Colorado Cobras vs Plymouth Plague

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Sep 23, 2021 · PRO DIVISION - PLAYOFFS · The Hog Hole

MVP [CLP] Panarin · 6.9 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Perf is a 0 to 10 Alto rating, 6.0 being league average. Click any Perf number to see the working behind it.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	1	3	4	6	4	1	1	19	4	0	20	0	2:46	131	5.67	7.08
[COB] Rokybo	2	2	4	5	1	4	3	12	14	0	15	1	0:41	82	7.34	5.28
[COW] Crusade	3	2	5	5	0	5	0	4	2	1	26	0	0:21	105	7.71	4.69

Plymouth Plague

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BB] FlaccidLettuce	0	4	4	1	2	0	1	4	7	1	15	0:25	87	8.31	5.24
[BB] TEE	1	0	1	2	8	0	5	14	13	2	12	0:59	114	3.87	8.27
[COW] Timmy	4	0	4	7	0	4	4	2	15	0	12	0:10	64	6.62	3.76

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	3	1.51	1.33	0.19	1.117	0.212
Shots	6	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.815	0.073
Passes	20	17.92	5.68	0.08	0.367	0.029
Saves	4	2.34	2.29	0.19	0.726	0.138
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	19	8.41	5.41	0.11	1.956	0.215

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.423 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.846, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.9

Pucker+131

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.22	1.087	0.32	0.348
Shots	6	4.165	1.441	0.08	0.115
Saves	4	2.339	1.71	0.15	0.256
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	19	8.413	2.258	0.12	0.271
Passes	20	17.917	1.116	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.11 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.306 → ×100 = 130.57 → 131

Offensive5.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.024	0.071	0.4	1.474
Shooting %	0.167	0.438	0.2	0.759
Assists per pass	0.15	0.084	0.4	3.44

Σ contribution = 5.673

Defensive7.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.339	8.442	0.3	2.533
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	19	8.413	9.403	0.25	2.351
Goals conceded	5	5.55	6.439	0.25	1.61

Σ contribution = 7.085

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.124	0.029
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	5	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.371	0.033
Passes	15	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.514	-0.041
Saves	1	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.586	-0.111
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	12	8.41	5.41	0.11	0.663	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.058 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.883, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+82

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.22	1.087	0.32	0.348
Shots	5	4.165	1.2	0.08	0.096
Saves	1	2.339	0.427	0.15	0.064
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	12	8.413	1.426	0.12	0.171
Passes	15	17.917	0.837	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 0.78 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.918 − 0.1 turnover penalty = 0.818 → ×100 = 81.79 → 82

Offensive7.34

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.098	0.071	0.4	2.972
Shooting %	0.4	0.438	0.2	1.13
Assists per pass	0.133	0.084	0.4	3.234

Σ contribution = 7.336

Defensive5.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.339	3.931	0.3	1.179
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	12	8.413	7.609	0.25	1.902
Goals conceded	5	5.55	6.439	0.25	1.61

Σ contribution = 5.282

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.83	1.41	0.23	0.835	0.192
Assists	2	1.51	1.33	0.19	0.365	0.069
Shots	5	4.17	2.25	0.09	0.371	0.033
Passes	26	17.92	5.68	0.08	1.423	0.114
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	4	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.815	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.121 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.241, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Pucker+105

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.22	1.553	0.32	0.497
Shots	5	4.165	1.2	0.08	0.096
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	4	8.413	0.475	0.12	0.057
Passes	26	17.917	1.451	0.08	0.116
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.894 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.051 → ×100 = 105.13 → 105

Offensive7.71

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.238	0.071	0.4	3.971
Shooting %	0.6	0.438	0.2	1.482
Assists per pass	0.077	0.084	0.4	2.257

Σ contribution = 7.711

Defensive4.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	4	8.413	4.075	0.25	1.019
Goals conceded	5	5.55	6.439	0.25	1.61

Σ contribution = 4.687

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

FlaccidLettuce Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.83	1.41	0.23	-1.298	-0.299
Assists	4	1.51	1.33	0.19	1.868	0.355
Shots	1	4.17	2.25	0.09	-1.406	-0.127
Passes	15	17.92	5.68	0.08	-0.514	-0.041
Saves	2	2.34	2.29	0.19	-0.148	-0.028
Blocks	1	1.04	1.04	0.11	-0.035	-0.004
Takeaways	4	8.41	5.41	0.11	-0.815	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.233 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.534, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.22	1.242	0.32	0.397
Shots	1	4.165	0.24	0.08	0.019
Saves	2	2.339	0.855	0.15	0.128
Blocks	1	1.037	0.965	0.07	0.068
Takeaways	4	8.413	0.475	0.12	0.057
Passes	15	17.917	0.837	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.736 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.866 → ×100 = 86.65 → 87

Offensive8.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.16	0.071	0.4	3.759
Shooting %	0	0.438	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.267	0.084	0.4	3.958

Σ contribution = 8.307

Defensive5.24

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.339	5.424	0.3	1.627
Blocks	1	1.037	5.858	0.2	1.172
Takeaways	4	8.413	4.075	0.25	1.019
Goals conceded	6	5.55	5.701	0.25	1.425

Σ contribution = 5.243

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TEE Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.83	1.41	0.23	-0.587	-0.135
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	2	4.17	2.25	0.09	-0.962	-0.087
Passes	12	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.042	-0.083
Saves	8	2.34	2.29	0.19	2.476	0.47
Blocks	2	1.04	1.04	0.11	0.93	0.102
Takeaways	14	8.41	5.41	0.11	1.032	0.114

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.165 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.33, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers → 6.7

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.22	0.311	0.32	0.099
Shots	2	4.165	0.48	0.08	0.038
Saves	8	2.339	3.42	0.15	0.513
Blocks	2	1.037	1.929	0.07	0.135
Takeaways	14	8.413	1.664	0.12	0.2
Passes	12	17.917	0.67	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.039 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.222 − 0.082 turnover penalty = 1.14 → ×100 = 114.01 → 114

Offensive3.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.017	0.071	0.4	1.373
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.312
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.866

Defensive8.27

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.339	9.937	0.3	2.981
Blocks	2	1.037	8.921	0.2	1.784
Takeaways	14	8.413	8.324	0.25	2.081
Goals conceded	6	5.55	5.701	0.25	1.425

Σ contribution = 8.271

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Timmy Plymouth Plague

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.83	1.41	0.23	1.546	0.356
Assists	0	1.51	1.33	0.19	-1.138	-0.216
Shots	7	4.17	2.25	0.09	1.26	0.113
Passes	12	17.92	5.68	0.08	-1.042	-0.083
Saves	0	2.34	2.29	0.19	-1.023	-0.194
Blocks	0	1.04	1.04	0.11	-1.001	-0.11
Takeaways	2	8.41	5.41	0.11	-1.185	-0.13

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.265 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.469, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.2

Pucker+64

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.22	1.242	0.32	0.397
Shots	7	4.165	1.681	0.08	0.134
Saves	0	2.339	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.037	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	8.413	0.238	0.12	0.029
Passes	12	17.917	0.67	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.644 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.758 − 0.118 turnover penalty = 0.64 → ×100 = 63.97 → 64

Offensive6.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.071	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.571	0.438	0.2	1.436
Assists per pass	0	0.084	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.617

Defensive3.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.339	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	1.037	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	8.413	3.43	0.25	0.858
Goals conceded	6	5.55	5.701	0.25	1.425

Σ contribution = 3.76

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.