Arizona Stars vs Bear Valley Bandits

ASHomeArizona Stars

4–12Final

BVAwayBear Valley Bandits

Sep 5, 2021 · West Division · The Hog Hole

MVP Bovice · 8.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Arizona StarsvsBear Valley Bandits

6Shots1218

6Saves42

5Faceoffs won813

6Takeaways1420

20Turnovers↓146

7Blocks34

31Passes3465

0:27Possession1:542:21

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Arizona Stars

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Davies301	3	0	3	3	1	1	4	1	6	4	8	0:12	97	6.91	5.06
Fiveer11	0	0	0	0	5	1	5	3	3	3	7	0:09	82	2.95	6.87
DarkArrow576	1	1	2	3	0	3	4	2	11	0	16	0:06	33	6.81	3.46

Bear Valley Bandits

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Dynasty	3	2	5	4	1	2	2	10	1	1	29	1:27	122	5.38	6.70
Bovice	6	3	9	10	0	6	2	5	3	1	17	0:26	159	8.88	5.65
King [C]	3	4	7	4	1	5	1	5	2	2	19	0:28	144	9.23	6.47

Davies301 Arizona Stars

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.03	1.97	0.23	0.492	0.113
Assists	0	1.45	1.54	0.19	-0.946	-0.18
Shots	3	4.35	3.74	0.09	-0.362	-0.033
Passes	8	14.95	6.99	0.08	-0.993	-0.079
Saves	1	2.34	2.58	0.19	-0.518	-0.098
Blocks	4	0.79	0.98	0.11	3.258	0.358
Takeaways	1	5.89	4.38	0.11	-1.118	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.042 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.917, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+97

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.405	0.881	0.32	0.282
Shots	3	4.354	0.689	0.08	0.055
Saves	1	2.337	0.428	0.15	0.064
Blocks	4	0.794	5.039	0.07	0.353
Takeaways	1	5.894	0.17	0.12	0.02
Passes	8	14.947	0.535	0.08	0.043
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.499	0.401	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.829 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.975 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 0.972 → ×100 = 97.25 → 97

Offensive6.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.096	0.4	3.877
Shooting %	1	0.466	0.2	1.853
Assists per pass	0	0.097	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.912

Defensive5.06

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.337	3.932	0.3	1.18
Blocks	4	0.794	9.998	0.2	2
Takeaways	1	5.894	3.277	0.25	0.819
Goals conceded	12	6.281	4.226	0.25	1.057

Σ contribution = 5.056

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Fiveer11 Arizona Stars

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.03	1.97	0.23	-1.027	-0.236
Assists	0	1.45	1.54	0.19	-0.946	-0.18
Shots	0	4.35	3.74	0.09	-1.164	-0.105
Passes	7	14.95	6.99	0.08	-1.136	-0.091
Saves	5	2.34	2.58	0.19	1.031	0.196
Blocks	3	0.79	0.98	0.11	2.242	0.247
Takeaways	3	5.89	4.38	0.11	-0.661	-0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.242 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.516, then −0.2 goals against → 5.3

Pucker+82

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.405	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.354	0	0.08	0
Saves	5	2.337	2.139	0.15	0.321
Blocks	3	0.794	3.779	0.07	0.265
Takeaways	3	5.894	0.509	0.12	0.061
Passes	7	14.947	0.468	0.08	0.037
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.499	0.334	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.694 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.816 → ×100 = 81.65 → 82

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.096	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.466	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.097	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive6.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.337	9.257	0.3	2.777
Blocks	3	0.794	9.969	0.2	1.994
Takeaways	3	5.894	4.18	0.25	1.045
Goals conceded	12	6.281	4.226	0.25	1.057

Σ contribution = 6.873

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

DarkArrow576 Arizona Stars

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.03	1.97	0.23	-0.521	-0.12
Assists	1	1.45	1.54	0.19	-0.296	-0.056
Shots	3	4.35	3.74	0.09	-0.362	-0.033
Passes	16	14.95	6.99	0.08	0.151	0.012
Saves	0	2.34	2.58	0.19	-0.905	-0.172
Blocks	0	0.79	0.98	0.11	-0.807	-0.089
Takeaways	2	5.89	4.38	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.555 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.89, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+33

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.405	0.587	0.32	0.188
Shots	3	4.354	0.689	0.08	0.055
Saves	0	2.337	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.794	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	5.894	0.339	0.12	0.041
Passes	16	14.947	1.07	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.499	0.86	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.395 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.465 − 0.13 turnover penalty = 0.335 → ×100 = 33.46 → 33

Offensive6.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.096	0.4	3.978
Shooting %	0.333	0.466	0.2	0.979
Assists per pass	0.062	0.097	0.4	1.851

Σ contribution = 6.807

Defensive3.46

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.337	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.794	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	5.894	3.685	0.25	0.921
Goals conceded	12	6.281	4.226	0.25	1.057

Σ contribution = 3.455

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Dynasty Bear Valley Bandits

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.03	1.97	0.23	0.492	0.113
Assists	2	1.45	1.54	0.19	0.355	0.068
Shots	4	4.35	3.74	0.09	-0.095	-0.009
Passes	29	14.95	6.99	0.08	2.009	0.161
Saves	1	2.34	2.58	0.19	-0.518	-0.098
Blocks	1	0.79	0.98	0.11	0.209	0.023
Takeaways	10	5.89	4.38	0.11	0.938	0.103

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.361 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.722, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.0

Pucker+122

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.405	1.321	0.32	0.423
Shots	4	4.354	0.919	0.08	0.073
Saves	1	2.337	0.428	0.15	0.064
Blocks	1	0.794	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	10	5.894	1.697	0.12	0.204
Passes	29	14.947	1.94	0.08	0.155
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.499	1.003	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.038 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.221 → ×100 = 122.07 → 122

Offensive5.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.057	0.096	0.4	1.792
Shooting %	0.75	0.466	0.2	1.635
Assists per pass	0.069	0.097	0.4	1.947

Σ contribution = 5.375

Defensive6.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.337	3.932	0.3	1.18
Blocks	1	0.794	7.016	0.2	1.403
Takeaways	10	5.894	8.409	0.25	2.102
Goals conceded	4	6.281	8.062	0.25	2.016

Σ contribution = 6.701

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bovice Bear Valley Bandits

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.03	1.97	0.23	2.012	0.463
Assists	3	1.45	1.54	0.19	1.006	0.191
Shots	10	4.35	3.74	0.09	1.51	0.136
Passes	17	14.95	6.99	0.08	0.294	0.023
Saves	0	2.34	2.58	0.19	-0.905	-0.172
Blocks	1	0.79	0.98	0.11	0.209	0.023
Takeaways	5	5.89	4.38	0.11	-0.204	-0.022

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.642 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.284, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.0

Pucker+159

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.405	2.643	0.32	0.846
Shots	10	4.354	2.297	0.08	0.184
Saves	0	2.337	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.794	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	5	5.894	0.848	0.12	0.102
Passes	17	14.947	1.137	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.499	1.504	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.356 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.595 → ×100 = 159.48 → 159

Offensive8.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.346	0.096	0.4	3.983
Shooting %	0.6	0.466	0.2	1.424
Assists per pass	0.176	0.097	0.4	3.475

Σ contribution = 8.882

Defensive5.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.337	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.794	7.016	0.2	1.403
Takeaways	5	5.894	5.398	0.25	1.349
Goals conceded	4	6.281	8.062	0.25	2.016

Σ contribution = 5.654

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

King [C] Bear Valley Bandits

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.03	1.97	0.23	0.492	0.113
Assists	4	1.45	1.54	0.19	1.657	0.315
Shots	4	4.35	3.74	0.09	-0.095	-0.009
Passes	19	14.95	6.99	0.08	0.579	0.046
Saves	1	2.34	2.58	0.19	-0.518	-0.098
Blocks	2	0.79	0.98	0.11	1.226	0.135
Takeaways	5	5.89	4.38	0.11	-0.204	-0.022

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.48 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.96, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.2

Pucker+144

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.405	2.056	0.32	0.658
Shots	4	4.354	0.919	0.08	0.073
Saves	1	2.337	0.428	0.15	0.064
Blocks	2	0.794	2.519	0.07	0.176
Takeaways	5	5.894	0.848	0.12	0.102
Passes	19	14.947	1.271	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.499	1.672	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.225 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.442 → ×100 = 144.17 → 144

Offensive9.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.096	0.4	3.877
Shooting %	0.75	0.466	0.2	1.635
Assists per pass	0.211	0.097	0.4	3.716

Σ contribution = 9.229

Defensive6.47

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.337	3.932	0.3	1.18
Blocks	2	0.794	9.634	0.2	1.927
Takeaways	5	5.894	5.398	0.25	1.349
Goals conceded	4	6.281	8.062	0.25	2.016

Σ contribution = 6.472

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.