Barrie Bald Boys 4– 10 Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians
MVP Clever · 6.9 performance rating Barrie Bald Boys vs Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians 14 Shots 4 18
FolapaFish 6 Doug 5 meatballer36 3 11 Clever 7 Gold 8 Saves 2 10
meatballer36 4 Doug 3 FolapaFish 1 7 Scruffy 3 Gold 6 Faceoffs won 4 10
Doug 4 FolapaFish 2 4 Scruffy 3 Gold 3 Clever 7 Takeaways 12 19
Doug 3 meatballer36 2 FolapaFish 2 11 Gold 5 Scruffy 3 Clever 19 Turnovers↓ 12 7
meatballer36 8 Doug 7 FolapaFish 4 5 Clever 2 Scruffy 22 Blocks 7 15
meatballer36 11 Doug 6 FolapaFish 5 6 Scruffy 6 Clever 3 Gold 64 Passes 2 66
meatballer36 23 FolapaFish 23 Doug 18 32 Clever 17 Gold 17 Scruffy 0:58 Possession 2:08 3:06
meatballer36 0:21 Doug 0:20 FolapaFish 0:17 1:53 Scruffy 0:42 Gold 0:31 Clever Win probability The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians gained 14 points in period 1.
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Start P1 P2 P3 Barrie Bald Boys Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians Win Probability Added How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.
1 Clever away +18.18 2 gold away +10.91 3 scruffy away +4.60 4 doug home −4.75 5 meatballer36 home −5.57 6 folapafish home −23.37
1st
2 – 4
Possession
0:28 1:11
Shots 3 · 8
Faceoffs won 1 · 6
Blocks 8 · 5 FolapaFish, Doug, meatballer36
Gold, Scruffy, Clever
2nd
1 – 2
Possession
0:12 0:46
Shots 8 · 3
Faceoffs won 2 · 2
Blocks 4 · 5 FolapaFish, Doug, meatballer36
Gold, Scruffy, Clever
3rd
1 – 4
Possession
0:18 1:09
Shots 3 · 7
Faceoffs won 3 · 2
Blocks 10 · 5 FolapaFish, Doug, meatballer36
Gold, Scruffy, Clever
Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians
Doug Barrie Bald Boys 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.3 Period 1· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.268 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.598, then −0.2 goals against → 5.4
Period 2· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.235 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.647, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4
Period 3· 5.0 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.168 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.747, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.0
Pucker+ 67 Σ 0.668 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.786 − 0.12 turnover penalty = 0.666 → ×100 = 66.57 → 67
Offensive 0.86 Period 1· 1.02 Period 2· 1.33 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.94 Period 1· 0.87 Period 2· 0.64 Period 3· 1.30
meatballer36 Barrie Bald Boys 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.4 Period 1· 6.1 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.258 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.387, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.1
Period 2· 4.9 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.574 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.139, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.9
Period 3· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.149 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.776, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1
Pucker+ 59 Σ 0.637 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.75 − 0.159 turnover penalty = 0.591 → ×100 = 59.11 → 59
Offensive 0.39 Period 1· 0.69 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.08 Period 1· 1.27 Period 2· 0.85 Period 3· 1.12
FolapaFish Barrie Bald Boys 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.6 Period 1· 5.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.138 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.793, then −0.2 goals against → 5.6
Period 2· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.278 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.583, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4
Period 3· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.254 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.618, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7
Pucker+ 72 Σ 0.614 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.723 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 0.719 → ×100 = 71.85 → 72
Offensive 0.88 Period 1· 0.74 Period 2· 0.84 Period 3· 1.05 Defensive 0.70 Period 1· 0.70 Period 2· 0.69 Period 3· 0.71
Gold Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.3 Period 1· 6.2 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.272 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.407, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2
Period 2· 6.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.307 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.46, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.7
Period 3· 6.0 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.116 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.174, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0
Pucker+ 137 Σ 1.165 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.37 → ×100 = 137.01 → 137
Offensive 1.25 Period 1· 1.02 Period 2· 1.47 Period 3· 1.27 Defensive 1.33 Period 1· 1.07 Period 2· 1.58 Period 3· 1.35
Scruffy Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.4 Period 1· 6.8 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.254 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.381, then +0.4 playmaker → 6.8
Period 2· 6.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.05 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.075, then +0.35 saves → 6.4
Period 3· 5.9 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.085 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.873, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.9
Pucker+ 117 Σ 0.995 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.171 → ×100 = 117.12 → 117
Offensive 0.75 Period 1· 1.03 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.99 Defensive 1.28 Period 1· 1.07 Period 2· 1.20 Period 3· 1.58
Clever Ottawa Valley Slotted Technicians 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.9 Period 1· 7.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.638 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.956, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.7
Period 2· 5.9 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.094 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.86, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.9
Period 3· 7.0 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.357 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.536, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.0
Pucker+ 120 Σ 1.055 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.242 − 0.043 turnover penalty = 1.199 → ×100 = 119.88 → 120
Offensive 1.01 Period 1· 1.33 Period 2· 0.68 Period 3· 1.02 Defensive 0.86 Period 1· 0.69 Period 2· 0.99 Period 3· 0.90 
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