Buffalo Blizzards vs Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

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5–8Final

BBAwayBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

Jun 11, 2024 · Open Benders - Playoffs · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Blue Lou · 8.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

12Shots214

6Saves17

10Faceoffs won46

11Takeaways83

3Turnovers↓811

8Blocks62

39Passes1857

2:04Possession0:371:27

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
JoshAllenfan420	3	0	3	8	2	3	2	2	2	3	16	0:21	101	5.89	4.89
Waggles	2	2	4	4	2	2	1	6	1	4	11	0:57	118	7.50	6.00
minimongo	0	1	1	0	2	5	3	3	0	1	12	0:46	54	4.58	4.86

Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Auugh	2	2	4	4	0	3	5	1	5	0	19	0	0:14	69	8.25	3.95
Blue Lou	4	3	7	7	6	3	1	2	4	2	26	0	1:02	188	7.84	6.38
Chimmy	2	1	3	3	1	0	4	0	2	0	12	1	0:11	62	8.09	4.14

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	8	3.97	2.42	0.09	1.669	0.15
Passes	16	15.41	5.3	0.08	0.112	0.009
Saves	2	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.075	-0.014
Blocks	3	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.367	-0.04
Takeaways	2	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.559	-0.061

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.064 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.127, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+101

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.895	1.036	0.32	0.332
Shots	8	3.965	2.018	0.08	0.161
Saves	2	2.163	0.925	0.15	0.139
Blocks	3	4.558	0.658	0.07	0.046
Takeaways	2	3.919	0.51	0.12	0.061
Passes	16	15.407	1.038	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.858 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.01 → ×100 = 100.95 → 101

Offensive5.89

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.07	0.4	3.648
Shooting %	0.375	0.455	0.2	1.061
Assists per pass	0	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.891

Defensive4.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.163	5.699	0.3	1.71
Blocks	3	4.558	4.684	0.2	0.937
Takeaways	2	3.919	4.184	0.25	1.046
Goals conceded	8	5.523	4.8	0.25	1.2

Σ contribution = 4.893

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.135	0.031
Assists	2	1.17	1.33	0.19	0.621	0.118
Shots	4	3.97	2.42	0.09	0.014	0.001
Passes	11	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.831	-0.066
Saves	2	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.075	-0.014
Blocks	4	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.132	-0.014
Takeaways	6	3.92	3.43	0.11	0.606	0.067

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.122 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.244, then −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.895	1.382	0.32	0.442
Shots	4	3.965	1.009	0.08	0.081
Saves	2	2.163	0.925	0.15	0.139
Blocks	4	4.558	0.878	0.07	0.061
Takeaways	6	3.919	1.531	0.12	0.184
Passes	11	15.407	0.714	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.004 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.181 → ×100 = 118.09 → 118

Offensive7.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.07	0.4	2.408
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.28
Assists per pass	0.182	0.076	0.4	3.811

Σ contribution = 7.499

Defensive6.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.163	5.699	0.3	1.71
Blocks	4	4.558	5.513	0.2	1.103
Takeaways	6	3.919	7.945	0.25	1.986
Goals conceded	8	5.523	4.8	0.25	1.2

Σ contribution = 5.999

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.8	1.46	0.23	-1.233	-0.284
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	0	3.97	2.42	0.09	-1.64	-0.148
Passes	12	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.642	-0.051
Saves	2	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.075	-0.014
Blocks	1	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.838	-0.092
Takeaways	3	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.267	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.643 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.713, then −0.2 goals against → 4.5

Pucker+54

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.895	0.345	0.32	0.111
Shots	0	3.965	0	0.08	0
Saves	2	2.163	0.925	0.15	0.139
Blocks	1	4.558	0.219	0.07	0.015
Takeaways	3	3.919	0.766	0.12	0.092
Passes	12	15.407	0.779	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 0.456 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.537 → ×100 = 53.68 → 54

Offensive4.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.022	0.07	0.4	1.445
Shooting %	0	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.083	0.076	0.4	2.549

Σ contribution = 4.584

Defensive4.86

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.163	5.699	0.3	1.71
Blocks	1	4.558	3.388	0.2	0.678
Takeaways	3	3.919	5.079	0.25	1.27
Goals conceded	8	5.523	4.8	0.25	1.2

Σ contribution = 4.858

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Auugh Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.135	0.031
Assists	2	1.17	1.33	0.19	0.621	0.118
Shots	4	3.97	2.42	0.09	0.014	0.001
Passes	19	15.41	5.3	0.08	0.677	0.054
Saves	0	2.16	2.16	0.19	-1	-0.19
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	1	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.85	-0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.197 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.606, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6

Pucker+69

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	2.895	1.209	0.32	0.387
Shots	4	3.965	1.009	0.08	0.081
Saves	0	2.163	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.919	0.255	0.12	0.031
Passes	19	15.407	1.233	0.08	0.099
Faceoff win rate	0.375	0.5	0.75	0.03	0.022

Σ 0.619 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.729 − 0.041 turnover penalty = 0.688 → ×100 = 68.72 → 69

Offensive8.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.286	0.07	0.4	3.993
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.28
Assists per pass	0.105	0.076	0.4	2.982

Σ contribution = 8.255

Defensive3.95

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.163	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	3.919	3.472	0.25	0.868
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 3.949

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Lou Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.8	1.46	0.23	1.503	0.346
Assists	3	1.17	1.33	0.19	1.372	0.261
Shots	7	3.97	2.42	0.09	1.255	0.113
Passes	26	15.41	5.3	0.08	1.997	0.16
Saves	6	2.16	2.16	0.19	1.774	0.337
Blocks	2	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.603	-0.066
Takeaways	2	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.559	-0.061

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.089 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.177, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 8.2

Pucker+188

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	2.895	2.418	0.32	0.774
Shots	7	3.965	1.765	0.08	0.141
Saves	6	2.163	2.774	0.15	0.416
Blocks	2	4.558	0.439	0.07	0.031
Takeaways	2	3.919	0.51	0.12	0.061
Passes	26	15.407	1.688	0.08	0.135
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.603 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.886 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 1.883 → ×100 = 188.27 → 188

Offensive7.84

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.113	0.07	0.4	3.278
Shooting %	0.571	0.455	0.2	1.401
Assists per pass	0.115	0.076	0.4	3.156

Σ contribution = 7.836

Defensive6.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.163	9.776	0.3	2.933
Blocks	2	4.558	3.964	0.2	0.793
Takeaways	2	3.919	4.184	0.25	1.046
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 6.376

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chimmy Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.135	0.031
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	3	3.97	2.42	0.09	-0.399	-0.036
Passes	12	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.642	-0.051
Saves	1	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.538	-0.102
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	0	3.92	3.43	0.11	-1.141	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.427 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.146, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.4

Pucker+62

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.895	1.036	0.32	0.332
Shots	3	3.965	0.757	0.08	0.061
Saves	1	2.163	0.462	0.15	0.069
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	3.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	12	15.407	0.779	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.524 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.616 → ×100 = 61.62 → 62

Offensive8.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.273	0.07	0.4	3.99
Shooting %	0.667	0.455	0.2	1.548
Assists per pass	0.083	0.076	0.4	2.549

Σ contribution = 8.088

Defensive4.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.163	4.035	0.3	1.211
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	3.919	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 4.144

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.