Colorado Cobras vs Virginia Express

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9–6Final

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Aug 22, 2021 · Pro Division · The Hog Hole

MVP [COB] Rokybo · 7.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Perf is a 0 to 10 Alto rating, 6.0 being league average. Click any Perf number to see the working behind it.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	1	4	5	1	6	1	0	12	10	2	15	1:39	139	7.40	8.50
[COB] Rokybo	6	1	7	8	2	5	3	5	10	2	12	0:24	131	7.70	6.34
[COW] Crusade	2	5	7	3	0	4	3	5	8	0	18	0:07	96	9.43	4.29

Virginia Express

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] meatsale	0	2	2	2	0	2	5	8	11	0	19	0:24	43	5.22	4.31
[MIA] Rodeo	4	2	6	9	0	2	4	1	8	0	19	0:14	89	7.65	3.53
[MIA] kyler	2	1	3	3	3	2	1	19	3	2	16	1:01	129	4.99	7.69

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	4	1.79	1.54	0.19	1.44	0.274
Shots	1	4.65	2.59	0.09	-1.41	-0.127
Passes	15	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.396	-0.032
Saves	6	2.45	2.55	0.19	1.395	0.265
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	12	7.39	4.7	0.11	0.983	0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.467 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.935, then +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.2

Pucker+139

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	1	4.651	0.215	0.08	0.017
Saves	6	2.448	2.451	0.15	0.368
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	12	7.386	1.625	0.12	0.195
Passes	15	18.121	0.828	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	1.999	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.228 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.444 − 0.054 turnover penalty = 1.39 → ×100 = 138.99 → 139

Offensive7.40

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.051	0.101	0.4	1.661
Shooting %	1	0.474	0.2	1.844
Assists per pass	0.267	0.099	0.4	3.898

Σ contribution = 7.402

Defensive8.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.448	9.584	0.3	2.875
Blocks	2	0.729	9.762	0.2	1.952
Takeaways	12	7.386	8.218	0.25	2.054
Goals conceded	6	6.739	6.49	0.25	1.622

Σ contribution = 8.503

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.2	1.63	0.23	2.333	0.537
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	8	4.65	2.59	0.09	1.293	0.116
Passes	12	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.777	-0.062
Saves	2	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.176	-0.033
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	5	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.508	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.553 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.107, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.6

Pucker+131

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	3.884	1.674	0.32	0.536
Shots	8	4.651	1.72	0.08	0.138
Saves	2	2.448	0.817	0.15	0.123
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	5	7.386	0.677	0.12	0.081
Passes	12	18.121	0.662	0.08	0.053
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.159 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.364 − 0.054 turnover penalty = 1.31 → ×100 = 130.97 → 131

Offensive7.70

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.292	0.101	0.4	3.929
Shooting %	0.75	0.474	0.2	1.62
Assists per pass	0.083	0.099	0.4	2.155

Σ contribution = 7.703

Defensive6.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.448	5.276	0.3	1.583
Blocks	2	0.729	9.762	0.2	1.952
Takeaways	5	7.386	4.751	0.25	1.188
Goals conceded	6	6.739	6.49	0.25	1.622

Σ contribution = 6.345

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	5	1.79	1.54	0.19	2.091	0.397
Shots	3	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.637	-0.057
Passes	18	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.015	-0.001
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	5	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.508	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.014 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.972, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.3

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.884	1.802	0.32	0.577
Shots	3	4.651	0.645	0.08	0.052
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	7.386	0.677	0.12	0.081
Passes	18	18.121	0.993	0.08	0.079
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.142	0.03	0.034

Σ 0.823 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.969 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.956 → ×100 = 95.52 → 96

Offensive9.43

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.101	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.667	0.474	0.2	1.509
Assists per pass	0.278	0.099	0.4	3.918

Σ contribution = 9.427

Defensive4.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	7.386	4.751	0.25	1.188
Goals conceded	6	6.739	6.49	0.25	1.622

Σ contribution = 4.287

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

meatsale Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance4.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.2	1.63	0.23	-1.353	-0.311
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	2	4.65	2.59	0.09	-1.024	-0.092
Passes	19	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.112	0.009
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	8	7.39	4.7	0.11	0.131	0.014

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.622 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.756, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.1

Pucker+43

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.884	0.515	0.32	0.165
Shots	2	4.651	0.43	0.08	0.034
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	7.386	1.083	0.12	0.13
Passes	19	18.121	1.049	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.5	0.571	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.43 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.506 − 0.075 turnover penalty = 0.431 → ×100 = 43.14 → 43

Offensive5.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.101	0.4	2.124
Shooting %	0	0.474	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.105	0.099	0.4	2.509

Σ contribution = 5.223

Defensive4.31

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	7.386	6.332	0.25	1.583
Goals conceded	9	6.739	5.016	0.25	1.254

Σ contribution = 4.314

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rodeo Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.2	1.63	0.23	1.104	0.254
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	9	4.65	2.59	0.09	1.679	0.151
Passes	19	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.112	0.009
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	1	7.39	4.7	0.11	-1.36	-0.15

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.023 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.045, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+89

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.884	1.545	0.32	0.494
Shots	9	4.651	1.935	0.08	0.155
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	7.386	0.135	0.12	0.016
Passes	19	18.121	1.049	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.666	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.769 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.905 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.892 → ×100 = 89.16 → 89

Offensive7.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.429	0.101	0.4	3.995
Shooting %	0.444	0.474	0.2	1.151
Assists per pass	0.105	0.099	0.4	2.509

Σ contribution = 7.654

Defensive3.53

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	7.386	3.206	0.25	0.801
Goals conceded	9	6.739	5.016	0.25	1.254

Σ contribution = 3.532

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kyler Virginia Express

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	3	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.637	-0.057
Passes	16	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.269	-0.022
Saves	3	2.45	2.55	0.19	0.217	0.041
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	19	7.39	4.7	0.11	2.473	0.272

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.258 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.515, then +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.9

Pucker+129

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.884	0.772	0.32	0.247
Shots	3	4.651	0.645	0.08	0.052
Saves	3	2.448	1.226	0.15	0.184
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	19	7.386	2.573	0.12	0.309
Passes	16	18.121	0.883	0.08	0.071
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.094 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.287 → ×100 = 128.69 → 129

Offensive4.99

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.049	0.101	0.4	1.645
Shooting %	0.667	0.474	0.2	1.509
Assists per pass	0.062	0.099	0.4	1.839

Σ contribution = 4.993

Defensive7.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.448	6.887	0.3	2.066
Blocks	2	0.729	9.762	0.2	1.952
Takeaways	19	7.386	9.67	0.25	2.417
Goals conceded	9	6.739	5.016	0.25	1.254

Σ contribution = 7.689

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.