Sinaloa Heat vs Michigan Mallards

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5–6Final

MMAwayMichigan Mallards

May 2, 2023 · Challenger Division - M1NNSNOWTA · Croke Park

MVP [COW] Timmy · 7.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Sinaloa HeatvsMichigan Mallards

16Shots218

12Saves111

7Faceoffs won16

9Takeaways36

6Turnovers↓39

3Blocks3

61Passes754

2:13Possession0:521:21

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Sinaloa Heat

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[COW] Timmy	0	3	3	2	7	1	6	5	1	2	23	0:58	150	4.87	8.69
[IRA] Cobra	2	1	3	4	0	5	0	0	1	0	18	0:15	54	6.16	3.90
[IRA] Thugger	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	4	4	1	20	1:00	135	3.62	7.77

Michigan Mallards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[MAL] Chicken Noodle Soup	2	2	4	2	2	3	3	2	3	2	13	1	0:22	99	7.94	6.77
[OVPD] dave	4	1	5	11	1	1	2	1	4	0	21	0	0:29	93	5.59	4.65
[VIP\|CWTN] Blades	0	3	3	5	8	2	2	3	2	1	20	0	0:30	142	5.68	7.78

Timmy Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.16	1.78	0.23	-1.213	-0.279
Assists	3	2.02	1.65	0.19	0.595	0.113
Shots	2	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.724	-0.065
Passes	23	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.661	0.053
Saves	7	2.05	2.17	0.19	2.277	0.433
Blocks	2	0.84	1.03	0.11	1.122	0.123
Takeaways	5	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.832	0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.469 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.938, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.1

Pucker+150

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.952	0.759	0.32	0.243
Shots	2	4.213	0.475	0.08	0.038
Saves	7	2.052	3.412	0.15	0.512
Blocks	2	0.839	2.385	0.07	0.167
Takeaways	5	2.89	1.73	0.12	0.208
Passes	23	18.452	1.247	0.08	0.1
Faceoff win rate	0.143	0.5	0.286	0.03	0.009

Σ 1.276 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.501 → ×100 = 150.06 → 150

Offensive4.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.052	0.121	0.4	1.571
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.13	0.109	0.4	2.703

Σ contribution = 4.865

Defensive8.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.052	9.936	0.3	2.981
Blocks	2	0.839	9.528	0.2	1.906
Takeaways	5	2.89	8.492	0.25	2.123
Goals conceded	6	7.097	6.723	0.25	1.681

Σ contribution = 8.691

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cobra Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.091	-0.021
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	4	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.07	-0.006
Passes	18	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.066	-0.005
Saves	0	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.944	-0.179
Blocks	0	0.84	1.03	0.11	-0.81	-0.089
Takeaways	0	2.89	2.53	0.11	-1.14	-0.125

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.544 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.913, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.9

Pucker+54

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.952	0.759	0.32	0.243
Shots	4	4.213	0.949	0.08	0.076
Saves	0	2.052	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.839	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.89	0	0.12	0
Passes	18	18.452	0.976	0.08	0.078
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.457 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.538 → ×100 = 53.76 → 54

Offensive6.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.121	0.4	3.313
Shooting %	0.5	0.513	0.2	1.18
Assists per pass	0.056	0.109	0.4	1.67

Σ contribution = 6.163

Defensive3.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.052	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.839	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.89	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	7.097	6.723	0.25	1.681

Σ contribution = 3.896

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Thugger Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.16	1.78	0.23	0.471	0.108
Assists	0	2.02	1.65	0.19	-1.224	-0.233
Shots	10	4.21	3.06	0.09	1.893	0.17
Passes	20	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.225	0.018
Saves	5	2.05	2.17	0.19	1.356	0.258
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	4	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.438	0.048

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.387 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.774, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.952	0.759	0.32	0.243
Shots	10	4.213	2.374	0.08	0.19
Saves	5	2.052	2.437	0.15	0.366
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	4	2.89	1.384	0.12	0.166
Passes	20	18.452	1.084	0.08	0.087
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.195 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.405 − 0.058 turnover penalty = 1.347 → ×100 = 134.79 → 135

Offensive3.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.121	0.4	1.554
Shooting %	0.3	0.513	0.2	0.886
Assists per pass	0	0.109	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.622

Defensive7.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.052	9.572	0.3	2.872
Blocks	1	0.839	6.76	0.2	1.352
Takeaways	4	2.89	7.464	0.25	1.866
Goals conceded	6	7.097	6.723	0.25	1.681

Σ contribution = 7.771

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chicken Noodle Soup Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.16	1.78	0.23	-0.091	-0.021
Assists	2	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.012	-0.002
Shots	2	4.21	3.06	0.09	-0.724	-0.065
Passes	13	18.45	6.89	0.08	-0.792	-0.063
Saves	2	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.024	-0.005
Blocks	2	0.84	1.03	0.11	1.122	0.123
Takeaways	2	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.351	-0.039

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.071 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.858, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1

Pucker+99

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.952	1.012	0.32	0.324
Shots	2	4.213	0.475	0.08	0.038
Saves	2	2.052	0.975	0.15	0.146
Blocks	2	0.839	2.385	0.07	0.167
Takeaways	2	2.89	0.692	0.12	0.083
Passes	13	18.452	0.705	0.08	0.056
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.844 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.993 − 0.006 turnover penalty = 0.987 → ×100 = 98.78 → 99

Offensive7.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.121	0.4	3.137
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	1.792
Assists per pass	0.154	0.109	0.4	3.016

Σ contribution = 7.945

Defensive6.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.052	5.899	0.3	1.77
Blocks	2	0.839	9.528	0.2	1.906
Takeaways	2	2.89	4.805	0.25	1.201
Goals conceded	5	7.097	7.586	0.25	1.896

Σ contribution = 6.773

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.16	1.78	0.23	1.032	0.237
Assists	1	2.02	1.65	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Shots	11	4.21	3.06	0.09	2.22	0.2
Passes	21	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.37	0.03
Saves	1	2.05	2.17	0.19	-0.484	-0.092
Blocks	0	0.84	1.03	0.11	-0.81	-0.089
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.53	0.11	-0.746	-0.082

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.086 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.172, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0

Pucker+93

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.952	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	11	4.213	2.611	0.08	0.209
Saves	1	2.052	0.487	0.15	0.073
Blocks	0	0.839	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.89	0.346	0.12	0.042
Passes	21	18.452	1.138	0.08	0.091
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.839 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.988 − 0.058 turnover penalty = 0.93 → ×100 = 93 → 93

Offensive5.59

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.172	0.121	0.4	3.036
Shooting %	0.364	0.513	0.2	0.973
Assists per pass	0.048	0.109	0.4	1.581

Σ contribution = 5.591

Defensive4.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.052	4.112	0.3	1.234
Blocks	0	0.839	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.89	3.703	0.25	0.926
Goals conceded	5	7.097	7.586	0.25	1.896

Σ contribution = 4.647

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blades Michigan Mallards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.16	1.78	0.23	-1.213	-0.279
Assists	3	2.02	1.65	0.19	0.595	0.113
Shots	5	4.21	3.06	0.09	0.257	0.023
Passes	20	18.45	6.89	0.08	0.225	0.018
Saves	8	2.05	2.17	0.19	2.737	0.52
Blocks	1	0.84	1.03	0.11	0.156	0.017
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.53	0.11	0.043	0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.417 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.834, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.0

Pucker+142

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.952	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	5	4.213	1.187	0.08	0.095
Saves	8	2.052	3.899	0.15	0.585
Blocks	1	0.839	1.192	0.07	0.083
Takeaways	3	2.89	1.038	0.12	0.125
Passes	20	18.452	1.084	0.08	0.087
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.207 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.42 → ×100 = 142 → 142

Offensive5.68

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.121	0.4	2.121
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.15	0.109	0.4	2.967

Σ contribution = 5.679

Defensive7.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.052	9.976	0.3	2.993
Blocks	1	0.839	6.76	0.2	1.352
Takeaways	3	2.89	6.152	0.25	1.538
Goals conceded	5	7.097	7.586	0.25	1.896

Σ contribution = 7.779

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.