Plymouth Plague vs Colorado Cobras

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6–11Final

CCAwayColorado Cobras

Sep 23, 2021 · PRO DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP [COB] Rokybo · 7.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Plymouth Plague

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BB] FlaccidLettuce	2	2	4	6	1	3	4	6	7	0	14	0:22	88	8.23	4.03
[BB] TEE	2	0	2	4	5	2	4	13	7	0	29	1:29	110	3.94	6.41
[COW] Timmy	2	1	3	2	0	2	4	2	5	1	14	0:14	61	7.98	3.96

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	1	4	5	2	5	6	1	12	6	0	11	0	1:40	127	7.25	6.69
[COB] Rokybo	6	1	7	9	1	4	3	6	9	2	14	0	0:27	146	7.72	5.61
[COW] Crusade	4	5	9	6	0	2	3	1	6	0	12	1	0:16	130	9.58	3.69

FlaccidLettuce Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	6	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.815	0.073
Passes	14	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.69	-0.055
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	6	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.446	-0.049

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.154 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.691, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.22	1.242	0.32	0.397
Shots	6	4.165	1.441	0.08	0.115
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	8.413	0.713	0.12	0.086
Passes	14	17.917	0.781	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.751 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.883 → ×100 = 88.31 → 88

Offensive8.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.071	0.4	3.865
Shooting %	0.333	0.438	0.2	1.012
Assists per pass	0.143	0.084	0.4	3.358

Σ contribution = 8.234

Defensive4.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	3.931	0.3	1.179
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	8.413	4.883	0.25	1.221
Goals conceded	11	5.55	4.166	0.25	1.041

Σ contribution = 4.032

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TEE Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	4	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.073	-0.007
Passes	29	17.92	5.68	0.08	1.951	0.156
Saves	5	2.34	2.29	0.19	1.164	0.221
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	13	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.847	0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.166 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.332, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+110

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.22	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	4	4.165	0.96	0.08	0.077
Saves	5	2.339	2.137	0.15	0.321
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	8.413	1.545	0.12	0.185
Passes	29	17.917	1.619	0.08	0.129
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.931 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.095 → ×100 = 109.54 → 110

Offensive3.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.022	0.071	0.4	1.45
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.312
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.943

Defensive6.41

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.339	9.254	0.3	2.776
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	13	8.413	7.988	0.25	1.997
Goals conceded	11	5.55	4.166	0.25	1.041

Σ contribution = 6.405

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Timmy Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	14	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.69	-0.055
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	2	8.41	5.41	0.11	-1.185	-0.13

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.515 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.969, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.22	0.932	0.32	0.298
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	2	8.413	0.238	0.12	0.029
Passes	14	17.917	0.781	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.515 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.606 → ×100 = 60.6 → 61

Offensive7.98

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.214	0.071	0.4	3.944
Shooting %	1	0.438	0.2	1.885
Assists per pass	0.071	0.084	0.4	2.155

Σ contribution = 7.985

Defensive3.96

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	2	8.413	3.43	0.25	0.858
Goals conceded	11	5.55	4.166	0.25	1.041

Σ contribution = 3.957

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	4	1.51	1.33	0.19	1.868	0.355
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	11	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.218	-0.097
Saves	5	2.34	2.29	0.19	1.164	0.221
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	12	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.663	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.22 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.44, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers → 6.4

Pucker+127

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.22	1.397	0.32	0.447
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	5	2.339	2.137	0.15	0.321
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	12	8.413	1.426	0.12	0.171
Passes	11	17.917	0.614	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0.857	0.5	1.714	0.03	0.051

Σ 1.078 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.268 → ×100 = 126.81 → 127

Offensive7.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.071	0.4	1.94
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.312
Assists per pass	0.364	0.084	0.4	3.996

Σ contribution = 7.247

Defensive6.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.339	9.254	0.3	2.776
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	12	8.413	7.609	0.25	1.902
Goals conceded	6	5.55	5.701	0.25	1.425

Σ contribution = 6.694

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.83	1.41	0.23	2.968	0.683
Assists	1	1.51	1.33	0.19	-0.386	-0.073
Shots	9	4.17	2.25	0.09	2.148	0.193
Passes	14	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.69	-0.055
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	2	1.04	1.04	0.11	0.93	0.102
Takeaways	6	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.446	-0.049

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.689 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.379, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.8

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.22	2.174	0.32	0.696
Shots	9	4.165	2.161	0.08	0.173
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	2	1.037	1.929	0.07	0.135
Takeaways	6	8.413	0.713	0.12	0.086
Passes	14	17.917	0.781	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.25 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.471 − 0.011 turnover penalty = 1.46 → ×100 = 145.98 → 146

Offensive7.72

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.259	0.071	0.4	3.984
Shooting %	0.667	0.438	0.2	1.583
Assists per pass	0.071	0.084	0.4	2.155

Σ contribution = 7.722

Defensive5.61

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	3.931	0.3	1.179
Blocks	2	1.037	8.921	0.2	1.784
Takeaways	6	8.413	4.883	0.25	1.221
Goals conceded	6	5.55	5.701	0.25	1.425

Σ contribution = 5.609

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.83	1.41	0.23	1.546	0.356
Assists	5	1.51	1.33	0.19	2.62	0.498
Shots	6	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.815	0.073
Passes	12	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.042	-0.083
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	1	8.41	5.41	0.11	-1.369	-0.151

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.388 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.776, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.1

Pucker+130

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.22	2.795	0.32	0.894
Shots	6	4.165	1.441	0.08	0.115
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	8.413	0.119	0.12	0.014
Passes	12	17.917	0.67	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.101 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.296 → ×100 = 129.58 → 130

Offensive9.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.563	0.071	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.667	0.438	0.2	1.583
Assists per pass	0.417	0.084	0.4	3.999

Σ contribution = 9.582

Defensive3.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	8.413	3.172	0.25	0.793
Goals conceded	6	5.55	5.701	0.25	1.425

Σ contribution = 3.695

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.