Vader Desperados vs Atlanta Aces

9–8Final

Oct 29, 2026 · Prospect Division · High Noon

MVP Cyv · 6.6 performance rating

Vader Desperados 9, Atlanta Aces 8 (regulation). This matchup saw the Vader Desperados, who entered the game with a 6-4 record, edge out the 8-5 Atlanta Aces in a regular season contest. The final score of 17 goals represents a typical Prospect Division scoreline, sitting in the 81st percentile compared to the division median of 13.

The game was decided in the first period, where the Atlanta Aces took a commanding 4-2 lead. The Aces' offensive pressure in that opening frame proved to be the decisive factor, setting the tone for a high-scoring battle that saw the Desperados fight back to secure the win in the final frame.

Cyv led the way for the Aces, finishing with 6 points, 5 saves, and 11 blocks to earn the top rating. On the Desperados side, oChase contributed 15 blocks, while Alt reached a significant milestone for the Aces by scoring their career 50th goal.

Player of the Game: Cyv

Vader DesperadosvsAtlanta Aces

19Shots712

4Saves610

9Faceoffs won110

13Takeaways103

3Turnovers↓1013

31Blocks1021

64Passes1846

1:35Possession0:291:06

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Atlanta Aces gained 14 points in period 1.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

Ghostwalkerhome+9.53
Cyvaway+3.47
meenimizerhome−1.25
ochasehome−1.51
TheFrostiiaway−1.78
Altaway−8.46

Signed percentage points · model fit on 325 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Vader DesperadosAtlanta Aces

1st

Possession

0:320:23

Shots: 46
Faceoffs won: 34
Blocks: 47

oChase, Ghostwalker, Meenimizer

Alt, Cyv, TheFrostii

2nd

Possession

0:390:29

Shots: 74
Faceoffs won: 53
Blocks: 168

oChase, Ghostwalker, Meenimizer

Alt, Cyv, TheFrostii

3rd

Possession

0:240:14

Shots: 82
Faceoffs won: 13
Blocks: 116

oChase, Ghostwalker, Meenimizer

Alt, Cyv, TheFrostii

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Vader Desperados

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Meenimizer	3	4	7	7	1	3	1	5	0	11	21	0	0:46	141	1.49	1.06
Ghostwalker	3	2	5	7	0	2	6	2	2	5	25	1	0:23	95	0.83	0.65
oChase	3	1	4	5	3	4	3	6	1	15	18	0	0:26	135	1.14	1.33

Atlanta Aces

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Alt	4	1	5	6	2	2	1	0	3	5	15	0:12	96	1.33	0.73
Cyv	3	3	6	4	5	5	1	3	7	11	19	0:37	142	1.25	1.18
TheFrostii	1	1	2	2	3	3	7	0	3	5	12	0:17	66	0.73	0.78

Meenimizer Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Period 1· 6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	6	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.166	-0.013
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.256 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.384, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.4

Period 2· 6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	2	0.6	0.84	0.19	1.669	0.317
Shots	3	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.145	0.103
Passes	9	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.743	0.059
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	5	2.17	1.86	0.11	1.521	0.167
Takeaways	3	1.2	1.35	0.11	1.332	0.147

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.739 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.108, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.7

Period 3· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	3	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.145	0.103
Passes	6	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.166	-0.013
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	4	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.983	0.108
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.137 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.205, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0

Pucker+141

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.167	1.229	1.762	0.32	0.564
Shots	2.333	1.342	1.738	0.08	0.139
Saves	0.333	0.653	0.51	0.15	0.077
Blocks	3.667	2.173	1.688	0.07	0.118
Takeaways	1.667	1.201	1.387	0.12	0.166
Passes	7	6.548	1.069	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.195 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.405 → ×100 = 140.55 → 141

Offensive1.49

Period 1· 1.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.118	0.094	0.4	0.496
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0.167	0.091	0.4	0.672

Σ contribution = 1.516

Period 2· 1.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.094	0.4	0.47
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0.222	0.091	0.4	0.758

Σ contribution = 1.36

Period 3· 1.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.094	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0.167	0.091	0.4	0.672

Σ contribution = 1.605

Defensive1.06

Period 1· 1.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 1.163

Period 2· 1.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	5	2.173	1.862	0.2	0.372
Takeaways	3	1.201	1.905	0.25	0.476
Goals conceded	3	2.073	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 1.095

Period 3· 0.91

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	2.173	1.686	0.2	0.337
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.909

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ghostwalker Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Period 1· 4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	7	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.137	0.011
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	0	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.588 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.119, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Period 2· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	10	6.55	3.3	0.08	1.046	0.084
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.112 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.168, then −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Period 3· 6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.69	0.95	0.23	1.384	0.318
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	4	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.837	0.165
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.453 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.68, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.7

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.667	1.229	1.356	0.32	0.434
Shots	2.333	1.342	1.738	0.08	0.139
Saves	0	0.653	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.667	2.173	0.767	0.07	0.054
Takeaways	0.667	1.201	0.555	0.12	0.067
Passes	8.333	6.548	1.273	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.81 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.953 → ×100 = 95.29 → 95

Offensive0.83

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.73

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	0.195
Assists per pass	0.1	0.091	0.4	0.439

Σ contribution = 0.73

Period 3· 1.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.273	0.094	0.4	0.782
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	0.195
Assists per pass	0.125	0.091	0.4	0.543

Σ contribution = 1.52

Defensive0.65

Period 1· 0.47

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 0.466

Period 2· 0.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	2.073	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.58

Period 3· 0.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.904

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

oChase Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Period 1· 5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	13	6.55	3.3	0.08	1.956	0.156
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.099 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.149, then −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Period 2· 7.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.69	0.95	0.23	1.384	0.318
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	2	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.379	-0.11
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	8	2.17	1.86	0.11	3.135	0.345
Takeaways	4	1.2	1.35	0.11	2.072	0.228

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.756 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.134, then +0.3 blocks, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.5

Period 3· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	3	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.075	-0.086
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	5	2.17	1.86	0.11	1.521	0.167
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.118 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.177, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	1.229	1.084	0.32	0.347
Shots	1.667	1.342	1.241	0.08	0.099
Saves	1	0.653	1.53	0.15	0.23
Blocks	5	2.173	2.301	0.07	0.161
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.665	0.12	0.2
Passes	6	6.548	0.916	0.08	0.073
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.144 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.346 → ×100 = 134.63 → 135

Offensive1.14

Period 1· 1.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.094	0.4	0.795
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	0.195
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.085

Period 2· 1.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.094	0.4	0.657
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.101

Period 3· 1.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.094	0.4	0.385
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.333	0.091	0.4	0.796

Σ contribution = 1.229

Defensive1.33

Period 1· 0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 0.828

Period 2· 1.51

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	8	2.173	1.991	0.2	0.398
Takeaways	4	1.201	1.981	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	3	2.073	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 1.514

Period 3· 1.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	5	2.173	1.862	0.2	0.372
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.653

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Alt Atlanta Aces

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Period 1· 5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	3	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.145	0.103
Passes	3	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.075	-0.086
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.086 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.129, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Period 2· 6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.69	0.95	0.23	1.384	0.318
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	0	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.102 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.154, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.2

Period 3· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	4	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.772	-0.062
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	4	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.983	0.108
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.262 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.607, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	1.229	1.22	0.32	0.39
Shots	2	1.342	1.49	0.08	0.119
Saves	0.667	0.653	1.02	0.15	0.153
Blocks	1.667	2.173	0.767	0.07	0.054
Takeaways	0	1.201	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	6.548	0.764	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.817 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.962 → ×100 = 96.17 → 96

Offensive1.33

Period 1· 1.73

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.094	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0.333	0.091	0.4	0.796

Σ contribution = 1.729

Period 2· 1.24

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	2	0.094	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.243

Period 3· 1.03

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.094	0.4	0.589
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.032

Defensive0.73

Period 1· 0.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.073	1.036	0.25	0.259

Σ contribution = 0.866

Period 2· 0.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	0	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 0.692

Period 3· 0.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	2.173	1.686	0.2	0.337
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	2.073	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.644

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cyv Atlanta Aces

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Period 1· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.69	0.95	0.23	1.384	0.318
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	5	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.469	-0.038
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	4	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.983	0.108
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.574 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.861, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Period 2· 6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	2	0.6	0.84	0.19	1.669	0.317
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	6	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.166	-0.013
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	6	2.17	1.86	0.11	2.059	0.227
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.719 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.078, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Period 3· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	3	0.65	0.95	0.19	2.464	0.468
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.013 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.019, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+142

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.229	1.627	0.32	0.521
Shots	1.333	1.342	0.993	0.08	0.079
Saves	1.667	0.653	2.551	0.15	0.383
Blocks	3.667	2.173	1.688	0.07	0.118
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.832	0.12	0.1
Passes	6.333	6.548	0.967	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.328 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.562 − 0.143 turnover penalty = 1.419 → ×100 = 141.97 → 142

Offensive1.25

Period 1· 1.72

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.158	0.094	0.4	0.634
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0.2	0.091	0.4	0.733

Σ contribution = 1.715

Period 2· 1.80

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.094	0.4	0.657
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0.333	0.091	0.4	0.796

Σ contribution = 1.801

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.18

Period 1· 1.25

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	4	2.173	1.686	0.2	0.337
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	2	2.073	1.036	0.25	0.259

Σ contribution = 1.25

Period 2· 1.37

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	6	2.173	1.943	0.2	0.389
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 1.368

Period 3· 0.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.653	1.998	0.3	0.6
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	2.073	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.936

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TheFrostii Atlanta Aces

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Period 1· 5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	3	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.075	-0.086
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.405 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.393, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.6

Period 2· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	5	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.469	-0.038
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.4 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.401, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Period 3· 5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	4	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.772	-0.062
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.12 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.82, then −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+66

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	1.229	0.542	0.32	0.174
Shots	0.667	1.342	0.497	0.08	0.04
Saves	1	0.653	1.53	0.15	0.23
Blocks	1.667	2.173	0.767	0.07	0.054
Takeaways	0	1.201	0	0.12	0
Passes	4	6.548	0.611	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.03	0.018

Σ 0.563 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.663 → ×100 = 66.28 → 66

Offensive0.73

Period 1· 0.54

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.538

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 1.41

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.094	0.4	0.589
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.091	0.4	0.776

Σ contribution = 1.413

Defensive0.78

Period 1· 0.57

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.073	1.036	0.25	0.259

Σ contribution = 0.575

Period 2· 0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 0.828

Period 3· 0.93

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	2.073	0.7	0.25	0.175

Σ contribution = 0.926

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.