Winter Park Owls vs Toronto Penguins

WPHomeWinter Park Owls

4–5Final

TPAwayToronto Penguins

Aug 6, 2021 · Pro Division · The Hog Hole

MVP Mace · 7.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Winter Park OwlsvsToronto Penguins

10Shots515

10Saves46

8Faceoffs won53

25Takeaways421

21Turnovers↓425

6Blocks51

57Passes57

2:19Possession0:142:05

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Winter Park Owls

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Mace	1	3	4	2	8	2	2	13	4	2	14	1:27	159	1.14	1.73
Ridge	1	0	1	4	1	2	0	7	9	3	20	0:37	86	0.36	1.11
Chaser	2	0	2	4	1	4	1	5	8	1	23	0:15	72	0.83	0.92

Toronto Penguins

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
LemonBond	3	1	4	3	5	2	4	3	3	1	14	0:57	108	0.94	1.32
Occelloth	1	0	1	5	1	0	1	5	9	0	20	0:32	44	0.35	0.76
Baumz	1	0	1	7	0	1	3	13	13	0	23	0:36	51	0.33	0.93

Mace Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	3	1.79	1.54	0.19	0.79	0.15
Shots	2	4.65	2.59	0.09	-1.024	-0.092
Passes	14	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.523	-0.042
Saves	8	2.45	2.55	0.19	2.18	0.414
Blocks	2	0.73	0.94	0.11	1.355	0.149
Takeaways	13	7.39	4.7	0.11	1.196	0.132

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.541 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.082, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways → 7.7

Pucker+159

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	2	4.651	0.43	0.08	0.034
Saves	8	2.448	3.268	0.15	0.49
Blocks	2	0.729	2.742	0.07	0.192
Takeaways	13	7.386	1.76	0.12	0.211
Passes	14	18.121	0.773	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.349 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.587 → ×100 = 158.72 → 159

Offensive1.14

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.046	0.101	0.4	0.202
Shooting %	0.5	0.474	0.2	0.211
Assists per pass	0.214	0.099	0.4	0.73

Σ contribution = 1.143

Defensive1.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.448	1.979	0.3	0.594
Blocks	2	0.729	1.94	0.2	0.388
Takeaways	13	7.386	1.641	0.25	0.41
Goals conceded	5	6.739	1.334	0.25	0.334

Σ contribution = 1.726

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ridge Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	0	1.79	1.54	0.19	-1.162	-0.221
Shots	4	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.251	-0.023
Passes	20	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.239	0.019
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	3	0.73	0.94	0.11	2.422	0.266
Takeaways	7	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.082	-0.009

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.245 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.51, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.884	0.257	0.32	0.082
Shots	4	4.651	0.86	0.08	0.069
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	3	0.729	4.113	0.07	0.288
Takeaways	7	7.386	0.948	0.12	0.114
Passes	20	18.121	1.104	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	1.999	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.762 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.897 − 0.034 turnover penalty = 0.863 → ×100 = 86.31 → 86

Offensive0.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.101	0.4	0.15
Shooting %	0.25	0.474	0.2	0.112
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.358

Defensive1.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	0.469	0.3	0.141
Blocks	3	0.729	1.996	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	7	7.386	0.948	0.25	0.237
Goals conceded	5	6.739	1.334	0.25	0.334

Σ contribution = 1.111

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Winter Park Owls

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.125	-0.029
Assists	0	1.79	1.54	0.19	-1.162	-0.221
Shots	4	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.251	-0.023
Passes	23	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.619	0.05
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	5	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.508	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.355 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.291, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.0

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.884	0.515	0.32	0.165
Shots	4	4.651	0.86	0.08	0.069
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	5	7.386	0.677	0.12	0.081
Passes	23	18.121	1.269	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.599	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.622 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.731 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.718 → ×100 = 71.79 → 72

Offensive0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.101	0.4	0.524
Shooting %	0.5	0.474	0.2	0.211
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.831

Defensive0.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	0.469	0.3	0.141
Blocks	1	0.729	1.355	0.2	0.271
Takeaways	5	7.386	0.688	0.25	0.172
Goals conceded	5	6.739	1.334	0.25	0.334

Σ contribution = 0.918

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LemonBond Toronto Penguins

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.63	0.23	0.49	0.113
Assists	1	1.79	1.54	0.19	-0.511	-0.097
Shots	3	4.65	2.59	0.09	-0.637	-0.057
Passes	14	18.12	7.88	0.08	-0.523	-0.042
Saves	5	2.45	2.55	0.19	1.002	0.19
Blocks	1	0.73	0.94	0.11	0.289	0.032
Takeaways	3	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.934	-0.103

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.036 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.071, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.3

Pucker+108

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.884	1.03	0.32	0.33
Shots	3	4.651	0.645	0.08	0.052
Saves	5	2.448	2.043	0.15	0.306
Blocks	1	0.729	1.371	0.07	0.096
Takeaways	3	7.386	0.406	0.12	0.049
Passes	14	18.121	0.773	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.666	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.914 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.075 → ×100 = 107.54 → 108

Offensive0.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.101	0.4	0.282
Shooting %	1	0.474	0.2	0.361
Assists per pass	0.071	0.099	0.4	0.293

Σ contribution = 0.935

Defensive1.32

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.448	1.779	0.3	0.534
Blocks	1	0.729	1.355	0.2	0.271
Takeaways	3	7.386	0.467	0.25	0.117
Goals conceded	4	6.739	1.595	0.25	0.399

Σ contribution = 1.321

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Occelloth Toronto Penguins

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	0	1.79	1.54	0.19	-1.162	-0.221
Shots	5	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.135	0.012
Passes	20	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.239	0.019
Saves	1	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.569	-0.108
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	5	7.39	4.7	0.11	-0.508	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.609 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.782, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.3

Pucker+44

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.884	0.257	0.32	0.082
Shots	5	4.651	1.075	0.08	0.086
Saves	1	2.448	0.409	0.15	0.061
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	7.386	0.677	0.12	0.081
Passes	20	18.121	1.104	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.399 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.47 − 0.034 turnover penalty = 0.436 → ×100 = 43.58 → 44

Offensive0.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.031	0.101	0.4	0.161
Shooting %	0.2	0.474	0.2	0.096
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.352

Defensive0.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.448	0.469	0.3	0.141
Blocks	0	0.729	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	5	7.386	0.688	0.25	0.172
Goals conceded	4	6.739	1.595	0.25	0.399

Σ contribution = 0.76

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Baumz Toronto Penguins

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.63	0.23	-0.739	-0.17
Assists	0	1.79	1.54	0.19	-1.162	-0.221
Shots	7	4.65	2.59	0.09	0.907	0.082
Passes	23	18.12	7.88	0.08	0.619	0.05
Saves	0	2.45	2.55	0.19	-0.961	-0.183
Blocks	0	0.73	0.94	0.11	-0.778	-0.086
Takeaways	13	7.39	4.7	0.11	1.196	0.132

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.396 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.207, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Pucker+51

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.884	0.257	0.32	0.082
Shots	7	4.651	1.505	0.08	0.12
Saves	0	2.448	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.729	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	7.386	1.76	0.12	0.211
Passes	23	18.121	1.269	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.531 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.624 − 0.116 turnover penalty = 0.508 → ×100 = 50.86 → 51

Offensive0.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.028	0.101	0.4	0.152
Shooting %	0.143	0.474	0.2	0.079
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.327

Defensive0.93

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.448	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.729	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	13	7.386	1.641	0.25	0.41
Goals conceded	4	6.739	1.595	0.25	0.399

Σ contribution = 0.929

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.