Cold Lake Upper Deckies 3– 11 Vader Voltage Eastern
Cold Lake Upper Deckies vs Vader Voltage Eastern 10 Shots 15 25
Tactical Miss 5 hit 5 13 Magix 9 Skiztastic 3 SolaceThunders 14 Saves 7 7
lacaaas 11 Tactical Miss 2 hit 1 4 Wind 2 SolaceThunders 1 Magix 9 Faceoffs won 2 7
Tactical Miss 5 hit 4 3 Magix 2 SolaceThunders 1 Skiztastic 1 Wind 19 Takeaways 9 10
hit 9 Tactical Miss 6 lacaaas 4 4 Wind 2 Magix 2 Skiztastic 2 SolaceThunders 10 Turnovers↓ 9 19
Tactical Miss 4 lacaaas 4 hit 2 7 Magix 5 Wind 4 Skiztastic 3 SolaceThunders 21 Blocks 6 15
lacaaas 10 hit 8 Tactical Miss 3 5 Wind 4 Skiztastic 3 Magix 3 SolaceThunders 57 Passes 19 76
Tactical Miss 27 hit 21 lacaaas 9 20 Magix 20 Wind 20 SolaceThunders 16 Skiztastic 1:47 Possession 0:03 1:50
hit 0:37 Tactical Miss 0:36 lacaaas 0:34 1:02 Wind 0:23 Skiztastic 0:13 SolaceThunders 0:12 Magix Win probability The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Vader Voltage Eastern gained 20 points in period 3.
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Start P1 P2 P3 Cold Lake Upper Deckies Vader Voltage Eastern Win Probability Added How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.
1 Magix away +17.52 2 Skiz away +11.19 3 SolaceThunders away +7.14 4 Wind away +4.01 5 lacaaas🍁 home 0.00 6 hit home −18.02 7 Tactical Miss 🍁 home −21.83
1st
1 – 2
Possession
0:45 0:38
Shots 3 · 4
Faceoffs won 2 · 1
Blocks 6 · 5 lacaaas, hit, Tactical Miss
Magix, Skiztastic, Wind
2nd
1 – 3
Possession
0:34 0:49
Shots 4 · 10
Faceoffs won 2 · 3
Blocks 7 · 6 lacaaas, hit, Tactical Miss
Magix, Wind, SolaceThunders
3rd
1 – 6
Possession
0:28 0:23
Shots 3 · 11
Faceoffs won 5 · 3
Blocks 8 · 4 lacaaas, hit, Tactical Miss
Magix, Skiztastic, SolaceThunders
Tactical Miss Cold Lake Upper Deckies 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.5 Period 1· 5.2 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.406 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.391, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.2
Period 2· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.273 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.591, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.1
Period 3· 6.3 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.176 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.264, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.3
Pucker+ 84 Σ 0.717 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.844 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 0.84 → ×100 = 83.92 → 84
Offensive 0.50 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 0.61 Period 3· 0.66 Defensive 0.88 Period 1· 0.87 Period 2· 0.54 Period 3· 1.23
lacaaas Cold Lake Upper Deckies 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.1 Period 1· 5.5 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.331 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.504, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.5
Period 2· 7.0 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.535 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.802, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 7.0
Period 3· 5.9 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.193 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.71, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 5.9
Pucker+ 111 Σ 0.944 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.111 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 1.107 → ×100 = 110.68 → 111
Offensive 0.24 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.28 Period 1· 1.43 Period 2· 1.35 Period 3· 1.06
hit Cold Lake Upper Deckies 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.8 Period 1· 6.5 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.168 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.252, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5
Period 2· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.16 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.759, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.4
Period 3· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.164 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.755, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.4
Pucker+ 98 Σ 0.83 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.976 → ×100 = 97.62 → 98
Offensive 0.81 Period 1· 0.68 Period 2· 0.79 Period 3· 0.98 Defensive 1.00 Period 1· 1.38 Period 2· 0.86 Period 3· 0.76
Magix Vader Voltage Eastern 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.6 Period 1· 5.0 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.487 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.27, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.0
Period 2· 7.2 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.628 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.942, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.2
Period 3· 7.6 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.663 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.995, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.6
Pucker+ 117 Σ 1.097 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.291 − 0.12 turnover penalty = 1.171 → ×100 = 117.06 → 117
Offensive 1.03 Period 1· 0.90 Period 2· 1.04 Period 3· 1.15 Defensive 0.89 Period 1· 0.62 Period 2· 1.08 Period 3· 0.97
Skiztastic Vader Voltage Eastern 2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.8 Period 1· 5.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.05 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.925, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.6
Period 2· 7.9 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.924 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.386, then +0.5 hat trick → 7.9
Pucker+ 123 Σ 1.118 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.315 − 0.081 turnover penalty = 1.234 → ×100 = 123.36 → 123
Offensive 1.56 Period 1· 1.56 Period 2· 1.56 Defensive 0.90 Period 1· 0.99 Period 2· 0.81
Wind Vader Voltage Eastern 2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.2 Period 1· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.015 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.977, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.7
Period 2· 6.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.449 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.673, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.7
Pucker+ 119 Σ 1.128 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.327 − 0.139 turnover penalty = 1.188 → ×100 = 118.79 → 119
Offensive 0.77 Period 1· 0.79 Period 2· 0.75 Defensive 1.62 Period 1· 1.57 Period 2· 1.66
SolaceThunders Vader Voltage Eastern 2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.5 Period 1· 5.8 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.01 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.015, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8
Period 2· 7.3 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.635 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.953, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.3
Pucker+ 123 Σ 1.064 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.252 − 0.024 turnover penalty = 1.228 → ×100 = 122.79 → 123
Offensive 1.46 Period 1· 0.98 Period 2· 1.95 Defensive 1.17 Period 1· 1.28 Period 2· 1.06 
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