Colorado Cobras vs Winter Park Owls

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5–6Final

WPAwayWinter Park Owls

Aug 7, 2021 · Pro Division · The Hog Hole

MVP [ORL] Mace · 6.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Colorado Cobras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CLP] Panarin	1	2	3	4	7	3	2	6	12	1	17	1:24	109	5.04	7.36
[COB] Rokybo	3	1	4	5	1	3	0	8	5	1	13	0:21	96	7.00	5.85
[COW] Crusade	1	3	4	2	0	2	2	6	10	0	17	0:29	61	7.66	4.41

Winter Park Owls

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[ORL] Mace	0	2	2	3	4	0	2	15	2	3	15	1:31	120	4.89	8.58
[PLY] Ridge	4	2	6	7	1	3	3	6	9	1	21	0:27	113	7.44	5.80
[PRO] Chaser	2	1	3	4	1	1	3	6	9	2	23	0:18	89	6.15	6.26

Panarin Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	4	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.251	-0.023
Passes	17	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.142	-0.011
Saves	7	2.45	2.55	0.19	1.787	0.34
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	6	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.295	-0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.161 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.323, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.884	0.644	0.32	0.206
Shots	4	4.651	0.86	0.08	0.069
Saves	7	2.448	2.86	0.15	0.429
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	6	7.386	0.812	0.12	0.097
Passes	17	18.121	0.938	0.08	0.075
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.008 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.186 − 0.095 turnover penalty = 1.091 → ×100 = 109.1 → 109

Offensive5.04

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.036	0.101	0.4	1.49
Shooting %	0.25	0.474	0.2	0.848
Assists per pass	0.118	0.099	0.4	2.706

Σ contribution = 5.043

Defensive7.36

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.448	9.811	0.3	2.943
Blocks	1	0.729	7.419	0.2	1.484
Takeaways	6	7.386	5.258	0.25	1.315
Goals conceded	6	6.739	6.49	0.25	1.622

Σ contribution = 7.364

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rokybo Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.63	0.23	0.49	0.113
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	5	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.135	0.012
Passes	13	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.65	-0.052
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	8	7.39	4.7	0.11	0.131	0.014

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.086 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.827, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	5	4.651	1.075	0.08	0.086
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	8	7.386	1.083	0.12	0.13
Passes	13	18.121	0.717	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	1.999	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.82 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.965 → ×100 = 96.49 → 96

Offensive7.00

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.19	0.101	0.4	3.536
Shooting %	0.6	0.474	0.2	1.409
Assists per pass	0.077	0.099	0.4	2.054

Σ contribution = 6.999

Defensive5.85

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	3.876	0.3	1.163
Blocks	1	0.729	7.419	0.2	1.484
Takeaways	8	7.386	6.332	0.25	1.583
Goals conceded	6	6.739	6.49	0.25	1.622

Σ contribution = 5.852

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Crusade Colorado Cobras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	3	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.79	0.15
Shots	2	4.65	2.59	0.09	-1.024	-0.092
Passes	17	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.142	-0.011
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	6	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.295	-0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.424 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.152, then −0.3 turnovers → 4.9

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	2	4.651	0.43	0.08	0.034
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	7.386	0.812	0.12	0.097
Passes	17	18.121	0.938	0.08	0.075
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.566 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.666 − 0.054 turnover penalty = 0.612 → ×100 = 61.22 → 61

Offensive7.66

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.138	0.101	0.4	2.962
Shooting %	0.5	0.474	0.2	1.244
Assists per pass	0.176	0.099	0.4	3.454

Σ contribution = 7.66

Defensive4.41

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.729	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	7.386	5.258	0.25	1.315
Goals conceded	6	6.739	6.49	0.25	1.622

Σ contribution = 4.414

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mace Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.2	1.63	0.23	-1.353	-0.311
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	3	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.637	-0.057
Passes	15	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.396	-0.032
Saves	4	2.45	2.55	0.19	0.609	0.116
Blocks	3	0.73	0.94	0.11	2.422	0.266
Takeaways	15	7.39	4.7	0.11	1.622	0.178

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.187 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.373, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.5

Pucker+120

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.884	0.386	0.32	0.124
Shots	3	4.651	0.645	0.08	0.052
Saves	4	2.448	1.634	0.15	0.245
Blocks	3	0.729	4.113	0.07	0.288
Takeaways	15	7.386	2.031	0.12	0.244
Passes	15	18.121	0.828	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.018 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.198 → ×100 = 119.78 → 120

Offensive4.89

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.022	0.101	0.4	1.354
Shooting %	0	0.474	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.133	0.099	0.4	2.942

Σ contribution = 4.886

Defensive8.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.448	8.243	0.3	2.473
Blocks	3	0.729	9.984	0.2	1.997
Takeaways	15	7.386	9.097	0.25	2.274
Goals conceded	5	6.739	7.337	0.25	1.834

Σ contribution = 8.578

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ridge Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.2	1.63	0.23	1.104	0.254
Assists	2	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.139	0.026
Shots	7	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.907	0.082
Passes	21	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.365	0.029
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	6	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.295	-0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.283 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.565, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.3

Pucker+113

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.884	1.545	0.32	0.494
Shots	7	4.651	1.505	0.08	0.12
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	6	7.386	0.812	0.12	0.097
Passes	21	18.121	1.159	0.08	0.093
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.992 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.167 − 0.034 turnover penalty = 1.133 → ×100 = 113.34 → 113

Offensive7.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.222	0.101	0.4	3.735
Shooting %	0.571	0.474	0.2	1.363
Assists per pass	0.095	0.099	0.4	2.346

Σ contribution = 7.444

Defensive5.80

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	3.876	0.3	1.163
Blocks	1	0.729	7.419	0.2	1.484
Takeaways	6	7.386	5.258	0.25	1.315
Goals conceded	5	6.739	7.337	0.25	1.834

Σ contribution = 5.796

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	4	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.251	-0.023
Passes	23	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.619	0.05
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	6	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.295	-0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.09 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.819, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.5

Pucker+89

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.884	0.772	0.32	0.247
Shots	4	4.651	0.86	0.08	0.069
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	6	7.386	0.812	0.12	0.097
Passes	23	18.121	1.269	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.783 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.921 − 0.034 turnover penalty = 0.887 → ×100 = 88.76 → 89

Offensive6.15

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.101	0.4	3.316
Shooting %	0.5	0.474	0.2	1.244
Assists per pass	0.043	0.099	0.4	1.589

Σ contribution = 6.149

Defensive6.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	3.876	0.3	1.163
Blocks	2	0.729	9.762	0.2	1.952
Takeaways	6	7.386	5.258	0.25	1.315
Goals conceded	5	6.739	7.337	0.25	1.834

Σ contribution = 6.264

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.