Buffalo Blizzards vs Hagerstown Heroes

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6–5Final

Away · HHagerstown Heroes

May 22, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Jabo · 7.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsHagerstown Heroes

8Shots715

10Saves82

5Faceoffs won49

2Takeaways1012

12Turnovers↓102

1Blocks1

23Passes4366

1:00Possession1:282:28

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	2	1	3	2	9	2	6	1	2	1	10	1	0:31	138	6.41	7.18
JoshAllenfan420	3	0	3	4	1	1	2	0	4	0	5	0	0:17	49	6.02	4.20
Waggles	1	1	2	2	0	2	1	1	6	0	8	0	0:12	22	7.14	4.13

Hagerstown Heroes

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
The Real Teddy Blueger	1	2	3	6	1	6	2	7	0	0	33	1:26	127	3.99	5.73
awlden	2	0	2	6	0	1	1	2	1	1	16	0:07	76	6.02	5.24
rustybirthday	2	0	2	3	1	2	2	3	1	0	17	0:55	72	4.17	5.02

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	10	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.407	-0.033
Saves	9	2.23	2.85	0.19	2.373	0.451
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.304 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.609, then +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.2

Pucker+138

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	9	2.229	4.037	0.15	0.606
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	10	13.425	0.745	0.08	0.06
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 1.174 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.381 → ×100 = 138.09 → 138

Offensive6.41

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.097	0.114	0.4	2.156
Shooting %	1	0.459	0.2	1.862
Assists per pass	0.1	0.1	0.4	2.393

Σ contribution = 6.412

Defensive7.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	9	2.229	9.982	0.3	2.994
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 7.179

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.608	0.14
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	5	13.43	8.43	0.08	-1	-0.08
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	0	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.979	-0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.377 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.245, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.5

Pucker+49

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.381	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	13.425	0.372	0.08	0.03
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.498 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.586 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.485 → ×100 = 48.51 → 49

Offensive6.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.176	0.114	0.4	3.193
Shooting %	0.75	0.459	0.2	1.649
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.024

Defensive4.20

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.381	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 4.203

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	8	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.644	-0.052
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.554 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.891, then −0.3 turnovers → 4.6

Pucker+22

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	8	13.425	0.596	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.379 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.446 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 0.22 → ×100 = 21.99 → 22

Offensive7.14

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.114	0.4	3.086
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0.125	0.1	0.4	2.784

Σ contribution = 7.141

Defensive4.13

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 4.13

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

The Real Teddy Blueger Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	6	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.543	0.049
Passes	33	13.43	8.43	0.08	2.323	0.186
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	7	2.38	2.43	0.11	1.899	0.209

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.249 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.497, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.3

Pucker+127

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	6	4.141	1.449	0.08	0.116
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	2.381	2.94	0.12	0.353
Passes	33	13.425	2.458	0.08	0.197
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.501	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.081 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.272 → ×100 = 127.21 → 127

Offensive3.99

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.035	0.114	0.4	1.438
Shooting %	0.167	0.459	0.2	0.75
Assists per pass	0.061	0.1	0.4	1.797

Σ contribution = 3.985

Defensive5.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	2.381	9.838	0.25	2.46
Goals conceded	6	5.887	5.925	0.25	1.481

Σ contribution = 5.73

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

awlden Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	6	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.543	0.049
Passes	16	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.306	0.024
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.21 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.579, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+76

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	6	4.141	1.449	0.08	0.116
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	16	13.425	1.192	0.08	0.095
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.645 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.759 → ×100 = 75.94 → 76

Offensive6.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.286	0.114	0.4	3.848
Shooting %	0.333	0.459	0.2	0.986
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.016

Defensive5.24

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	2	2.381	5.365	0.25	1.341
Goals conceded	6	5.887	5.925	0.25	1.481

Σ contribution = 5.24

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

rustybirthday Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	3	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.333	-0.03
Passes	17	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.424	0.034
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	3	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.254	0.028

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.281 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.438, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.7

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	3	4.141	0.724	0.08	0.058
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.381	1.26	0.12	0.151
Passes	17	13.425	1.266	0.08	0.101
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.61 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.718 → ×100 = 71.79 → 72

Offensive4.17

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.036	0.114	0.4	1.452
Shooting %	0.667	0.459	0.2	1.539
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.172

Defensive5.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	2.381	7.017	0.25	1.754
Goals conceded	6	5.887	5.925	0.25	1.481

Σ contribution = 5.024

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.