Tampa Bay Turtles vs Colorado Cobras

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8–9Final

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Aug 19, 2021 · Pro Division · The Hog Hole

MVP [SLC] noxu · 8.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Perf is a 0 to 10 Alto rating, 6.0 being league average. Click any Perf number to see the working behind it.

Tampa Bay Turtles

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[LIL] Blue	2	1	3	10	5	7	2	7	5	19	0:32	109	4.77	6.03
[OVPD] dave	3	1	4	5	0	3	3	4	11	24	0:19	65	6.65	3.80
[SLC] noxu	3	4	7	7	7	1	4	12	1	22	1:19	163	6.83	6.84

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	4	0	4	7	10	5	2	13	8	2	7	1:21	180	4.19	8.43
[COB] Rokybo	1	4	5	7	2	1	5	4	7	0	12	0:18	92	8.60	4.59
[OKG] Renard_	4	1	5	7	2	3	4	0	8	0	10	0:12	84	7.78	4.26

Blue Tampa Bay Turtles

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	10	4.65	2.59	0.09	2.065	0.186
Passes	19	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.112	0.009
Saves	5	2.45	2.55	0.19	1.002	0.19
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	7	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.082	-0.009

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.165 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.33, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.884	0.644	0.32	0.206
Shots	10	4.651	2.15	0.08	0.172
Saves	5	2.448	2.043	0.15	0.306
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	7.386	0.948	0.12	0.114
Passes	19	18.121	1.049	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.778	0.5	1.555	0.03	0.047

Σ 0.929 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.093 → ×100 = 109.25 → 109

Offensive4.77

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.101	0.4	2.287
Shooting %	0.2	0.474	0.2	0.783
Assists per pass	0.053	0.099	0.4	1.704

Σ contribution = 4.774

Defensive6.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.448	9.116	0.3	2.735
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	7.386	5.791	0.25	1.448
Goals conceded	9	6.739	5.016	0.25	1.254

Σ contribution = 6.028

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Tampa Bay Turtles

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.63	0.23	0.49	0.113
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	5	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.135	0.012
Passes	24	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.746	0.06
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	4	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.721	-0.079

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.26 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.48, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+65

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	5	4.651	1.075	0.08	0.086
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	7.386	0.542	0.12	0.065
Passes	24	18.121	1.324	0.08	0.106
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.617 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.725 − 0.075 turnover penalty = 0.65 → ×100 = 65.06 → 65

Offensive6.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.211	0.101	0.4	3.673
Shooting %	0.6	0.474	0.2	1.409
Assists per pass	0.042	0.099	0.4	1.567

Σ contribution = 6.648

Defensive3.80

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	7.386	4.285	0.25	1.071
Goals conceded	9	6.739	5.016	0.25	1.254

Σ contribution = 3.802

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

noxu Tampa Bay Turtles

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.63	0.23	0.49	0.113
Assists	4	1.79	1.54	0.19	1.44	0.274
Shots	7	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.907	0.082
Passes	22	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.492	0.039
Saves	7	2.45	2.55	0.19	1.787	0.34
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	12	7.39	4.7	0.11	0.983	0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.869 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.739, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 goals against → 8.2

Pucker+163

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	3.884	1.674	0.32	0.536
Shots	7	4.651	1.505	0.08	0.12
Saves	7	2.448	2.86	0.15	0.429
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	12	7.386	1.625	0.12	0.195
Passes	22	18.121	1.214	0.08	0.097
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 1.389 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.634 → ×100 = 163.41 → 163

Offensive6.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.089	0.101	0.4	2.206
Shooting %	0.429	0.474	0.2	1.124
Assists per pass	0.182	0.099	0.4	3.501

Σ contribution = 6.831

Defensive6.84

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.448	9.811	0.3	2.943
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	12	7.386	8.218	0.25	2.054
Goals conceded	9	6.739	5.016	0.25	1.254

Σ contribution = 6.842

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.2	1.63	0.23	1.104	0.254
Assists	0	1.79	1.54	0.19	-1.162	-0.221
Shots	7	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.907	0.082
Passes	7	18.12	7.88	0.08	-1.411	-0.113
Saves	10	2.45	2.55	0.19	2.965	0.563
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	13	7.39	4.7	0.11	1.196	0.132

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.846 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.692, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 7.8

Pucker+180

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	7	4.651	1.505	0.08	0.12
Saves	10	2.448	4.085	0.15	0.613
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	13	7.386	1.76	0.12	0.211
Passes	7	18.121	0.386	0.08	0.031
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.428	0.03	0.043

Σ 1.54 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.811 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 1.798 → ×100 = 179.79 → 180

Offensive4.19

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.049	0.101	0.4	1.647
Shooting %	0.571	0.474	0.2	1.363
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.191

Defensive8.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	10	2.448	9.983	0.3	2.995
Blocks	2	0.729	9.762	0.2	1.952
Takeaways	13	7.386	8.565	0.25	2.141
Goals conceded	8	6.739	5.374	0.25	1.344

Σ contribution = 8.432

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	4	1.79	1.54	0.19	1.44	0.274
Shots	7	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.907	0.082
Passes	12	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.777	-0.062
Saves	2	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	4	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.721	-0.079

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.075 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.85, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+92

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.884	1.287	0.32	0.412
Shots	7	4.651	1.505	0.08	0.12
Saves	2	2.448	0.817	0.15	0.123
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	7.386	0.542	0.12	0.065
Passes	12	18.121	0.662	0.08	0.053
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.783 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.921 → ×100 = 92.1 → 92

Offensive8.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.278	0.101	0.4	3.907
Shooting %	0.143	0.474	0.2	0.717
Assists per pass	0.333	0.099	0.4	3.973

Σ contribution = 8.597

Defensive4.59

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.448	5.276	0.3	1.583
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	7.386	4.285	0.25	1.071
Goals conceded	8	6.739	5.374	0.25	1.344

Σ contribution = 4.589

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Renard_ Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.2	1.63	0.23	1.104	0.254
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	7	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.907	0.082
Passes	10	18.12	7.88	0.08	-1.031	-0.082
Saves	2	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	0	7.39	4.7	0.11	-1.573	-0.173

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.136 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.728, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+84

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.884	1.287	0.32	0.412
Shots	7	4.651	1.505	0.08	0.12
Saves	2	2.448	0.817	0.15	0.123
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	7.386	0	0.12	0
Passes	10	18.121	0.552	0.08	0.044
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 0.725 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.853 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.84 → ×100 = 83.93 → 84

Offensive7.78

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.417	0.101	0.4	3.994
Shooting %	0.571	0.474	0.2	1.363
Assists per pass	0.1	0.099	0.4	2.423

Σ contribution = 7.78

Defensive4.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.448	5.276	0.3	1.583
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	7.386	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	8	6.739	5.374	0.25	1.344

Σ contribution = 4.256

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.