059	0.084	0.4	1.928

Σ contribution = 3.866

Defensive8.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.339	9.665	0.3	2.899
Blocks	2	1.037	8.921	0.2	1.784
Takeaways	13	8.413	7.988	0.25	1.997
Goals conceded	2	5.55	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.942

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Timmy Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.83	1.41	0.23	-1.298	-0.299
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	1	4.17	2.25	0.09	-1.406	-0.127
Passes	22	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.719	0.058
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	4	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.815	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.835 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.33, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 3.8

Pucker+36

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.22	0.311	0.32	0.099
Shots	1	4.165	0.24	0.08	0.019
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	8.413	0.475	0.12	0.057
Passes	22	17.917	1.228	0.08	0.098
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.304 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.357 → ×100 = 35.75 → 36

Offensive4.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.042	0.071	0.4	1.774
Shooting %	0	0.438	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.045	0.084	0.4	1.709

Σ contribution = 4.074

Defensive4.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	8.413	4.075	0.25	1.019
Goals conceded	2	5.55	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.758

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.