Buffalo Blizzards vs Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

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7–0Final

OVAwayOttawa Valley Rubber Duckies

Nov 13, 2024 · Open Division · Marine Midland Arena

MVP [BUF] minimongo · 6.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsOttawa Valley Rubber Duckies

16Shots106

6Saves39

4Faceoffs won26

13Takeaways114

14Turnovers↓113

21Blocks425

55Passes1243

1:57Possession0:162:13

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BUF] Jabo	1	1	2	3	4	0	3	3	6	16	12	0:52	86	4.35	8.38
[BUF] JoshAllenfan420	1	1	2	8	2	3	2	3	3	4	26	0:24	93	4.00	6.45
[BUF] minimongo	5	1	6	5	0	1	1	7	5	1	17	0:41	109	6.05	6.18

Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

Player	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[EWC] 4glass	3	2	3	0	3	3	4	7	0:15	54	2.95	5.71
[EWC] BiggieBag	2	1	1	1	6	5	10	17	0:38	57	2.95	6.61
[OCDD] Hammertime9000	1	3	0	1	1	1	5	7	0:18	43	2.95	5.76
[OVRD] Triscut	0	3	2	2	4	4	6	12	1:02	57	2.95	6.81

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.22	1.9	0.23	-0.643	-0.148
Assists	1	1.73	1.59	0.19	-0.456	-0.087
Shots	3	4.3	3.15	0.09	-0.412	-0.037
Passes	12	15.37	7.22	0.08	-0.466	-0.037
Saves	4	2.08	2.21	0.19	0.87	0.165
Blocks	16	6.68	4.29	0.11	2.172	0.239
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.67	0.11	0.039	0.004

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.1 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.199, then +0.3 blocks, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.807	0.525	0.32	0.168
Shots	3	4.297	0.698	0.08	0.056
Saves	4	2.077	1.926	0.15	0.289
Blocks	16	6.684	2.394	0.07	0.168
Takeaways	3	2.895	1.036	0.12	0.124
Passes	12	15.367	0.781	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.867 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.02 − 0.162 turnover penalty = 0.858 → ×100 = 85.81 → 86

Offensive4.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.038	0.132	0.4	1.424
Shooting %	0.333	0.517	0.2	0.927
Assists per pass	0.083	0.112	0.4	1.996

Σ contribution = 4.347

Defensive8.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.077	8.915	0.3	2.674
Blocks	16	6.684	9.536	0.2	1.907
Takeaways	3	2.895	6.145	0.25	1.536
Goals conceded	0	7.188	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.379

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.22	1.9	0.23	-0.643	-0.148
Assists	1	1.73	1.59	0.19	-0.456	-0.087
Shots	8	4.3	3.15	0.09	1.175	0.106
Passes	26	15.37	7.22	0.08	1.473	0.118
Saves	2	2.08	2.21	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	4	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.626	-0.069
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.67	0.11	0.039	0.004

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.082 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.836, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.6

Pucker+93

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.807	0.525	0.32	0.168
Shots	8	4.297	1.862	0.08	0.149
Saves	2	2.077	0.963	0.15	0.144
Blocks	4	6.684	0.598	0.07	0.042
Takeaways	3	2.895	1.036	0.12	0.124
Passes	26	15.367	1.692	0.08	0.135
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.799 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.94 − 0.006 turnover penalty = 0.934 → ×100 = 93.4 → 93

Offensive4.00

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.132	0.4	1.836
Shooting %	0.125	0.517	0.2	0.688
Assists per pass	0.038	0.112	0.4	1.477

Σ contribution = 4.001

Defensive6.45

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.077	5.852	0.3	1.755
Blocks	4	6.684	4.475	0.2	0.895
Takeaways	3	2.895	6.145	0.25	1.536
Goals conceded	0	7.188	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.448

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.22	1.9	0.23	1.459	0.336
Assists	1	1.73	1.59	0.19	-0.456	-0.087
Shots	5	4.3	3.15	0.09	0.223	0.02
Passes	17	15.37	7.22	0.08	0.226	0.018
Saves	0	2.08	2.21	0.19	-0.94	-0.179
Blocks	1	6.68	4.29	0.11	-1.325	-0.146
Takeaways	7	2.89	2.67	0.11	1.537	0.169

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.132 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.264, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.807	1.576	0.32	0.504
Shots	5	4.297	1.164	0.08	0.093
Saves	0	2.077	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	6.684	0.15	0.07	0.01
Takeaways	7	2.895	2.418	0.12	0.29
Passes	17	15.367	1.106	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.017 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.196 − 0.11 turnover penalty = 1.086 → ×100 = 108.58 → 109

Offensive6.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.146	0.132	0.4	2.574
Shooting %	1	0.517	0.2	1.785
Assists per pass	0.059	0.112	0.4	1.691

Σ contribution = 6.05

Defensive6.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.077	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	6.684	3.235	0.2	0.647
Takeaways	7	2.895	9.557	0.25	2.389
Goals conceded	0	7.188	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.184

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

4glass Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.22	1.9	0.23	-1.169	-0.269
Assists	0	1.73	1.59	0.19	-1.084	-0.206
Shots	3	4.3	3.15	0.09	-0.412	-0.037
Passes	7	15.37	7.22	0.08	-1.159	-0.093
Saves	2	2.08	2.21	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	4	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.626	-0.069
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.67	0.11	0.039	0.004

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.676 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.649, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+54

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.807	0	0.32	0
Shots	3	4.297	0.698	0.08	0.056
Saves	2	2.077	0.963	0.15	0.144
Blocks	4	6.684	0.598	0.07	0.042
Takeaways	3	2.895	1.036	0.12	0.124
Passes	7	15.367	0.456	0.08	0.036
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.463 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.545 − 0.006 turnover penalty = 0.539 → ×100 = 53.86 → 54

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.132	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.517	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.112	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.077	5.852	0.3	1.755
Blocks	4	6.684	4.475	0.2	0.895
Takeaways	3	2.895	6.145	0.25	1.536
Goals conceded	7	7.188	6.107	0.25	1.527

Σ contribution = 5.713

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

BiggieBag Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.22	1.9	0.23	-1.169	-0.269
Assists	0	1.73	1.59	0.19	-1.084	-0.206
Shots	2	4.3	3.15	0.09	-0.729	-0.066
Passes	17	15.37	7.22	0.08	0.226	0.018
Saves	1	2.08	2.21	0.19	-0.487	-0.093
Blocks	10	6.68	4.29	0.11	0.773	0.085
Takeaways	6	2.89	2.67	0.11	1.162	0.128

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.402 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.196, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.0

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.807	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	4.297	0.465	0.08	0.037
Saves	1	2.077	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	10	6.684	1.496	0.07	0.105
Takeaways	6	2.895	2.073	0.12	0.249
Passes	17	15.367	1.106	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.581 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.684 − 0.11 turnover penalty = 0.574 → ×100 = 57.39 → 57

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.132	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.517	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.112	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive6.61

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.077	4.094	0.3	1.228
Blocks	10	6.684	7.836	0.2	1.567
Takeaways	6	2.895	9.162	0.25	2.29
Goals conceded	7	7.188	6.107	0.25	1.527

Σ contribution = 6.612

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Hammertime9000 Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.22	1.9	0.23	-1.169	-0.269
Assists	0	1.73	1.59	0.19	-1.084	-0.206
Shots	1	4.3	3.15	0.09	-1.046	-0.094
Passes	7	15.37	7.22	0.08	-1.159	-0.093
Saves	3	2.08	2.21	0.19	0.418	0.079
Blocks	5	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.393	-0.043
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.67	0.11	-0.709	-0.078

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.703 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.593, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+43

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.807	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.297	0.233	0.08	0.019
Saves	3	2.077	1.444	0.15	0.217
Blocks	5	6.684	0.748	0.07	0.052
Takeaways	1	2.895	0.345	0.12	0.041
Passes	7	15.367	0.456	0.08	0.036
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.366 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.43 → ×100 = 43 → 43

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.132	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.517	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.112	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.077	7.669	0.3	2.301
Blocks	5	6.684	5.013	0.2	1.003
Takeaways	1	2.895	3.701	0.25	0.925
Goals conceded	7	7.188	6.107	0.25	1.527

Σ contribution = 5.756

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Triscut Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.22	1.9	0.23	-1.169	-0.269
Assists	0	1.73	1.59	0.19	-1.084	-0.206
Shots	0	4.3	3.15	0.09	-1.364	-0.123
Passes	12	15.37	7.22	0.08	-0.466	-0.037
Saves	3	2.08	2.21	0.19	0.418	0.079
Blocks	6	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.16	-0.018
Takeaways	4	2.89	2.67	0.11	0.414	0.046

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.527 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.945, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.9

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.807	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.297	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.077	1.444	0.15	0.217
Blocks	6	6.684	0.898	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	4	2.895	1.382	0.12	0.166
Passes	12	15.367	0.781	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.538 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.633 − 0.058 turnover penalty = 0.575 → ×100 = 57.46 → 57

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.132	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.517	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.112	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive6.81

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.077	7.669	0.3	2.301
Blocks	6	6.684	5.592	0.2	1.118
Takeaways	4	2.895	7.457	0.25	1.864
Goals conceded	7	7.188	6.107	0.25	1.527

Σ contribution = 6.81

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.