Buffalo Blizzards vs Alaska Aces

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8–5Final

AAAwayAlaska Aces

Oct 15, 2025 · Open Division · Marine Midland Arena

MVP [BUF] JoshAllenfan420 · 7.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsAlaska Aces

23Shots1112

7Saves815

6Faceoffs won39

11Takeaways516

16Turnovers↓511

13Blocks1427

34Passes539

1:57Possession0:431:14

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BUF] JoshAllenfan420	4	3	7	14	2	3	4	6	7	2	21	0:37	158	7.64	6.39
[BUF] Waggles	1	3	4	3	3	1	2	3	4	9	0	1:04	101	3.98	6.86
[BUF] minimongo	3	2	5	6	2	2	3	2	5	2	13	0:16	96	8.55	5.31

Alaska Aces

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[CCC] CptPancakes	0	0	0	0	10	0	2	1	0	8	4	0:09	100	2.95	6.45
[CCC] Hodie	2	1	3	4	3	3	2	5	2	11	14	0:36	118	5.43	7.20
[CCC] Hoodie	3	1	4	8	2	6	2	10	9	8	21	0:29	126	5.69	6.75

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.85	1.74	0.23	1.24	0.285
Assists	3	1.49	1.38	0.19	1.094	0.208
Shots	14	3.94	2.89	0.09	3.483	0.313
Passes	21	16.25	7.2	0.08	0.659	0.053
Saves	2	2.11	2.45	0.19	-0.044	-0.008
Blocks	2	7.21	4.21	0.11	-1.238	-0.136
Takeaways	6	3	2.97	0.11	1.01	0.111

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.826 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.652, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.2

Pucker+158

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.219	2.174	0.32	0.696
Shots	14	3.935	3.558	0.08	0.285
Saves	2	2.107	0.949	0.15	0.142
Blocks	2	7.209	0.277	0.07	0.019
Takeaways	6	3.002	1.998	0.12	0.24
Passes	21	16.254	1.292	0.08	0.103
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.501	0.855	0.03	0.026

Σ 1.511 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.778 − 0.199 turnover penalty = 1.579 → ×100 = 157.85 → 158

Offensive7.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.189	0.101	0.4	3.53
Shooting %	0.286	0.469	0.2	0.902
Assists per pass	0.143	0.092	0.4	3.209

Σ contribution = 7.642

Defensive6.39

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.107	5.797	0.3	1.739
Blocks	2	7.209	3.526	0.2	0.705
Takeaways	6	3.002	9.044	0.25	2.261
Goals conceded	5	5.938	6.741	0.25	1.685

Σ contribution = 6.39

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.85	1.74	0.23	-0.486	-0.112
Assists	3	1.49	1.38	0.19	1.094	0.208
Shots	3	3.94	2.89	0.09	-0.324	-0.029
Passes	0	16.25	7.2	0.08	-2.257	-0.181
Saves	3	2.11	2.45	0.19	0.365	0.069
Blocks	9	7.21	4.21	0.11	0.426	0.047
Takeaways	3	3	2.97	0.11	-0.001	0

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.002 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.005, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+101

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.219	1.242	0.32	0.398
Shots	3	3.935	0.762	0.08	0.061
Saves	3	2.107	1.424	0.15	0.214
Blocks	9	7.209	1.248	0.07	0.087
Takeaways	3	3.002	0.999	0.12	0.12
Passes	0	16.254	0	0.08	0
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.501	0.665	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.899 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.058 − 0.05 turnover penalty = 1.008 → ×100 = 100.86 → 101

Offensive3.98

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.063	0.101	0.4	1.821
Shooting %	0.333	0.469	0.2	0.975
Assists per pass	0	0.092	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.977

Defensive6.86

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.107	7.6	0.3	2.28
Blocks	9	7.209	6.973	0.2	1.395
Takeaways	3	3.002	5.997	0.25	1.499
Goals conceded	5	5.938	6.741	0.25	1.685

Σ contribution = 6.859

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.85	1.74	0.23	0.664	0.153
Assists	2	1.49	1.38	0.19	0.369	0.07
Shots	6	3.94	2.89	0.09	0.715	0.064
Passes	13	16.25	7.2	0.08	-0.452	-0.036
Saves	2	2.11	2.45	0.19	-0.044	-0.008
Blocks	2	7.21	4.21	0.11	-1.238	-0.136
Takeaways	2	3	2.97	0.11	-0.338	-0.037

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.069 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.139, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.1

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.219	1.398	0.32	0.447
Shots	6	3.935	1.525	0.08	0.122
Saves	2	2.107	0.949	0.15	0.142
Blocks	2	7.209	0.277	0.07	0.019
Takeaways	2	3.002	0.666	0.12	0.08
Passes	13	16.254	0.8	0.08	0.064
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.501	0.798	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.899 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.058 − 0.099 turnover penalty = 0.959 → ×100 = 95.81 → 96

Offensive8.55

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.313	0.101	0.4	3.953
Shooting %	0.5	0.469	0.2	1.253
Assists per pass	0.154	0.092	0.4	3.343

Σ contribution = 8.549

Defensive5.31

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.107	5.797	0.3	1.739
Blocks	2	7.209	3.526	0.2	0.705
Takeaways	2	3.002	4.712	0.25	1.178
Goals conceded	5	5.938	6.741	0.25	1.685

Σ contribution = 5.307

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

CptPancakes Alaska Aces

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.85	1.74	0.23	-1.062	-0.244
Assists	0	1.49	1.38	0.19	-1.082	-0.206
Shots	0	3.94	2.89	0.09	-1.362	-0.123
Passes	4	16.25	7.2	0.08	-1.701	-0.136
Saves	10	2.11	2.45	0.19	3.227	0.613
Blocks	8	7.21	4.21	0.11	0.188	0.021
Takeaways	1	3	2.97	0.11	-0.675	-0.074

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.149 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.702, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+100

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.219	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.935	0	0.08	0
Saves	10	2.107	4.746	0.15	0.712
Blocks	8	7.209	1.11	0.07	0.078
Takeaways	1	3.002	0.333	0.12	0.04
Passes	4	16.254	0.246	0.08	0.02
Faceoff win rate	0	0.501	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.849 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.999 → ×100 = 99.9 → 100

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.101	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.469	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.092	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive6.45

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	10	2.107	9.996	0.3	2.999
Blocks	8	7.209	6.437	0.2	1.287
Takeaways	1	3.002	3.668	0.25	0.917
Goals conceded	8	5.938	4.991	0.25	1.248

Σ contribution = 6.451

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Hodie Alaska Aces

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.85	1.74	0.23	0.089	0.02
Assists	1	1.49	1.38	0.19	-0.356	-0.068
Shots	4	3.94	2.89	0.09	0.022	0.002
Passes	14	16.25	7.2	0.08	-0.313	-0.025
Saves	3	2.11	2.45	0.19	0.365	0.069
Blocks	11	7.21	4.21	0.11	0.901	0.099
Takeaways	5	3	2.97	0.11	0.673	0.074

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.172 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.344, then −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.219	0.932	0.32	0.298
Shots	4	3.935	1.016	0.08	0.081
Saves	3	2.107	1.424	0.15	0.214
Blocks	11	7.209	1.526	0.07	0.107
Takeaways	5	3.002	1.665	0.12	0.2
Passes	14	16.254	0.861	0.08	0.069
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.501	1.197	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.004 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.182 → ×100 = 118.18 → 118

Offensive5.43

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.101	0.4	2.127
Shooting %	0.5	0.469	0.2	1.253
Assists per pass	0.071	0.092	0.4	2.051

Σ contribution = 5.432

Defensive7.20

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.107	7.6	0.3	2.28
Blocks	11	7.209	7.929	0.2	1.586
Takeaways	5	3.002	8.327	0.25	2.082
Goals conceded	8	5.938	4.991	0.25	1.248

Σ contribution = 7.196

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Hoodie Alaska Aces

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.85	1.74	0.23	0.664	0.153
Assists	1	1.49	1.38	0.19	-0.356	-0.068
Shots	8	3.94	2.89	0.09	1.407	0.127
Passes	21	16.25	7.2	0.08	0.659	0.053
Saves	2	2.11	2.45	0.19	-0.044	-0.008
Blocks	8	7.21	4.21	0.11	0.188	0.021
Takeaways	10	3	2.97	0.11	2.358	0.259

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.536 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.072, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.4

Pucker+126

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.219	1.242	0.32	0.398
Shots	8	3.935	2.033	0.08	0.163
Saves	2	2.107	0.949	0.15	0.142
Blocks	8	7.209	1.11	0.07	0.078
Takeaways	10	3.002	3.331	0.12	0.4
Passes	21	16.254	1.292	0.08	0.103
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.501	1.496	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.328 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.563 − 0.299 turnover penalty = 1.264 → ×100 = 126.37 → 126

Offensive5.69

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.138	0.101	0.4	2.967
Shooting %	0.375	0.469	0.2	1.042
Assists per pass	0.048	0.092	0.4	1.685

Σ contribution = 5.694

Defensive6.75

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.107	5.797	0.3	1.739
Blocks	8	7.209	6.437	0.2	1.287
Takeaways	10	3.002	9.925	0.25	2.481
Goals conceded	8	5.938	4.991	0.25	1.248

Σ contribution = 6.755

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.