Provo Polar Bears vs Oregon Capybaras - west

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4–7Final

OCAwayOregon Capybaras - west

Mar 11, 2024 · Masters Division · Sundance Arena

MVP [LIL] Blue · 7.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Perf is a 0 to 10 Alto rating, 6.0 being league average. Click any Perf number to see the working behind it.

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BOAT] Pediatric Patrick	1	2	3	3	0	6	3	1	4	0	22	0:08	59	7.38	3.69
[LIL] Blue	2	1	3	7	4	1	1	15	4	2	22	3:27	166	3.88	8.45
[PRO] Chaser	1	0	1	3	1	2	1	2	2	0	10	0:23	42	3.87	4.16

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[OCA] Carried by Dad	2	2	4	4	1	2	3	5	8	0	16	0	0:21	71	8.05	5.35
[OCA] Curt	2	3	5	3	3	1	4	2	5	2	16	1	0:54	125	7.83	7.18
[OCA] ORO	3	2	5	5	5	2	2	3	5	2	7	0	0:13	141	9.36	7.94

Pediatric Patrick Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	2	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.238	0.045
Shots	3	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.376	-0.034
Passes	22	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.504	0.04
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	0	0.7	1	0.11	-0.695	-0.076
Takeaways	1	4.66	3.24	0.11	-1.13	-0.124

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.46 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.079, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.9

Pucker+59

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.429	0.875	0.32	0.28
Shots	3	4.103	0.731	0.08	0.058
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.697	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	4.658	0.215	0.12	0.026
Passes	22	18.394	1.196	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.5 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.588 → ×100 = 58.81 → 59

Offensive7.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.375	0.079	0.4	3.998
Shooting %	0.333	0.48	0.2	0.963
Assists per pass	0.091	0.09	0.4	2.42

Σ contribution = 7.381

Defensive3.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.697	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	4.658	3.377	0.25	0.844
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 3.687

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.019	0.004
Assists	1	1.65	1.47	0.19	-0.444	-0.084
Shots	7	4.1	2.93	0.09	0.988	0.089
Passes	22	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.504	0.04
Saves	4	2.14	2.23	0.19	0.837	0.159
Blocks	2	0.7	1	0.11	1.3	0.143
Takeaways	15	4.66	3.24	0.11	3.194	0.351

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.702 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.405, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.5

Pucker+166

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.429	0.875	0.32	0.28
Shots	7	4.103	1.706	0.08	0.136
Saves	4	2.135	1.873	0.15	0.281
Blocks	2	0.697	2.87	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	15	4.658	3.22	0.12	0.386
Passes	22	18.394	1.196	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.41 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.659 → ×100 = 165.93 → 166

Offensive3.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.014	0.079	0.4	1.322
Shooting %	0.286	0.48	0.2	0.893
Assists per pass	0.045	0.09	0.4	1.669

Σ contribution = 3.884

Defensive8.45

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.135	8.812	0.3	2.644
Blocks	2	0.697	9.815	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	15	4.658	9.907	0.25	2.477
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 8.45

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	0	1.65	1.47	0.19	-1.126	-0.214
Shots	3	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.376	-0.034
Passes	10	18.39	7.15	0.08	-1.174	-0.094
Saves	1	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.51	-0.097
Blocks	0	0.7	1	0.11	-0.695	-0.076
Takeaways	2	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.821	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.735 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.531, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.3

Pucker+42

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.429	0.292	0.32	0.093
Shots	3	4.103	0.731	0.08	0.058
Saves	1	2.135	0.468	0.15	0.07
Blocks	0	0.697	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	4.658	0.429	0.12	0.052
Passes	10	18.394	0.544	0.08	0.043
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.357 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.42 → ×100 = 42.01 → 42

Offensive3.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.043	0.079	0.4	1.722
Shooting %	0.333	0.48	0.2	0.963
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.867

Defensive4.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.135	4.053	0.3	1.216
Blocks	0	0.697	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	4.658	3.937	0.25	0.984
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 4.157

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.019	0.004
Assists	2	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.238	0.045
Shots	4	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.035	-0.003
Passes	16	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.335	-0.027
Saves	1	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.51	-0.097
Blocks	0	0.7	1	0.11	-0.695	-0.076
Takeaways	5	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.106	0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.142 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.716, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.4

Pucker+71

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.429	1.021	0.32	0.327
Shots	4	4.103	0.975	0.08	0.078
Saves	1	2.135	0.468	0.15	0.07
Blocks	0	0.697	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	4.658	1.073	0.12	0.129
Passes	16	18.394	0.87	0.08	0.07
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.697 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.82 − 0.109 turnover penalty = 0.711 → ×100 = 71.16 → 71

Offensive8.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.19	0.079	0.4	3.816
Shooting %	0.5	0.48	0.2	1.234
Assists per pass	0.125	0.09	0.4	2.997

Σ contribution = 8.047

Defensive5.35

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.135	4.053	0.3	1.216
Blocks	0	0.697	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	4.658	6.293	0.25	1.573
Goals conceded	4	6.058	7.894	0.25	1.973

Σ contribution = 5.353

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.019	0.004
Assists	3	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.919	0.175
Shots	3	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.376	-0.034
Passes	16	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.335	-0.027
Saves	3	2.14	2.23	0.19	0.388	0.074
Blocks	2	0.7	1	0.11	1.3	0.143
Takeaways	2	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.821	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.245 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.49, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.7

Pucker+125

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.429	1.458	0.32	0.467
Shots	3	4.103	0.731	0.08	0.058
Saves	3	2.135	1.405	0.15	0.211
Blocks	2	0.697	2.87	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	2	4.658	0.429	0.12	0.052
Passes	16	18.394	0.87	0.08	0.07
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 1.07 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.259 − 0.012 turnover penalty = 1.247 → ×100 = 124.7 → 125

Offensive7.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.079	0.4	2.664
Shooting %	0.667	0.48	0.2	1.497
Assists per pass	0.188	0.09	0.4	3.674

Σ contribution = 7.835

Defensive7.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.135	7.536	0.3	2.261
Blocks	2	0.697	9.815	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	2	4.658	3.937	0.25	0.984
Goals conceded	4	6.058	7.894	0.25	1.973

Σ contribution = 7.181

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.599	0.138
Assists	2	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.238	0.045
Shots	5	4.1	2.93	0.09	0.306	0.028
Passes	7	18.39	7.15	0.08	-1.593	-0.127
Saves	5	2.14	2.23	0.19	1.286	0.244
Blocks	2	0.7	1	0.11	1.3	0.143
Takeaways	3	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.512	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.414 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.828, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Pucker+141

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.429	1.312	0.32	0.42
Shots	5	4.103	1.219	0.08	0.097
Saves	5	2.135	2.341	0.15	0.351
Blocks	2	0.697	2.87	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	3	4.658	0.644	0.12	0.077
Passes	7	18.394	0.381	0.08	0.03
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.207 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.42 − 0.012 turnover penalty = 1.408 → ×100 = 140.87 → 141

Offensive9.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.385	0.079	0.4	3.998
Shooting %	0.6	0.48	0.2	1.397
Assists per pass	0.286	0.09	0.4	3.96

Σ contribution = 9.355

Defensive7.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.135	9.488	0.3	2.846
Blocks	2	0.697	9.815	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	3	4.658	4.633	0.25	1.158
Goals conceded	4	6.058	7.894	0.25	1.973

Σ contribution = 7.94

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.