Minneapolis Milk Duds vs Provo Polar Bears

MMHomeMinneapolis Milk Duds

5–8Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

Jun 26, 2024 · Pacific Cup - Playoffs · The Duds Dome

MVP Blue · 7.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Minneapolis Milk DudsvsProvo Polar Bears

14Shots113

5Saves49

8Faceoffs won17

18Takeaways711

11Turnovers↓718

14Blocks923

79Passes2752

3:11Possession0:532:18

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Barbeque	1	2	3	5	1	1	1	13	3	8	26	1:31	124	4.26	6.96
fueeqo	3	2	5	6	2	4	4	3	4	4	32	0:45	117	5.52	5.69
Graves	1	1	2	3	2	3	2	2	4	2	21	0:55	69	4.04	5.07

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Blue	6	1	7	9	1	4	3	6	9	2	14	0:36	113	6.91	5.97
Kajun	0	2	2	2	6	2	4	4	5	9	22	1:27	119	4.21	8.28
SoccerboyEJ	2	4	6	2	2	1	1	1	4	12	16	0:15	115	9.62	6.54

Barbeque Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.691	-0.159
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	5	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.282	0.025
Passes	26	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.851	0.068
Saves	1	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.429	-0.082
Blocks	8	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.133	0.125
Takeaways	13	3.96	3.44	0.11	2.625	0.289

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.277 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.554, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.5

Pucker+124

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.951	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	5	4.228	1.183	0.08	0.095
Saves	1	2.022	0.495	0.15	0.074
Blocks	8	3.761	2.127	0.07	0.149
Takeaways	13	3.957	3.286	0.12	0.394
Passes	26	19.152	1.358	0.08	0.109
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.053 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.239 → ×100 = 123.89 → 124

Offensive4.26

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.103	0.4	1.452
Shooting %	0.2	0.522	0.2	0.761
Assists per pass	0.077	0.099	0.4	2.045

Σ contribution = 4.258

Defensive6.96

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.022	4.135	0.3	1.24
Blocks	8	3.761	9.24	0.2	1.848
Takeaways	13	3.957	9.918	0.25	2.48
Goals conceded	8	7.141	5.572	0.25	1.393

Σ contribution = 6.961

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

fueeqo Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	6	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.647	0.058
Passes	32	19.15	8.04	0.08	1.597	0.128
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	4	3.76	3.74	0.11	0.064	0.007
Takeaways	3	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.278	-0.031

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.276 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.552, then −0.2 goals against → 6.4

Pucker+117

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.951	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	6	4.228	1.419	0.08	0.114
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	4	3.761	1.064	0.07	0.074
Takeaways	3	3.957	0.758	0.12	0.091
Passes	32	19.152	1.671	0.08	0.134
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.996 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.172 − 0.002 turnover penalty = 1.17 → ×100 = 116.97 → 117

Offensive5.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.103	0.4	2.518
Shooting %	0.5	0.522	0.2	1.167
Assists per pass	0.062	0.099	0.4	1.833

Σ contribution = 5.517

Defensive5.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	4	3.761	6.254	0.2	1.251
Takeaways	3	3.957	5.051	0.25	1.263
Goals conceded	8	7.141	5.572	0.25	1.393

Σ contribution = 5.694

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.691	-0.159
Assists	1	1.9	1.74	0.19	-0.52	-0.099
Shots	3	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.449	-0.04
Passes	21	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.23	0.018
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	2	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.47	-0.052
Takeaways	2	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.396 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.208, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.8

Pucker+69

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.951	0.506	0.32	0.162
Shots	3	4.228	0.71	0.08	0.057
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	2	3.761	0.532	0.07	0.037
Takeaways	2	3.957	0.505	0.12	0.061
Passes	21	19.152	1.096	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.589 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.693 − 0.002 turnover penalty = 0.691 → ×100 = 69.06 → 69

Offensive4.04

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.036	0.103	0.4	1.487
Shooting %	0.333	0.522	0.2	0.923
Assists per pass	0.048	0.099	0.4	1.635

Σ contribution = 4.045

Defensive5.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	2	3.761	4.253	0.2	0.851
Takeaways	2	3.957	4.169	0.25	1.042
Goals conceded	8	7.141	5.572	0.25	1.393

Σ contribution = 5.073

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.21	1.74	0.23	2.174	0.5
Assists	1	1.9	1.74	0.19	-0.52	-0.099
Shots	9	4.23	2.74	0.09	1.743	0.157
Passes	14	19.15	8.04	0.08	-0.641	-0.051
Saves	1	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.429	-0.082
Blocks	2	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.47	-0.052
Takeaways	6	3.96	3.44	0.11	0.593	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.439 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.878, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.3

Pucker+113

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.951	1.772	0.32	0.567
Shots	9	4.228	2.129	0.08	0.17
Saves	1	2.022	0.495	0.15	0.074
Blocks	2	3.761	0.532	0.07	0.037
Takeaways	6	3.957	1.516	0.12	0.182
Passes	14	19.152	0.731	0.08	0.058
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.123 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.322 − 0.192 turnover penalty = 1.13 → ×100 = 112.95 → 113

Offensive6.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.194	0.103	0.4	3.53
Shooting %	0.667	0.522	0.2	1.417
Assists per pass	0.071	0.099	0.4	1.962

Σ contribution = 6.908

Defensive5.97

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.022	4.135	0.3	1.24
Blocks	2	3.761	4.253	0.2	0.851
Takeaways	6	3.957	7.9	0.25	1.975
Goals conceded	5	7.141	7.615	0.25	1.904

Σ contribution = 5.97

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kajun Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.21	1.74	0.23	-1.265	-0.291
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	2	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.814	-0.073
Passes	22	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.354	0.028
Saves	6	2.02	2.38	0.19	1.671	0.317
Blocks	9	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.4	0.154
Takeaways	4	3.96	3.44	0.11	0.013	0.001

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.148 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.296, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+119

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.951	0.506	0.32	0.162
Shots	2	4.228	0.473	0.08	0.038
Saves	6	2.022	2.968	0.15	0.445
Blocks	9	3.761	2.393	0.07	0.168
Takeaways	4	3.957	1.011	0.12	0.121
Passes	22	19.152	1.149	0.08	0.092
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.046 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.23 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 1.19 → ×100 = 119.02 → 119

Offensive4.21

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.023	0.103	0.4	1.358
Shooting %	0	0.522	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.091	0.099	0.4	2.265

Σ contribution = 4.213

Defensive8.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.022	9.847	0.3	2.954
Blocks	9	3.761	9.535	0.2	1.907
Takeaways	4	3.957	6.044	0.25	1.511
Goals conceded	5	7.141	7.615	0.25	1.904

Σ contribution = 8.276

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoccerboyEJ Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.118	-0.027
Assists	4	1.9	1.74	0.19	1.209	0.23
Shots	2	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.814	-0.073
Passes	16	19.15	8.04	0.08	-0.392	-0.031
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	12	3.76	3.74	0.11	2.201	0.242
Takeaways	1	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.858	-0.094

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.244 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.488, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.7

Pucker+115

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.951	1.392	0.32	0.445
Shots	2	4.228	0.473	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	12	3.761	3.191	0.07	0.223
Takeaways	1	3.957	0.253	0.12	0.03
Passes	16	19.152	0.835	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.982 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.156 − 0.002 turnover penalty = 1.154 → ×100 = 115.35 → 115

Offensive9.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.103	0.4	3.99
Shooting %	1	0.522	0.2	1.779
Assists per pass	0.25	0.099	0.4	3.853

Σ contribution = 9.622

Defensive6.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	12	3.761	9.901	0.2	1.98
Takeaways	1	3.957	3.466	0.25	0.866
Goals conceded	5	7.141	7.615	0.25	1.904

Σ contribution = 6.537

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.