Buffalo Blizzards vs Erie Swordfish

Home · BBBuffalo Blizzards

12–3Final

ESAwayErie Swordfish

Feb 17, 2025 · Open Division · Marine Midland Arena

MVP JoshAllenfan420 · 8.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsErie Swordfish

17Shots107

4Saves15

9Faceoffs won27

9Takeaways110

10Turnovers↓19

24Blocks731

36Passes2359

1:08Possession0:061:14

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Caz	3	3	6	4	0	2	1	5	4	10	14	0:20	114	9.17	6.68
Jabo	2	5	7	3	4	3	4	0	3	9	5	0:29	135	9.28	7.23
JoshAllenfan420	7	2	9	10	0	4	2	4	3	5	17	0:19	159	8.11	5.82

Erie Swordfish

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Waggles	2	0	2	3	1	0	1	3	1	12	20	0:23	77	4.82	5.45
ocho	1	2	3	4	3	3	2	6	4	12	17	0:35	115	5.56	7.27
Bobbyboy-3k	0	2	2	0	1	4	6	1	4	7	22	0:16	58	5.51	4.51

Caz Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.97	1.75	0.23	0.587	0.135
Assists	3	1.64	1.44	0.19	0.944	0.179
Shots	4	4.05	3	0.09	-0.017	-0.002
Passes	14	15.52	6.73	0.08	-0.226	-0.018
Saves	0	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.901	-0.171
Blocks	10	6.07	3.79	0.11	1.037	0.114
Takeaways	5	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.461	0.051

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.288 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.577, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.8

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.467	1.587	0.32	0.508
Shots	4	4.051	0.987	0.08	0.079
Saves	0	2.08	0	0.15	0
Blocks	10	6.071	1.647	0.07	0.115
Takeaways	5	3.585	1.395	0.12	0.167
Passes	14	15.523	0.902	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.981 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.155 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 1.137 → ×100 = 113.69 → 114

Offensive9.17

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.3	0.103	0.4	3.932
Shooting %	0.75	0.487	0.2	1.595
Assists per pass	0.214	0.105	0.4	3.64

Σ contribution = 9.167

Defensive6.68

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.08	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	10	6.071	8.279	0.2	1.656
Takeaways	5	3.585	7.501	0.25	1.875
Goals conceded	3	6.623	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.679

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.75	0.23	0.016	0.004
Assists	5	1.64	1.44	0.19	2.329	0.443
Shots	3	4.05	3	0.09	-0.351	-0.032
Passes	5	15.52	6.73	0.08	-1.564	-0.125
Saves	4	2.08	2.31	0.19	0.832	0.158
Blocks	9	6.07	3.79	0.11	0.773	0.085
Takeaways	0	3.59	3.07	0.11	-1.168	-0.128

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.404 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.808, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.5

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.467	2.019	0.32	0.646
Shots	3	4.051	0.741	0.08	0.059
Saves	4	2.08	1.923	0.15	0.288
Blocks	9	6.071	1.482	0.07	0.104
Takeaways	0	3.585	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	15.523	0.322	0.08	0.026
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 1.149 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.352 → ×100 = 135.19 → 135

Offensive9.28

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.241	0.103	0.4	3.797
Shooting %	0.667	0.487	0.2	1.483
Assists per pass	1	0.105	0.4	4

Σ contribution = 9.28

Defensive7.23

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.08	8.91	0.3	2.673
Blocks	9	6.071	7.793	0.2	1.559
Takeaways	0	3.585	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	3	6.623	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.232

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	7	1.97	1.75	0.23	2.869	0.66
Assists	2	1.64	1.44	0.19	0.252	0.048
Shots	10	4.05	3	0.09	1.986	0.179
Passes	17	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.22	0.018
Saves	0	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.901	-0.171
Blocks	5	6.07	3.79	0.11	-0.283	-0.031
Takeaways	4	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.135	0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.717 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.433, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.2

Pucker+159

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.467	2.596	0.32	0.831
Shots	10	4.051	2.469	0.08	0.197
Saves	0	2.08	0	0.15	0
Blocks	5	6.071	0.824	0.07	0.058
Takeaways	4	3.585	1.116	0.12	0.134
Passes	17	15.523	1.095	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.347 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.585 → ×100 = 158.51 → 159

Offensive8.11

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.474	0.103	0.4	3.998
Shooting %	0.7	0.487	0.2	1.53
Assists per pass	0.118	0.105	0.4	2.585

Σ contribution = 8.113

Defensive5.82

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.08	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	5	6.071	5.302	0.2	1.06
Takeaways	4	3.585	6.461	0.25	1.615
Goals conceded	3	6.623	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.823

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.75	0.23	0.016	0.004
Assists	0	1.64	1.44	0.19	-1.133	-0.215
Shots	3	4.05	3	0.09	-0.351	-0.032
Passes	20	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.666	0.053
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	12	6.07	3.79	0.11	1.565	0.172
Takeaways	3	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.191	-0.021

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.128 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.745, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.467	0.577	0.32	0.185
Shots	3	4.051	0.741	0.08	0.059
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	12	6.071	1.977	0.07	0.138
Takeaways	3	3.585	0.837	0.12	0.1
Passes	20	15.523	1.288	0.08	0.103
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.658 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.774 → ×100 = 77.39 → 77

Offensive4.82

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.087	0.103	0.4	2.154
Shooting %	0.667	0.487	0.2	1.483
Assists per pass	0	0.105	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.818

Defensive5.45

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	12	6.071	9.006	0.2	1.801
Takeaways	3	3.585	5.353	0.25	1.338
Goals conceded	12	6.623	4.319	0.25	1.08

Σ contribution = 5.447

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ocho Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.75	0.23	-0.554	-0.127
Assists	2	1.64	1.44	0.19	0.252	0.048
Shots	4	4.05	3	0.09	-0.017	-0.002
Passes	17	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.22	0.018
Saves	3	2.08	2.31	0.19	0.399	0.076
Blocks	12	6.07	3.79	0.11	1.565	0.172
Takeaways	6	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.787	0.087

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.271 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.542, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+115

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.467	0.721	0.32	0.231
Shots	4	4.051	0.987	0.08	0.079
Saves	3	2.08	1.442	0.15	0.216
Blocks	12	6.071	1.977	0.07	0.138
Takeaways	6	3.585	1.673	0.12	0.201
Passes	17	15.523	1.095	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.989 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.163 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 1.145 → ×100 = 114.57 → 115

Offensive5.56

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.086	0.103	0.4	2.135
Shooting %	0.25	0.487	0.2	0.839
Assists per pass	0.118	0.105	0.4	2.585

Σ contribution = 5.559

Defensive7.27

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.08	7.663	0.3	2.299
Blocks	12	6.071	9.006	0.2	1.801
Takeaways	6	3.585	8.349	0.25	2.087
Goals conceded	12	6.623	4.319	0.25	1.08

Σ contribution = 7.267

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bobbyboy-3k Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.75	0.23	-1.125	-0.259
Assists	2	1.64	1.44	0.19	0.252	0.048
Shots	0	4.05	3	0.09	-1.352	-0.122
Passes	22	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.963	0.077
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	7	6.07	3.79	0.11	0.245	0.027
Takeaways	1	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.842	-0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.41 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.18, then −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Pucker+58

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.467	0.577	0.32	0.185
Shots	0	4.051	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	7	6.071	1.153	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	1	3.585	0.279	0.12	0.033
Passes	22	15.523	1.417	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.508 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.598 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 0.58 → ×100 = 58.02 → 58

Offensive5.51

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.125	0.103	0.4	2.738
Shooting %	0	0.487	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.091	0.105	0.4	2.181

Σ contribution = 5.51

Defensive4.51

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	7	6.071	6.607	0.2	1.321
Takeaways	1	3.585	3.53	0.25	0.882
Goals conceded	12	6.623	4.319	0.25	1.08

Σ contribution = 4.511

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.