Provo Polar Bears vs Oregon Capybaras - west

PPHomeProvo Polar Bears

4–8Final

OCAwayOregon Capybaras - west

Feb 12, 2024 · Masters Division · Sundance Arena

MVP [OCA] Carried by Dad · 7.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Perf is a 0 to 10 Alto rating, 6.0 being league average. Click any Perf number to see the working behind it.

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BOAT] Pediatric Patrick	1	1	2	2	3	2	4	5	6	0	25	0:47	77	4.53	5.69
[EMS] Craig Ferguson	1	1	2	5	4	2	3	6	4	1	14	1:12	106	4.34	7.21
[PRO] Chaser	2	0	2	2	0	0	4	2	4	1	22	0:23	56	5.57	4.66

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[OCA] Carried by Dad	5	2	7	9	3	5	0	4	5	2	20	0:42	169	7.59	7.56
[OCA] Curt	2	3	5	5	0	2	2	3	3	0	13	0:45	80	7.94	4.61
[OCA] ORO	1	2	3	1	2	4	2	7	5	1	17	1:15	97	6.38	7.19

Pediatric Patrick Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	1	1.65	1.47	0.19	-0.444	-0.084
Shots	2	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.717	-0.065
Passes	25	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.924	0.074
Saves	3	2.14	2.23	0.19	0.388	0.074
Blocks	0	0.7	1	0.11	-0.695	-0.076
Takeaways	5	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.106	0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.195 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.609, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.429	0.583	0.32	0.187
Shots	2	4.103	0.487	0.08	0.039
Saves	3	2.135	1.405	0.15	0.211
Blocks	0	0.697	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	4.658	1.073	0.12	0.129
Passes	25	18.394	1.359	0.08	0.109
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.694 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.816 − 0.044 turnover penalty = 0.772 → ×100 = 77.23 → 77

Offensive4.53

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.043	0.079	0.4	1.707
Shooting %	0.5	0.48	0.2	1.234
Assists per pass	0.04	0.09	0.4	1.594

Σ contribution = 4.535

Defensive5.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.135	7.536	0.3	2.261
Blocks	0	0.697	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	4.658	6.293	0.25	1.573
Goals conceded	8	6.058	5.048	0.25	1.262

Σ contribution = 5.687

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Craig Ferguson Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	1	1.65	1.47	0.19	-0.444	-0.084
Shots	5	4.1	2.93	0.09	0.306	0.028
Passes	14	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.614	-0.049
Saves	4	2.14	2.23	0.19	0.837	0.159
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	6	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.414	0.046

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.003 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.005, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.429	0.583	0.32	0.187
Shots	5	4.103	1.219	0.08	0.097
Saves	4	2.135	1.873	0.15	0.281
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	6	4.658	1.288	0.12	0.155
Passes	14	18.394	0.761	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.905 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.065 → ×100 = 106.47 → 106

Offensive4.34

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.028	0.079	0.4	1.485
Shooting %	0.2	0.48	0.2	0.78
Assists per pass	0.071	0.09	0.4	2.077

Σ contribution = 4.343

Defensive7.21

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.135	8.812	0.3	2.644
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	6	4.658	7.121	0.25	1.78
Goals conceded	8	6.058	5.048	0.25	1.262

Σ contribution = 7.214

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.019	0.004
Assists	0	1.65	1.47	0.19	-1.126	-0.214
Shots	2	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.717	-0.065
Passes	22	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.504	0.04
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	2	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.821	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.473 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.054, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+56

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.429	0.583	0.32	0.187
Shots	2	4.103	0.487	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	2	4.658	0.429	0.12	0.052
Passes	22	18.394	1.196	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.473 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.557 → ×100 = 55.68 → 56

Offensive5.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.087	0.079	0.4	2.552
Shooting %	1	0.48	0.2	1.836
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.57

Defensive4.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	2	4.658	3.937	0.25	0.984
Goals conceded	8	6.058	5.048	0.25	1.262

Σ contribution = 4.66

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance7.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	1.97	1.72	0.23	1.761	0.405
Assists	2	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.238	0.045
Shots	9	4.1	2.93	0.09	1.67	0.15
Passes	20	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.225	0.018
Saves	3	2.14	2.23	0.19	0.388	0.074
Blocks	2	0.7	1	0.11	1.3	0.143
Takeaways	4	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.203	-0.022

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.813 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.625, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.6

Pucker+169

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	3.429	1.896	0.32	0.607
Shots	9	4.103	2.193	0.08	0.175
Saves	3	2.135	1.405	0.15	0.211
Blocks	2	0.697	2.87	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	4	4.658	0.859	0.12	0.103
Passes	20	18.394	1.087	0.08	0.087
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.444 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.699 − 0.012 turnover penalty = 1.687 → ×100 = 168.68 → 169

Offensive7.59

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.079	0.4	3.68
Shooting %	0.556	0.48	0.2	1.326
Assists per pass	0.1	0.09	0.4	2.581

Σ contribution = 7.587

Defensive7.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.135	7.536	0.3	2.261
Blocks	2	0.697	9.815	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	4	4.658	5.439	0.25	1.36
Goals conceded	4	6.058	7.894	0.25	1.973

Σ contribution = 7.557

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.019	0.004
Assists	3	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.919	0.175
Shots	5	4.1	2.93	0.09	0.306	0.028
Passes	13	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.754	-0.06
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	0	0.7	1	0.11	-0.695	-0.076
Takeaways	3	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.512	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.169 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.663, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.5

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.429	1.312	0.32	0.42
Shots	5	4.103	1.219	0.08	0.097
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.697	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	4.658	0.644	0.12	0.077
Passes	13	18.394	0.707	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.681 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.801 → ×100 = 80.15 → 80

Offensive7.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.079	0.4	3.007
Shooting %	0.4	0.48	0.2	1.069
Assists per pass	0.231	0.09	0.4	3.867

Σ contribution = 7.943

Defensive4.61

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.697	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	4.658	4.633	0.25	1.158
Goals conceded	4	6.058	7.894	0.25	1.973

Σ contribution = 4.608

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

Performance6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	2	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.238	0.045
Shots	1	4.1	2.93	0.09	-1.058	-0.095
Passes	17	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.195	-0.016
Saves	2	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.061	-0.012
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	7	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.723	0.08

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.094 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.813, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1

Pucker+97

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.429	0.875	0.32	0.28
Shots	1	4.103	0.244	0.08	0.019
Saves	2	2.135	0.937	0.15	0.14
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	7	4.658	1.503	0.12	0.18
Passes	17	18.394	0.924	0.08	0.074
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.835 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.982 − 0.012 turnover penalty = 0.97 → ×100 = 97.03 → 97

Offensive6.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.04	0.079	0.4	1.665
Shooting %	1	0.48	0.2	1.836
Assists per pass	0.118	0.09	0.4	2.881

Σ contribution = 6.383

Defensive7.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.135	5.747	0.3	1.724
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	7	4.658	7.857	0.25	1.964
Goals conceded	4	6.058	7.894	0.25	1.973

Σ contribution = 7.189

League average is 6.0 on Performance, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.