Vader Desperados vs Hog Island Five Hole Hogs

7–6Final

Oct 28, 2026 · Prospect Division · High Noon

MVP Alto · 7.0 performance rating

Vader Desperados 7, Hog Island Five Hole Hogs 6 (regulation). This matchup served as a regular season contest between the Vader Desperados, who entered with a 4-3 record, and the Hog Island Five Hole Hogs, who stood at 6-7. The final score of 13 goals represents a typical Prospect Division scoreline, landing at the division median of 13 goals.

The game was decided in the first period, which served as the decisive frame. The Hog Island Five Hole Hogs took an early lead, outscoring the Vader Desperados 1-0 in that opening period. However, the Desperados fought back to tie the game 1-1 in the second period before a high-scoring third period saw the Desperados net 6 goals to the Hogs' 5.

Alto led the way for the Hogs, earning a 7.0 perf and a 149.02 Pucker+ rating while recording 5 saves and 12 blocks. During the action, Alto reached a significant career milestone by recording their 100th save. On the Desperados side, oChase finished with a 6.9 perf, contributing 3 goals and 1 assist in the final frame.

Player of the Game: Alto

Vader DesperadosvsHog Island Five Hole Hogs

13Shots112

6Saves6

8Faceoffs won17

12Takeaways111

11Turnovers↓11

22Blocks224

50Passes1767

2:15Possession0:142:01

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Hog Island Five Hole Hogs gained 7 points in period 1.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

Ghostwalkerhome+7.53
Hog69away+4.74
Altoaway+0.92
ochasehome+0.42
meenimizerhome−1.17
TheBakerGuyaway−2.90
illumix22away−9.53

Signed percentage points · model fit on 325 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Vader DesperadosHog Island Five Hole Hogs

1st

Possession

1:091:06

Shots: 21
Faceoffs won: 20
Blocks: 66

oChase, Meenimizer, Ghostwalker

Alto, thebakerguy1, Hog69

2nd

Possession

0:020:00

Shots: 10
Faceoffs won: 10
Blocks: 00

Meenimizer, Ghostwalker

illumix22

3rd

Possession

1:040:55

Shots: 1011
Faceoffs won: 57
Blocks: 1618

oChase, Meenimizer, Ghostwalker

Alto, thebakerguy1, illumix22

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Vader Desperados

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Meenimizer	0	3	3	1	2	2	2	6	4	11	5	0	1:27	93	0.56	1.10
Ghostwalker	4	1	5	6	2	1	3	4	4	6	22	0	0:34	117	0.67	0.97
oChase	3	1	4	6	2	5	3	2	3	5	23	1	0:14	148	0.78	1.07

Hog Island Five Hole Hogs

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
illumix22	1	3	4	2	0	4	2	4	5	6	21	0:35	107	0.76	0.84
Alto	1	2	3	2	5	1	5	0	3	12	21	0:43	156	1.05	1.26
Hog69	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	0:11	53	0.83	0.90
thebakerguy1	3	0	3	7	1	2	0	6	1	4	21	0:32	149	0.64	1.07

Meenimizer Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	2	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.379	-0.11
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.509 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.237, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Period 2· 4.6

Stat	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.985	-0.159
Saves	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.901 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.649, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.6

Period 3· 8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	3	0.6	0.84	0.19	2.858	0.543
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	3	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.075	-0.086
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	9	2.17	1.86	0.11	3.673	0.404
Takeaways	4	1.2	1.35	0.11	2.072	0.228

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.107 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.66, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.3 blocks, −0.2 goals against → 8.2

Pucker+93

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	1.229	0.813	0.32	0.26
Shots	0.333	1.342	0.248	0.08	0.02
Saves	0.667	0.653	1.02	0.15	0.153
Blocks	3.667	2.173	1.688	0.07	0.118
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.665	0.12	0.2
Passes	1.667	6.548	0.255	0.08	0.02
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.801 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.943 − 0.017 turnover penalty = 0.926 → ×100 = 92.56 → 93

Offensive0.56

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 1.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.094	0.4	0.353
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	1	0.091	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.201

Defensive1.10

Period 1· 1.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.091

Period 2· 0.62

Stat	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 3· 1.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	9	2.173	1.996	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	4	1.201	1.981	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	5	2.073	0.473	0.25	0.118

Σ contribution = 1.602

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ghostwalker Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	6	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.166	-0.013
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.637 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.044, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.0

Period 2· 5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	0	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.985	-0.159
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	0	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.596 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.106, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.4

Period 3· 9.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	0.69	0.95	0.23	2.439	0.561
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	5	1.34	1.45	0.09	2.528	0.227
Passes	16	6.55	3.3	0.08	2.865	0.229
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	4	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.983	0.108
Takeaways	4	1.2	1.35	0.11	2.072	0.228

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.714 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 8.571, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 9.1

Pucker+117

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.667	1.229	1.356	0.32	0.434
Shots	2	1.342	1.49	0.08	0.119
Saves	0.667	0.653	1.02	0.15	0.153
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.07	0.064
Takeaways	1.333	1.201	1.11	0.12	0.133
Passes	7.333	6.548	1.12	0.08	0.09
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 1.008 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.186 − 0.017 turnover penalty = 1.169 → ×100 = 116.89 → 117

Offensive0.67

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.54

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.538

Period 3· 1.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.094	0.4	0.723
Shooting %	0.6	0.513	0.2	0.234
Assists per pass	0.062	0.091	0.4	0.279

Σ contribution = 1.235

Defensive0.97

Period 1· 0.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.756

Period 2· 0.62

Stat	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 3· 1.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	4	2.173	1.686	0.2	0.337
Takeaways	4	1.201	1.981	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	5	2.073	0.473	0.25	0.118

Σ contribution = 1.54

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

oChase Vader Desperados

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.526 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.21, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Period 2· 8.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	0.69	0.95	0.23	2.439	0.561
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	5	1.34	1.45	0.09	2.528	0.227
Passes	15	6.55	3.3	0.08	2.562	0.205
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.467 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 8.201, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.8

Pucker+148

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.229	1.627	0.32	0.521
Shots	3	1.342	2.235	0.08	0.179
Saves	1	0.653	1.53	0.15	0.23
Blocks	2.5	2.173	1.151	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.832	0.12	0.1
Passes	11.5	6.548	1.756	0.08	0.141
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.287 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.515 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 1.477 → ×100 = 147.64 → 148

Offensive0.78

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.094	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.6	0.513	0.2	0.234
Assists per pass	0.067	0.091	0.4	0.295

Σ contribution = 1.329

Defensive1.07

Period 1· 0.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.756

Period 2· 1.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	5	2.073	0.473	0.25	0.118

Σ contribution = 1.376

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

illumix22 Hog Island Five Hole Hogs

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Period 1· 4.6

Stat	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.985	-0.159
Saves	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.901 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.649, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.6

Period 2· 7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	3	0.6	0.84	0.19	2.858	0.543
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	21	6.55	3.3	0.08	4.381	0.35
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	6	2.17	1.86	0.11	2.059	0.227
Takeaways	4	1.2	1.35	0.11	2.072	0.228

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.334 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 8.001, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 7.9

Pucker+107

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.229	1.627	0.32	0.521
Shots	1	1.342	0.745	0.08	0.06
Saves	0	0.653	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	2.173	1.381	0.07	0.097
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.665	0.12	0.2
Passes	10.5	6.548	1.604	0.08	0.128
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.045 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.229 − 0.164 turnover penalty = 1.065 → ×100 = 106.57 → 107

Offensive0.76

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.28

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.114	0.094	0.4	0.483
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	0.195
Assists per pass	0.143	0.091	0.4	0.606

Σ contribution = 1.284

Defensive0.84

Period 1· 0.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 2· 1.06

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	6	2.173	1.943	0.2	0.389
Takeaways	4	1.201	1.981	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	6	2.073	0.425	0.25	0.106

Σ contribution = 1.062

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Alto Hog Island Five Hole Hogs

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Period 1· 6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	7	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.137	0.011
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.071 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.107, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.1

Period 2· 7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	14	6.55	3.3	0.08	2.259	0.181
Saves	3	0.65	0.95	0.19	2.464	0.468
Blocks	9	2.17	1.86	0.11	3.673	0.404
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.163 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.744, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 blocks, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 7.9

Pucker+156

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	1.229	1.22	0.32	0.39
Shots	1	1.342	0.745	0.08	0.06
Saves	2.5	0.653	3.826	0.15	0.574
Blocks	6	2.173	2.762	0.07	0.193
Takeaways	0	1.201	0	0.12	0
Passes	10.5	6.548	1.604	0.08	0.128
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 1.356 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.595 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 1.557 → ×100 = 155.66 → 156

Offensive1.05

Period 1· 0.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.029	0.094	0.4	0.159
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.143	0.091	0.4	0.606

Σ contribution = 0.813

Period 2· 1.28

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.094	0.4	0.771
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	0.195
Assists per pass	0.071	0.091	0.4	0.315

Σ contribution = 1.281

Defensive1.26

Period 1· 1.36

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.363

Period 2· 1.17

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.653	1.998	0.3	0.6
Blocks	9	2.173	1.996	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	2.073	0.425	0.25	0.106

Σ contribution = 1.165

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Hog69 Hog Island Five Hole Hogs

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Period 1· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	4	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.772	-0.062
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.299 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.551, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.8

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	1.229	0.813	0.32	0.26
Shots	1	1.342	0.745	0.08	0.06
Saves	0	0.653	0	0.15	0
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.07	0.064
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.832	0.12	0.1
Passes	4	6.548	0.611	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.533 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.627 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.526 → ×100 = 52.63 → 53

Offensive0.83

Period 1· 0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.094	0.4	0.385
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.828

Defensive0.90

Period 1· 0.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.904

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

thebakerguy1 Hog Island Five Hole Hogs

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Period 1· 5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	4	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.772	-0.062
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	5	1.2	1.35	0.11	2.813	0.309

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.337 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.494, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.5

Period 2· 8.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	0.69	0.95	0.23	2.439	0.561
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	7	1.34	1.45	0.09	3.91	0.352
Passes	17	6.55	3.3	0.08	3.168	0.253
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.133 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.7, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.2 goals against → 8.0

Pucker+149

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	1.229	1.22	0.32	0.39
Shots	3.5	1.342	2.607	0.08	0.209
Saves	0.5	0.653	0.765	0.15	0.115
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.07	0.064
Takeaways	3	1.201	2.497	0.12	0.3
Passes	10.5	6.548	1.604	0.08	0.128
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.266 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.49 → ×100 = 148.96 → 149

Offensive0.64

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.03

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.094	0.4	0.771
Shooting %	0.429	0.513	0.2	0.167
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.034

Defensive1.07

Period 1· 1.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	5	1.201	1.996	0.25	0.499
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.112

Period 2· 1.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	6	2.073	0.425	0.25	0.106

Σ contribution = 1.033

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.