Winter Park Owls vs Colorado Cobras

WPHomeWinter Park Owls

7–8Final

CCAwayColorado Cobras

Aug 29, 2021 · Pro Division · The Hog Hole

MVP Mace · 7.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Winter Park OwlsvsColorado Cobras

11Shots415

7Saves34

7Faceoffs won411

23Takeaways320

20Turnovers↓323

4Blocks13

68Passes1949

2:01Possession0:172:18

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Winter Park Owls

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Mace	3	3	6	5	6	4	4	10	8	0	34	0:43	146	6.63	6.65
Ridge	3	2	5	5	1	1	3	6	8	3	18	1:03	121	6.07	5.82
Chaser	1	1	2	1	0	2	4	7	4	1	16	0:15	57	6.58	5.16

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Panarin	2	4	6	6	2	3	0	13	11	2	16	0	1:47	135	6.56	7.14
Rokybo	2	2	4	4	2	2	3	7	6	1	13	0	0:25	96	7.70	5.98
Crusade	4	2	6	5	0	6	4	0	6	0	20	1	0:06	83	8.10	3.68

Mace Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.63	0.23	0.49	0.113
Assists	3	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.79	0.15
Shots	5	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.135	0.012
Passes	34	18.12	7.88	0.08	2.015	0.161
Saves	6	2.45	2.55	0.19	1.395	0.265
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	10	7.39	4.7	0.11	0.557	0.061

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.677 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.353, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.884	1.416	0.32	0.453
Shots	5	4.651	1.075	0.08	0.086
Saves	6	2.448	2.451	0.15	0.368
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	10	7.386	1.354	0.12	0.162
Passes	34	18.121	1.876	0.08	0.15
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.249 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.47 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 1.457 → ×100 = 145.65 → 146

Offensive6.63

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.14	0.101	0.4	2.984
Shooting %	0.6	0.474	0.2	1.409
Assists per pass	0.088	0.099	0.4	2.233

Σ contribution = 6.625

Defensive6.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.448	9.584	0.3	2.875
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	10	7.386	7.36	0.25	1.84
Goals conceded	8	6.739	5.374	0.25	1.344

Σ contribution = 6.65

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ridge Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.63	0.23	0.49	0.113
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	5	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.135	0.012
Passes	18	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.015	-0.001
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	3	0.73	0.94	0.11	2.422	0.266
Takeaways	6	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.295	-0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.276 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.552, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.3

Pucker+121

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.884	1.287	0.32	0.412
Shots	5	4.651	1.075	0.08	0.086
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	3	0.729	4.113	0.07	0.288
Takeaways	6	7.386	0.812	0.12	0.097
Passes	18	18.121	0.993	0.08	0.079
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 1.039 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.222 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 1.209 → ×100 = 120.9 → 121

Offensive6.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.079	0.101	0.4	2.063
Shooting %	0.6	0.474	0.2	1.409
Assists per pass	0.111	0.099	0.4	2.603

Σ contribution = 6.074

Defensive5.82

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	3.876	0.3	1.163
Blocks	3	0.729	9.984	0.2	1.997
Takeaways	6	7.386	5.258	0.25	1.315
Goals conceded	8	6.739	5.374	0.25	1.344

Σ contribution = 5.819

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	1	4.65	2.59	0.09	-1.41	-0.127
Passes	16	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.269	-0.022
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	7	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.082	-0.009

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.575 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.849, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.9

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.884	0.515	0.32	0.165
Shots	1	4.651	0.215	0.08	0.017
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	7	7.386	0.948	0.12	0.114
Passes	16	18.121	0.883	0.08	0.071
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.666	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.482 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.567 → ×100 = 56.74 → 57

Offensive6.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.101	0.4	2.897
Shooting %	1	0.474	0.2	1.844
Assists per pass	0.062	0.099	0.4	1.839

Σ contribution = 6.58

Defensive5.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.729	7.419	0.2	1.484
Takeaways	7	7.386	5.791	0.25	1.448
Goals conceded	8	6.739	5.374	0.25	1.344

Σ contribution = 5.162

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	4	1.79	1.54	0.19	1.44	0.274
Shots	6	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.521	0.047
Passes	16	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.269	-0.022
Saves	2	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	13	7.39	4.7	0.11	1.196	0.132

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.518 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.035, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.884	1.416	0.32	0.453
Shots	6	4.651	1.29	0.08	0.103
Saves	2	2.448	0.817	0.15	0.123
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	13	7.386	1.76	0.12	0.211
Passes	16	18.121	0.883	0.08	0.071
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	1.999	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.213 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.427 − 0.075 turnover penalty = 1.352 → ×100 = 135.2 → 135

Offensive6.56

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.101	0.4	1.732
Shooting %	0.333	0.474	0.2	0.97
Assists per pass	0.25	0.099	0.4	3.858

Σ contribution = 6.561

Defensive7.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.448	5.276	0.3	1.583
Blocks	2	0.729	9.762	0.2	1.952
Takeaways	13	7.386	8.565	0.25	2.141
Goals conceded	7	6.739	5.851	0.25	1.463

Σ contribution = 7.139

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	4	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.251	-0.023
Passes	13	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.65	-0.052
Saves	2	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	7	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.082	-0.009

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.088 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.825, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.5

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	4	4.651	0.86	0.08	0.069
Saves	2	2.448	0.817	0.15	0.123
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	7	7.386	0.948	0.12	0.114
Passes	13	18.121	0.717	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.812 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.955 → ×100 = 95.53 → 96

Offensive7.70

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.16	0.101	0.4	3.243
Shooting %	0.5	0.474	0.2	1.244
Assists per pass	0.154	0.099	0.4	3.214

Σ contribution = 7.701

Defensive5.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.448	5.276	0.3	1.583
Blocks	1	0.729	7.419	0.2	1.484
Takeaways	7	7.386	5.791	0.25	1.448
Goals conceded	7	6.739	5.851	0.25	1.463

Σ contribution = 5.978

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.2	1.63	0.23	1.104	0.254
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	5	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.135	0.012
Passes	20	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.239	0.019
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	0	7.39	4.7	0.11	-1.573	-0.173

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.13 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.741, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 5.7

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.884	1.545	0.32	0.494
Shots	5	4.651	1.075	0.08	0.086
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	7.386	0	0.12	0
Passes	20	18.121	1.104	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.705 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.829 → ×100 = 82.9 → 83

Offensive8.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.101	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.8	0.474	0.2	1.678
Assists per pass	0.1	0.099	0.4	2.423

Σ contribution = 8.101

Defensive3.68

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	7.386	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	7	6.739	5.851	0.25	1.463

Σ contribution = 3.678

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.