Hagerstown Heroes vs Buffalo Blizzards

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8–9Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Mar 10, 2025 · Genesis Cup - Playoffs · Frost Frontier Arena

MVP Tactical Miss · 8.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hagerstown HeroesvsBuffalo Blizzards

15Shots217

8Saves17

15Faceoffs won105

23Takeaways194

4Turnovers↓1923

26Blocks1016

72Passes2547

3:54Possession2:151:39

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hagerstown Heroes

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Tactical Miss	5	2	7	8	2	5	1	11	3	8	31	1:19	212	6.57	6.67
The Real Teddy Blueger	2	3	5	6	5	3	2	9	0	8	23	2:09	196	6.18	7.71
awlden	1	2	3	1	1	7	2	3	1	10	18	0:26	96	8.35	5.22

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	2	4	6	6	7	3	5	1	6	8	13	0	1:01	171	8.05	6.35
JoshAllenfan420	3	1	4	6	0	2	3	2	6	5	14	1	0:10	90	7.67	4.12
minimongo	4	1	5	5	0	0	7	1	11	3	20	0	0:28	75	7.52	3.72

Tactical Miss Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	1.52	1.58	0.23	2.204	0.507
Assists	2	1.12	1.27	0.19	0.691	0.131
Shots	8	3.57	2.84	0.09	1.562	0.141
Passes	31	15.05	7.67	0.08	2.079	0.166
Saves	2	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.019	-0.004
Blocks	8	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.303	0.033
Takeaways	11	3.54	3.14	0.11	2.378	0.262

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.236 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.473, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.5

Pucker+212

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	2.566	2.533	0.32	0.811
Shots	8	3.566	2.243	0.08	0.179
Saves	2	2.048	0.976	0.15	0.146
Blocks	8	6.892	1.161	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	11	3.542	3.105	0.12	0.373
Passes	31	15.048	2.06	0.08	0.165
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.805 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.124 → ×100 = 212.37 → 212

Offensive6.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.089	0.07	0.4	2.829
Shooting %	0.625	0.426	0.2	1.549
Assists per pass	0.065	0.074	0.4	2.188

Σ contribution = 6.566

Defensive6.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.048	5.906	0.3	1.772
Blocks	8	6.892	6.638	0.2	1.328
Takeaways	11	3.542	9.883	0.25	2.471
Goals conceded	9	5.157	4.389	0.25	1.097

Σ contribution = 6.668

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

The Real Teddy Blueger Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.305	0.07
Assists	3	1.12	1.27	0.19	1.477	0.281
Shots	6	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.858	0.077
Passes	23	15.05	7.67	0.08	1.037	0.083
Saves	5	2.05	2.56	0.19	1.155	0.219
Blocks	8	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.303	0.033
Takeaways	9	3.54	3.14	0.11	1.74	0.191

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.955 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.91, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.5

Pucker+196

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	2.566	1.948	0.32	0.623
Shots	6	3.566	1.682	0.08	0.135
Saves	5	2.048	2.441	0.15	0.366
Blocks	8	6.892	1.161	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	9	3.542	2.541	0.12	0.305
Passes	23	15.048	1.528	0.08	0.122
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.669 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.963 → ×100 = 196.31 → 196

Offensive6.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.039	0.07	0.4	1.735
Shooting %	0.333	0.426	0.2	1.029
Assists per pass	0.13	0.074	0.4	3.418

Σ contribution = 6.182

Defensive7.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.048	9.576	0.3	2.873
Blocks	8	6.892	6.638	0.2	1.328
Takeaways	9	3.542	9.649	0.25	2.412
Goals conceded	9	5.157	4.389	0.25	1.097

Σ contribution = 7.71

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

awlden Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.328	-0.075
Assists	2	1.12	1.27	0.19	0.691	0.131
Shots	1	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.904	-0.081
Passes	18	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.385	0.031
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	10	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.851	0.094
Takeaways	3	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.173	-0.019

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.002 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.004, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.566	1.169	0.32	0.374
Shots	1	3.566	0.28	0.08	0.022
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	10	6.892	1.451	0.07	0.102
Takeaways	3	3.542	0.847	0.12	0.102
Passes	18	15.048	1.196	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.778	0.5	1.556	0.03	0.047

Σ 0.815 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.959 → ×100 = 95.92 → 96

Offensive8.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.115	0.07	0.4	3.325
Shooting %	1	0.426	0.2	1.899
Assists per pass	0.111	0.074	0.4	3.13

Σ contribution = 8.354

Defensive5.22

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	4.115	0.3	1.234
Blocks	10	6.892	7.691	0.2	1.538
Takeaways	3	3.542	5.392	0.25	1.348
Goals conceded	9	5.157	4.389	0.25	1.097

Σ contribution = 5.217

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.305	0.07
Assists	4	1.12	1.27	0.19	2.263	0.43
Shots	6	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.858	0.077
Passes	13	15.05	7.67	0.08	-0.267	-0.021
Saves	7	2.05	2.56	0.19	1.937	0.368
Blocks	8	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.303	0.033
Takeaways	1	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.811	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.868 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.736, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.4

Pucker+171

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	2.566	2.143	0.32	0.686
Shots	6	3.566	1.682	0.08	0.135
Saves	7	2.048	3.418	0.15	0.513
Blocks	8	6.892	1.161	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.282	0.12	0.034
Passes	13	15.048	0.864	0.08	0.069
Faceoff win rate	0.375	0.5	0.75	0.03	0.022

Σ 1.54 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.812 − 0.105 turnover penalty = 1.707 → ×100 = 170.66 → 171

Offensive8.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.098	0.07	0.4	3.028
Shooting %	0.333	0.426	0.2	1.029
Assists per pass	0.308	0.074	0.4	3.994

Σ contribution = 8.051

Defensive6.35

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.048	9.937	0.3	2.981
Blocks	8	6.892	6.638	0.2	1.328
Takeaways	1	3.542	3.538	0.25	0.885
Goals conceded	8	5.157	4.635	0.25	1.159

Σ contribution = 6.353

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.938	0.216
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	6	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.858	0.077
Passes	14	15.05	7.67	0.08	-0.137	-0.011
Saves	0	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.801	-0.152
Blocks	5	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.518	-0.057
Takeaways	2	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.492	-0.054

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.001 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.001, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+90

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.566	1.559	0.32	0.499
Shots	6	3.566	1.682	0.08	0.135
Saves	0	2.048	0	0.15	0
Blocks	5	6.892	0.726	0.07	0.051
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.565	0.12	0.068
Passes	14	15.048	0.93	0.08	0.074
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.85 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1 − 0.105 turnover penalty = 0.895 → ×100 = 89.55 → 90

Offensive7.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.07	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.5	0.426	0.2	1.338
Assists per pass	0.071	0.074	0.4	2.335

Σ contribution = 7.673

Defensive4.12

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.048	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	5	6.892	4.929	0.2	0.986
Takeaways	2	3.542	4.361	0.25	1.09
Goals conceded	8	5.157	4.635	0.25	1.159

Σ contribution = 4.121

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.52	1.58	0.23	1.571	0.361
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	5	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.505	0.045
Passes	20	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.645	0.052
Saves	0	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.801	-0.152
Blocks	3	6.89	3.65	0.11	-1.065	-0.117
Takeaways	1	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.811	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.082 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.164, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+75

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	2.566	1.948	0.32	0.623
Shots	5	3.566	1.402	0.08	0.112
Saves	0	2.048	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	6.892	0.435	0.07	0.03
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.282	0.12	0.034
Passes	20	15.048	1.329	0.08	0.106
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.906 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.066 − 0.317 turnover penalty = 0.749 → ×100 = 74.88 → 75

Offensive7.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.179	0.07	0.4	3.867
Shooting %	0.8	0.426	0.2	1.765
Assists per pass	0.05	0.074	0.4	1.893

Σ contribution = 7.524

Defensive3.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.048	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	3	6.892	3.954	0.2	0.791
Takeaways	1	3.542	3.538	0.25	0.885
Goals conceded	8	5.157	4.635	0.25	1.159

Σ contribution = 3.721

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.