Sinaloa Heat vs Michigan Mafia

SHHomeSinaloa Heat

7–8Final

MMAwayMichigan Mafia

May 7, 2022 · Challenger Play-In · Croke Park

MVP dave · 9.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Sinaloa HeatvsMichigan Mafia

13Shots1326

18Saves126

8Faceoffs won210

17Takeaways219

19Turnovers↓217

2Blocks2

53Passes861

1:40Possession0:131:53

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Sinaloa Heat

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Bolty	4	1	5	6	0	2	2	1	6	0	25	0:25	88	6.81	3.58
dave	3	3	6	6	13	4	5	12	10	2	17	1:09	226	7.13	8.44
SlappyGilmore	0	0	0	1	5	2	3	4	3	0	11	0:06	56	2.95	5.77

Michigan Mafia

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
GoldenKnight	3	2	5	8	0	2	4	4	3	0	18	0:21	94	7.71	4.03
SayZiah / Dabbarino	4	2	6	12	3	1	1	5	8	2	24	0:28	154	7.03	6.71
Stiff	1	4	5	6	3	7	3	10	6	0	19	1:04	128	6.63	6.10

Bolty Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.9	1.53	0.23	1.376	0.317
Assists	1	1.57	1.31	0.19	-0.434	-0.082
Shots	6	4.33	3.03	0.09	0.55	0.05
Passes	25	17.82	6.91	0.08	1.04	0.083
Saves	0	2.43	2.49	0.19	-0.976	-0.185
Blocks	0	0.78	1.12	0.11	-0.699	-0.077
Takeaways	1	6.28	4.35	0.11	-1.216	-0.134

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.029 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.942, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.35	1.493	0.32	0.478
Shots	6	4.333	1.385	0.08	0.111
Saves	0	2.433	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.783	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	6.283	0.159	0.12	0.019
Passes	25	17.817	1.403	0.08	0.112
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.75 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.882 → ×100 = 88.2 → 88

Offensive6.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.1	0.4	3.62
Shooting %	0.667	0.438	0.2	1.582
Assists per pass	0.04	0.088	0.4	1.605

Σ contribution = 6.807

Defensive3.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.433	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.783	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	6.283	3.255	0.25	0.814
Goals conceded	8	6.3	5.163	0.25	1.291

Σ contribution = 3.582

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dave Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.53	0.23	0.721	0.166
Assists	3	1.57	1.31	0.19	1.097	0.208
Shots	6	4.33	3.03	0.09	0.55	0.05
Passes	17	17.82	6.91	0.08	-0.118	-0.009
Saves	13	2.43	2.49	0.19	4.238	0.805
Blocks	2	0.78	1.12	0.11	1.085	0.119
Takeaways	12	6.28	4.35	0.11	1.315	0.145

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.484 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.967, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 9.1

Pucker+226

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.35	1.791	0.32	0.573
Shots	6	4.333	1.385	0.08	0.111
Saves	13	2.433	5.342	0.15	0.801
Blocks	2	0.783	2.553	0.07	0.179
Takeaways	12	6.283	1.91	0.12	0.229
Passes	17	17.817	0.954	0.08	0.076
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 1.996 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.348 − 0.089 turnover penalty = 2.259 → ×100 = 225.91 → 226

Offensive7.13

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.087	0.1	0.4	2.194
Shooting %	0.5	0.438	0.2	1.312
Assists per pass	0.176	0.088	0.4	3.623

Σ contribution = 7.128

Defensive8.44

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	13	2.433	9.999	0.3	3
Blocks	2	0.783	9.657	0.2	1.931
Takeaways	12	6.283	8.884	0.25	2.221
Goals conceded	8	6.3	5.163	0.25	1.291

Σ contribution = 8.443

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SlappyGilmore Sinaloa Heat

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.53	0.23	-1.245	-0.286
Assists	0	1.57	1.31	0.19	-1.199	-0.228
Shots	1	4.33	3.03	0.09	-1.1	-0.099
Passes	11	17.82	6.91	0.08	-0.987	-0.079
Saves	5	2.43	2.49	0.19	1.029	0.196
Blocks	0	0.78	1.12	0.11	-0.699	-0.077
Takeaways	4	6.28	4.35	0.11	-0.525	-0.058

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.631 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.738, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.3

Pucker+56

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.35	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.333	0.231	0.08	0.018
Saves	5	2.433	2.055	0.15	0.308
Blocks	0	0.783	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	6.283	0.637	0.12	0.076
Passes	11	17.817	0.617	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.476 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.561 → ×100 = 56.05 → 56

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.438	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.088	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.433	9.135	0.3	2.74
Blocks	0	0.783	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	6.283	4.607	0.25	1.152
Goals conceded	8	6.3	5.163	0.25	1.291

Σ contribution = 5.774

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

GoldenKnight Michigan Mafia

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.53	0.23	0.721	0.166
Assists	2	1.57	1.31	0.19	0.332	0.063
Shots	8	4.33	3.03	0.09	1.211	0.109
Passes	18	17.82	6.91	0.08	0.027	0.002
Saves	0	2.43	2.49	0.19	-0.976	-0.185
Blocks	0	0.78	1.12	0.11	-0.699	-0.077
Takeaways	4	6.28	4.35	0.11	-0.525	-0.058

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.02 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.04, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.35	1.493	0.32	0.478
Shots	8	4.333	1.846	0.08	0.148
Saves	0	2.433	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.783	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	6.283	0.637	0.12	0.076
Passes	18	17.817	1.01	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.803 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.944 → ×100 = 94.41 → 94

Offensive7.71

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.238	0.1	0.4	3.811
Shooting %	0.375	0.438	0.2	1.085
Assists per pass	0.111	0.088	0.4	2.812

Σ contribution = 7.708

Defensive4.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.433	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.783	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	6.283	4.607	0.25	1.152
Goals conceded	7	6.3	5.601	0.25	1.4

Σ contribution = 4.029

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SayZiah / Dabbarino Michigan Mafia

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.9	1.53	0.23	1.376	0.317
Assists	2	1.57	1.31	0.19	0.332	0.063
Shots	12	4.33	3.03	0.09	2.531	0.228
Passes	24	17.82	6.91	0.08	0.895	0.072
Saves	3	2.43	2.49	0.19	0.227	0.043
Blocks	2	0.78	1.12	0.11	1.085	0.119
Takeaways	5	6.28	4.35	0.11	-0.295	-0.032

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.809 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.618, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.1

Pucker+154

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.35	1.642	0.32	0.525
Shots	12	4.333	2.769	0.08	0.222
Saves	3	2.433	1.233	0.15	0.185
Blocks	2	0.783	2.553	0.07	0.179
Takeaways	5	6.283	0.796	0.12	0.095
Passes	24	17.817	1.347	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.344 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.581 − 0.041 turnover penalty = 1.54 → ×100 = 153.95 → 154

Offensive7.03

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.214	0.1	0.4	3.706
Shooting %	0.333	0.438	0.2	1.012
Assists per pass	0.083	0.088	0.4	2.316

Σ contribution = 7.034

Defensive6.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.433	6.915	0.3	2.075
Blocks	2	0.783	9.657	0.2	1.931
Takeaways	5	6.283	5.194	0.25	1.299
Goals conceded	7	6.3	5.601	0.25	1.4

Σ contribution = 6.705

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Stiff Michigan Mafia

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.53	0.23	-0.59	-0.136
Assists	4	1.57	1.31	0.19	1.862	0.354
Shots	6	4.33	3.03	0.09	0.55	0.05
Passes	19	17.82	6.91	0.08	0.171	0.014
Saves	3	2.43	2.49	0.19	0.227	0.043
Blocks	0	0.78	1.12	0.11	-0.699	-0.077
Takeaways	10	6.28	4.35	0.11	0.855	0.094

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.342 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.684, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2

Pucker+128

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.35	1.493	0.32	0.478
Shots	6	4.333	1.385	0.08	0.111
Saves	3	2.433	1.233	0.15	0.185
Blocks	0	0.783	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	10	6.283	1.592	0.12	0.191
Passes	19	17.817	1.066	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0.7	0.5	1.4	0.03	0.042

Σ 1.092 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.284 → ×100 = 128.42 → 128

Offensive6.63

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.078	0.1	0.4	2.057
Shooting %	0.167	0.438	0.2	0.759
Assists per pass	0.211	0.088	0.4	3.814

Σ contribution = 6.63

Defensive6.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.433	6.915	0.3	2.075
Blocks	0	0.783	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	10	6.283	8.124	0.25	2.031
Goals conceded	7	6.3	5.601	0.25	1.4

Σ contribution = 6.097

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.